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ASCArdmore Shipping CorporationBuy Wait7.4·$20.97
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Ardmore Shipping is a cheaply valued marine shipper with a perfect earnings-beat streak and rapid revenue growth, but its price is above the analyst target and reported earnings are not converting to cash. The fundamentals are strong, but the entry is stretched.

Thesis pillars

  • Weak Cash Conversion→Stable
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
  • Deep Value Pricing→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup · Inst Constrain edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Marine Shipping

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-11-03). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $19.99. Price sits above the model's entry target of $19.99; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.8% away).

Ardmore Shipping Corporation engages in the seaborne transportation of petroleum products and chemicals worldwide. The company's fleet consists of 26 vessels, including 25 owned Eco-design vessels and one chartered-in vessels. It serves oil majors, national oil companies, oil... Read more

$20.97-6.8% A.UpsideScore 7.4/10#1 of 20 Marine Shipping
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield-1.51%
IncomeYield6.53%(5y avg 2.41%)Payout25.29%sustainable
Entry $19.99(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $18.59Analyst target $19.55(reached)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst consensus$23.00+9.7%2 analysts
$20.97price
$23.00mean
$24

Wait for pullback to $19.99. Price sits above the model's entry target of $19.99; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Score 7.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-11-02
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong overall score: 7.4/10
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.8% away)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.2
P/E (Fwd)6.3
Mkt Cap$856M
EV/EBITDA6.0
Profit Mgn29.7%
ROE16.2%
Rev Growth61.3%
Beta0.09
Dividend6.53%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C1.17bearish
IV74%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
1.1
Support Resistance
1.1
52w Position
9.6
GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $18.00Resistance $21.34

Price Targets

A.Upside-6.8%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.8% upside)
! Earnings today - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $19.99. Price sits above the model's entry target of $19.99; the risk/reward becomes favorable on a pullback. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Earnings today. Wait until post-earnings. Analyst target $19.55 reached (−6.8%), stop $18.59 (−12.8%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Score 7.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ASC stock price target?

Analyst target $19.55 reached (−6.8% from $20.97); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $19.55 reached (−6.8%), stop $18.59 (−12.8%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Stop-loss: $18.59.

What are the risks of investing in ASC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.8% away); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is ASC overvalued or undervalued?

Ardmore Shipping Corporation trades at a P/E of 8.2 (forward 6.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ASC?

7 analysts cover ASC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Ardmore Shipping Corporation do?Ardmore Shipping Corporation engages in the seaborne transportation of petroleum products and chemicals worldwide. The...

Ardmore Shipping Corporation engages in the seaborne transportation of petroleum products and chemicals worldwide. The company's fleet consists of 26 vessels, including 25 owned Eco-design vessels and one chartered-in vessels. It serves oil majors, national oil companies, oil and chemical traders, chemical companies, and pooling service providers. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Related stocks: HAFN (Hafnia Limited) · SBLK (Star Bulk Carriers Corp.) · HSHP (Himalaya Shipping Ltd.) · NMM (Navios Maritime Partners LP) · PANL (Pangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd)
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