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SBLKStar Bulk Carriers Corp.Hold6.9·$29.90
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Star Bulk Carriers has delivered 4 consecutive earnings beats with a 36% average positive surprise, holds a perfect Piotroski financial health score of 9/9, and converts 162% of net income into free cash flow, but weak price momentum and price near the analyst target limit immediate upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
  • Exceptional Cash Conversion→Stable
  • Strong Revenue Growth Rate→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (SBLK) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Marine Shipping

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $29.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Star Bulk Carriers Corp. provides international seaborne transportation services for dry bulk commodities. The company transports major bulk cargoes, including iron ore, minerals, and grain, as well as minor bulks such as bauxite, fertilizers, and steel products. As of September... Read more

$29.90+0.2% A.UpsideScore 6.9/10#5 of 19 Marine Shipping
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.81%
IncomeYield6.08%(5y avg 12.85%)Payout40.39%sustainable
Stop $28.90Target $29.96(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.0:1
Analyst target$34.44+15.2%5 analysts
$29.96our TP
$29.90price
$34.44mean
$38

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $29.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 55d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 18, 202655d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.2
P/E (Fwd)8.5
Mkt Cap$3.5B
EV/EBITDA8.2
Profit Mgn23.9%
ROE11.7%
Rev Growth44.5%
Beta0.72
Dividend6.08%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.68bearish
IV43%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 ceiling hits

GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R 0.0 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 55d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
38 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $29.79Resistance $32.88

Price Targets

$29
$30
A.Upside+0.2%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.2% upside)
! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-18 (55d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SBLK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $29.90, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $29.96 (+0.2%), stop $28.90 (−3.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 6.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SBLK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.96 (+0.2% upside). Target $29.96 (+0.2%), stop $28.90 (−3.5%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $28.90.

What are the risks of investing in SBLK?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is SBLK overvalued or undervalued?

Star Bulk Carriers Corp. trades at a P/E of 12.2 (forward 8.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SBLK?

13 analysts cover SBLK with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $34.

What does Star Bulk Carriers Corp. do?Star Bulk Carriers Corp. provides international seaborne transportation services for dry bulk commodities. The company...

Star Bulk Carriers Corp. provides international seaborne transportation services for dry bulk commodities. The company transports major bulk cargoes, including iron ore, minerals, and grain, as well as minor bulks such as bauxite, fertilizers, and steel products. As of September 4, 2026, the company owned a fleet of 138 dry bulk vessels consisting of Newcastlemax, Capesize, Post Panamax, Kamsarmax, Ultramax, and Supramax vessels aggregate carrying capacity of 13,750,243 dead weight tonnage. Star Bulk Carriers Corp. was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Marousi, Greece.

Related stocks: HAFN (Hafnia Limited) · ASC (Ardmore Shipping Corporation) · NMM (Navios Maritime Partners LP) · HSHP (Himalaya Shipping Ltd.) · SB (Safe Bulkers, Inc)
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