Republic Services has delivered four consecutive quarterly earnings beats with best-in-class margins among waste management peers, but a confirmed death cross in its moving averages and a price above the options max pain level of $160 suggest near-term downside pressure that offsets the otherwise solid earnings track record.
Thesis pillars
- Best In Class Margins Peer Rank↑Improving
- Perfect Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
- Death Cross Confirmed Downtrend↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Republic Services, Inc. (RSG) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Industrials · Waste Management
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $216.91 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.
Republic Services collects, transfers, recycles, and disposes of solid waste across the United States and Canada through 377 collection operations, 207 active landfills, and 79 recycling centers. Revenue comes from municipal and commercial collection contracts, landfill disposal... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $216.91 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-26Recent Developments — Republic Services, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Keybank National Association OH Decreases Stock Holdings in Republic Services, Inc. $RSG - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
- NEWS Fund Update: 351,378 REPUBLIC SERVICES (RSG) shares added to C WorldWide Group Holding A|S portfolio - Quiver Quantitati — Quiver Quantitative neutral
- NEWS Earnings To Watch: Republic Services (RSG) Reports Q1 Results Tomorrow - StockStory — StockStory neutral
- NEWS Earnings To Watch: Republic Services (RSG) Reports Q1 Results Tomorrow - FinancialContent — FinancialContent neutral
- NEWS Vanguard Group Inc. Acquires 25,996 Shares of Republic Services, Inc. $RSG - MarketBeat — MarketBeat neutral
Generated 2026-07-26T09:23:02Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $216.91 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $206.71. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $220.84 (+1.8% upside). Prior stop was $206.71. Stop-loss: $206.71.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Weak growth.
Republic Services, Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.1 (forward 26.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
33 analysts cover RSG with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $245.
What does Republic Services, Inc. do?Republic Services collects, transfers, recycles, and disposes of solid waste across the United States and Canada...
Republic Services collects, transfers, recycles, and disposes of solid waste across the United States and Canada through 377 collection operations, 207 active landfills, and 79 recycling centers. Revenue comes from municipal and commercial collection contracts, landfill disposal fees, and recyclable commodity sales, supported by approximately 42,000 full-time employees.