Republic Services has delivered four consecutive quarterly earnings beats with best-in-class margins among waste management peers, but a confirmed death cross in its moving averages and a price above the options max pain level of $160 suggest near-term downside pressure that offsets the otherwise solid earnings track record.
Thesis pillars
- Best In Class Margins Peer Rank→Stable
- Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
- Death Cross Confirmed Downtrend↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Industrials · Waste Management
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $214.71, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 3.4%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.
Republic Services collects, transfers, recycles, and disposes of solid waste across the United States and Canada through 377 collection operations, 207 active landfills, and 79 recycling centers. Revenue comes from municipal and commercial collection contracts, landfill disposal... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $214.71, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 3.4%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 46, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-08-15Recent Developments — Republic Services, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Keybank National Association OH Decreases Stock Holdings in Republic Services, Inc. $RSG - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Fund Update: 351,378 REPUBLIC SERVICES (RSG) shares added to C WorldWide Group Holding A|S portfolio - Quiver Quantitati — Quiver Quantitative neutral
- NEWS Earnings To Watch: Republic Services (RSG) Reports Q1 Results Tomorrow - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS Earnings To Watch: Republic Services (RSG) Reports Q1 Results Tomorrow - FinancialContent — FinancialContent neutral
- NEWS Republic Services (RSG) Reports Earnings Tomorrow: What To Expect - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail neutral
Generated 2026-08-15T13:12:18Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $214.71, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 3.4%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 46, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $221.92 (+3.4%), stop $205.43 (−4.5%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $221.92 (+3.4% upside). Target $221.92 (+3.4%), stop $205.43 (−4.5%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Stop-loss: $205.43.
Thin upside margin: 3.4%; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Weak growth.
Republic Services, Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.4 (forward 26.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Hold.
33 analysts cover RSG with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $247.
What does Republic Services, Inc. do?Republic Services collects, transfers, recycles, and disposes of solid waste across the United States and Canada...
Republic Services collects, transfers, recycles, and disposes of solid waste across the United States and Canada through 377 collection operations, 207 active landfills, and 79 recycling centers. Revenue comes from municipal and commercial collection contracts, landfill disposal fees, and recyclable commodity sales, supported by approximately 42,000 full-time employees.