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ASCArdmore Shipping CorporationBuy Wait7.5·$19.82
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Ardmore Shipping combines a perfect earnings beat streak and cheap valuation with a failed momentum gate, notable insider selling, and earnings-quality flags that keep the risk/reward thin despite an upcoming catalyst.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Streak Cheap Valuation→Stable
  • Failed Momentum Gate↓Deteriorating
  • Insider Selling Value Trap Flag↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Ardmore Shipping Corporation (ASC) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Marine Shipping

Wait for pullback to $19.06. BUY gates pass at $19.82, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and near 52-week high (1.0% away) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $19.06 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Ardmore Shipping Corporation engages in the seaborne transportation of petroleum products and chemicals worldwide. The company's fleet consists of 26 vessels, including 25 owned Eco-design vessels and one chartered-in vessels. It serves oil majors, national oil companies, oil... Read more

$19.82-3.5% A.UpsideScore 7.5/10#1 of 20 Marine Shipping
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield-1.64%
IncomeYield7.04%(5y avg 2.41%)Payout25.29%sustainable
Entry $19.06(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $17.73Target $22.79(default +15%)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$22.50+13.5%2 analysts
$22.79our TP
$19.82price
$22.50mean
$24

Wait for pullback to $19.06. BUY gates pass at $19.82, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and near 52-week high (1.0% away) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $19.06 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-3.5% upside). Wait for pullback. Score 7.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 22d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202622d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong overall score: 7.5/10
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.0% away)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.5
P/E (Fwd)6.8
Mkt Cap$787M
EV/EBITDA5.5
Profit Mgn29.7%
ROE16.2%
Rev Growth61.3%
Beta0.09
Dividend7.04%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.56bullish
IV65%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 ceiling hits

GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 22d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
73 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $17.20Resistance $20.12

Price Targets

$18
$19
$23
A.Upside-3.5%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.7%
Max %1.4%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (22d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ASC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $19.06. BUY gates pass at $19.82, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining and near 52-week high (1.0% away) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $19.06 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Fundamentals strong but target reached (-3.5% upside). Wait for pullback. Target $22.79 (+15.0%), stop $17.73 (−11.8%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 7.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ASC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.79 (-3.5% upside). Target $22.79 (+15.0%), stop $17.73 (−11.8%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $17.73.

What are the risks of investing in ASC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.0% away); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is ASC overvalued or undervalued?

Ardmore Shipping Corporation trades at a P/E of 7.5 (forward 6.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ASC?

7 analysts cover ASC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Ardmore Shipping Corporation do?Ardmore Shipping Corporation engages in the seaborne transportation of petroleum products and chemicals worldwide. The...

Ardmore Shipping Corporation engages in the seaborne transportation of petroleum products and chemicals worldwide. The company's fleet consists of 26 vessels, including 25 owned Eco-design vessels and one chartered-in vessels. It serves oil majors, national oil companies, oil and chemical traders, chemical companies, and pooling service providers. The company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda.

Related stocks: HAFN (Hafnia Limited) · HSHP (Himalaya Shipping Ltd.) · NMM (Navios Maritime Partners LP) · SHIP (Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp) · SBLK (Star Bulk Carriers Corp.)
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