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SFLSFL Corporation LtdBuy Wait5.0·$12.35+2.07%
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

SFL Corporation is a marine shipping company with exceptional cash conversion (607% free cash flow relative to net income) and a strong recent earnings beat streak, but declining revenues, high leverage, and a price already above analyst targets create a structurally unfavorable risk profile.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Free Cash Flow ConversionStable
  • Revenue Decline Value Trap SignalsDeteriorating
  • Strong Earnings Beats Despite ChallengesStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

SFL Corporation Ltd (SFL) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitGrowthShortHigh Confidence

Industrials · Marine Shipping

Earnings in 3 days (2026-08-18). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $11.76. BUY gates pass at $12.35, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and near 52-week high (4.6% away) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $11.76 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

SFL Corporation Ltd., a maritime and offshore asset owning and chartering company, engages in the ownership, operation, and chartering out of vessels and offshore related assets on medium and long-term charters. The company operates in various sectors of the maritime, and... Read more

$12.35-14.8% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#18 of 19 Marine Shipping
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield11.89%
IncomeYield7.45%(5y avg 9.21%)Payout362.50%at-risk
Entry $11.76(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $11.09Target $14.20(default +15%)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$12.38+0.2%4 analysts
$14.20our TP
$12.35price
$12.38mean
$10
$14

Wait for pullback to $11.76. BUY gates pass at $12.35, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and near 52-week high (4.6% away) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $11.76 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 18, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.6% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)48.4
P/E (Fwd)20.0
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA9.8
Profit Mgn4.5%
ROE3.1%
Rev Growth-6.7%
Beta0.44
Dividend7.45%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.25bullish
IV65%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.8
Growth Rank
1.1
GatesA.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dMomentum 6.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $11.16Resistance $12.42

Price Targets

$11
$12
$14
A.Upside-14.8%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.8% upside)
! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-18 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SFL stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $11.76. BUY gates pass at $12.35, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and near 52-week high (4.6% away) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $11.76 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $14.20 (+15.0%), stop $11.09 (−11.4%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.

What is the SFL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.20 (-14.8% upside). Target $14.20 (+15.0%), stop $11.09 (−11.4%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Stop-loss: $11.09.

What are the risks of investing in SFL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.6% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.6): -1.5.

Is SFL overvalued or undervalued?

SFL Corporation Ltd trades at a P/E of 48.4 (forward 20.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about SFL?

9 analysts cover SFL with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $12.

What does SFL Corporation Ltd do?SFL Corporation Ltd., a maritime and offshore asset owning and chartering company, engages in the ownership, operation,...

SFL Corporation Ltd., a maritime and offshore asset owning and chartering company, engages in the ownership, operation, and chartering out of vessels and offshore related assets on medium and long-term charters. The company operates in various sectors of the maritime, and shipping and offshore industries, including oil transportation, dry bulk shipments, oil products transportation, container transportation, car transportation, and drilling rigs. As of December 31, 2025, the company owned 17 tankers, two dry bulk carriers, 21 container vessels, seven car carriers, and two drilling rigs. It primarily operates in Bermuda, Canada, Cyprus, Liberia, Namibia, Norway, Singapore, the United Kingdom, and the Marshall Islands. SFL Corporation Ltd. was formerly known as Ship Finance International Limited and changed its name to SFL Corporation Ltd. in September 2019. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Related stocks: ASC (Ardmore Shipping Corporation) · HSHP (Himalaya Shipping Ltd.) · HAFN (Hafnia Limited) · NMM (Navios Maritime Partners LP) · SB (Safe Bulkers, Inc)
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