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SFLSFL Corporation LtdSell5.1·$12.62+1.20%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

SFL Corporation is a marine shipping company with exceptional cash conversion (607% free cash flow relative to net income) and a strong recent earnings beat streak, but declining revenues, high leverage, and a price already above analyst targets create a structurally unfavorable risk profile.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Free Cash Flow ConversionImproving
  • Revenue Decline Value Trap SignalsImproving
  • Strong Earnings Beats Despite ChallengesImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

SFL Corporation Ltd (SFL) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthHigh Confidence

Industrials · Marine Shipping

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $12.62 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.5% away).

SFL Corporation Ltd., a maritime and offshore asset owning and chartering company, engages in the ownership, operation, and chartering out of vessels and offshore related assets on medium and long-term charters. The company operates in various sectors of the maritime, and... Read more

$12.62-16.7% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#18 of 19 Marine Shipping
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield9.62%
IncomeYield7.06%(5y avg 9.10%)Payout170.83%at-risk
Stop $12.00Target $14.51(default +15%)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst target$12.38-1.9%4 analysts
$14.51our TP
$12.62price
$12.38mean
$10
$15

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $12.62 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.5% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 66d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04

Recent Developments — SFL Corporation Ltd

Generated 2026-09-04T13:27:39Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 10, 202666d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.5% away)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.8
P/E (Fwd)19.8
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA9.5
Profit Mgn9.0%
ROE6.2%
Rev Growth2.7%
Beta0.44
Dividend7.06%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.00bearish
IV52%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.9
Value Rank
2.0
Growth Rank
2.6

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.2
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesA.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 66d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $11.43Resistance $12.79

Price Targets

$12
$15
A.Upside-16.7%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-16.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-10 (66d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SFL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $12.62 — A.R:R is negative (-1.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.5% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $12.00. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the SFL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $14.51 (-16.7% upside). Prior stop was $12.00. Stop-loss: $12.00.

What are the risks of investing in SFL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.5% away); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is SFL overvalued or undervalued?

SFL Corporation Ltd trades at a P/E of 25.8 (forward 19.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SFL?

9 analysts cover SFL with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $12.

What does SFL Corporation Ltd do?SFL Corporation Ltd., a maritime and offshore asset owning and chartering company, engages in the ownership, operation,...

SFL Corporation Ltd., a maritime and offshore asset owning and chartering company, engages in the ownership, operation, and chartering out of vessels and offshore related assets on medium and long-term charters. The company operates in various sectors of the maritime, and shipping and offshore industries, including oil transportation, dry bulk shipments, oil products transportation, container transportation, car transportation, and drilling rigs. As of December 31, 2025, the company owned 17 tankers, two dry bulk carriers, 21 container vessels, seven car carriers, and two drilling rigs. It primarily operates in Bermuda, Canada, Cyprus, Liberia, Namibia, Norway, Singapore, the United Kingdom, and the Marshall Islands. SFL Corporation Ltd. was formerly known as Ship Finance International Limited and changed its name to SFL Corporation Ltd. in September 2019. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Related stocks: HSHP (Himalaya Shipping Ltd.) · ASC (Ardmore Shipping Corporation) · NMM (Navios Maritime Partners LP) · SB (Safe Bulkers, Inc) · SBLK (Star Bulk Carriers Corp.)
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