Skip to main content
ROSTRoss Stores, Inc.Hold6.1·$214.99+0.73%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Ross Stores is an off-price apparel retailer with a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak, 39% return on equity, and 21% year-over-year earnings growth, currently trading at full value with essentially zero near-term upside to analyst resistance targets following a strong price run.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Earnings Growth 21 PctStable
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak Off PriceStable
  • Industry Leading Return On EquityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $214.99, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 9.1%; Negative momentum.

Ross Stores, Inc. and its subsidiaries ("we", "our", or the "Company") operate two brands of off-price retail apparel and home fashion stores-Ross Dress for Less® ("Ross") and dd's DISCOUNTS®.

$214.99+9.1% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#2 of 15 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.99%
IncomeYield0.83%(5y avg 1.03%)Payout23.18%sustainable
Stop $199.74Target $230.56(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$256.18+19.2%17 analysts
$230.56our TP
$214.99price
$256.18mean
$176
$290

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $214.99, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 9.1%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 46d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 20, 202646d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.1%
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.9
P/E (Fwd)25.0
Mkt Cap$68.5B
EV/EBITDA20.1
Profit Mgn9.7%
ROE39.0%
Rev Growth20.6%
Beta0.88
Dividend0.83%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.59bullish
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$130-39.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.9
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.7
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 20)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 46d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
20 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $205.92Resistance $242.81

Price Targets

$200
$231
A.Upside+7.2%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-20 (46d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ROST stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $214.99, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 9.1%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $230.56 (+7.2%), stop $199.74 (−7.6%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ROST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $230.56 (+9.1% upside). Target $230.56 (+7.2%), stop $199.74 (−7.6%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Stop-loss: $199.74.

What are the risks of investing in ROST?

Thin upside margin: 9.1%; Negative momentum.

Is ROST overvalued or undervalued?

Ross Stores, Inc. trades at a P/E of 29.9 (forward 25.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ROST?

26 analysts cover ROST with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $256.

What does Ross Stores, Inc. do?Ross Stores, Inc. and its subsidiaries ("we", "our", or the "Company") operate two brands of off-price retail apparel...

Ross Stores, Inc. and its subsidiaries ("we", "our", or the "Company") operate two brands of off-price retail apparel and home fashion stores-Ross Dress for Less® ("Ross") and dd's DISCOUNTS®.

Related stocks: GAP (Gap, Inc. (The)) · TJX (TJX Companies, Inc. (The)) · LULU (lululemon athletica inc.) · BURL (Burlington Stores, Inc.)
Home Stocks ROST

Latest news

Latest News

Yahoo Finance41d ago
MarketBeat41d ago
StockStory48d agoEarnings
Seeking Alpha55d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance55d ago
MarketBeat55d ago
GuruFocus56d ago
Yahoo Finance42d agoAnalyst
Yahoo Finance49d agoAnalyst
MarketBeat49d ago
GuruFocus56d agoAnalyst
Yahoo Finance56d ago
MSN56d ago
GuruFocus47d ago
Yahoo Finance47d agoEarnings
Quiver Quantitative47d ago
StockStory47d agoEarnings
Zacks Investment Research47d agoEarnings
Kavout47d ago
MarketBeat54d agoEarnings
Loading more...