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ROSTRoss Stores, Inc.Hold6.3·$240.80+3.62%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Ross Stores is an off-price apparel retailer with a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak, 39% return on equity, and 21% year-over-year earnings growth, currently trading at full value with essentially zero near-term upside to analyst resistance targets following a strong price run.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Earnings Growth 21 Pct
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak Off PriceStable
  • Industry Leading Return On EquityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Ross Stores, Inc. (ROST) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $240.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.6% away).

Ross Stores, Inc. and its subsidiaries ("we", "our", or the "Company") operate two brands of off-price retail apparel and home fashion stores-Ross Dress for Less® ("Ross") and dd's DISCOUNTS®.

$240.80-3.5% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#2 of 15 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.67%
IncomeYield0.75%(5y avg 1.03%)Payout23.18%sustainable
Stop $227.43Target $235.23(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$256.18+6.4%17 analysts
$235.23our TP
$240.80price
$256.18mean
$176
$290

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $240.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.6% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 24d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 20, 202624d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.6% away)
Overbought (RSI 80)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.3
P/E (Fwd)28.0
Mkt Cap$76.6B
EV/EBITDA22.5
Profit Mgn9.7%
ROE39.0%
Rev Growth20.6%
Beta0.88
Dividend0.75%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C13.98bearish
IV45%normal
Max Pain$285+18.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.3
Bollinger
1.1
52w Position
9.7
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 24d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
80 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $205.92Resistance $240.03

Price Targets

$227
$235
A.Upside-3.5%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-20 (24d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ROST stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $240.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.6% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $235.23 (-2.3%), stop $227.43 (−5.9%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ROST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $235.23 (-3.5% upside). Target $235.23 (-2.3%), stop $227.43 (−5.9%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $227.43.

What are the risks of investing in ROST?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.6% away); Overbought (RSI 80).

Is ROST overvalued or undervalued?

Ross Stores, Inc. trades at a P/E of 33.3 (forward 28.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ROST?

26 analysts cover ROST with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $256.

What does Ross Stores, Inc. do?Ross Stores, Inc. and its subsidiaries ("we", "our", or the "Company") operate two brands of off-price retail apparel...

Ross Stores, Inc. and its subsidiaries ("we", "our", or the "Company") operate two brands of off-price retail apparel and home fashion stores-Ross Dress for Less® ("Ross") and dd's DISCOUNTS®.

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