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SBSafe Bulkers, IncHold6.7·$7.47
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Safe Bulkers offers a cheap, high-margin valuation profile, but a flagged earnings-quality concern, a dividend yield-trap warning, and a slightly negative risk-adjusted asymmetry ratio support a call to hold rather than add to the position.

Thesis pillars

  • Cheap Valuation Strong Margins↑Improving
  • Earnings Quality Red Flag→Stable
  • Dividend Yield Trap Warning→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Safe Bulkers, Inc (SB) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Marine Shipping

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $7.47, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 8.1%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Safe Bulkers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides marine drybulk transportation services internationally. The company owns and operates a fleet of dry bulk vessels for transporting bulk cargoes comprising coal, grain, and iron ore. Its fleet consists of 45 vessels,... Read more

$7.47+8.1% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#6 of 20 Marine Shipping
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.24%
IncomeYield4.02%(5y avg 3.78%)Payout27.27%sustainable
Stop $7.24Analyst target $8.07(−15% haircut)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst consensus$9.50+27.2%2 analysts with price targets
$8.07Analyst target
$7.47price
$9.50mean
$10

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $7.47, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 8.1%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 22d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 20, 2026

Recent Developments — Safe Bulkers, Inc

Latest item Oct 20, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-03T11:28:59Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 25, 202622d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 8.1%
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.7
P/E (Fwd)10.7
Mkt Cap$850M
EV/EBITDA7.1
Profit Mgn28.3%
ROE10.3%
Rev Growth33.0%
Beta—
Dividend4.02%
Analysts with ratings10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV84%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 ceiling hits

GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5A.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 22d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
23 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.46Resistance $8.82

Price Targets

$7
$8
A.Upside+8.1%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 1.0 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-25 (22d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SB stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $7.47, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 8.1%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $8.07 (+8.1%), stop $7.24 (−3.2%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SB stock price target?

Analyst target: $8.07 (+8.1% upside). Analyst target $8.07 (+8.1%), stop $7.24 (−3.2%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Stop-loss: $7.24.

What are the risks of investing in SB?

Thin upside margin: 8.1%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is SB overvalued or undervalued?

Safe Bulkers, Inc trades at a P/E of 9.7 (forward 10.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SB?

10 analysts rate SB, with a consensus score of 4.3/5. 2 analysts publish price targets averaging $10.

What does Safe Bulkers, Inc do?Safe Bulkers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides marine drybulk transportation services internationally....

Safe Bulkers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides marine drybulk transportation services internationally. The company owns and operates a fleet of dry bulk vessels for transporting bulk cargoes comprising coal, grain, and iron ore. Its fleet consists of 45 vessels, including 8 Panamax class vessels, 12 Kamsarmax class vessels, 17 post-Panamax class vessels, and 8 Capesize class vessels with an aggregate carrying capacity of 4,559,000 deadweight tons. Safe Bulkers, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Monaco.

Related stocks: ASC (Ardmore Shipping Corporation) · HAFN (Hafnia Limited) · HSHP (Himalaya Shipping Ltd.) · SBLK (Star Bulk Carriers Corp.) · NMM (Navios Maritime Partners LP)
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