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ROKRockwell Automation, Inc.Sell5.7·$471.70-2.30%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Rockwell Automation is a high-quality industrial automation company with a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak, 27% return on equity, and meaningful earnings growth, but the stock trades above analyst price targets with nearly zero near-term upside, making it a hold rather than a compelling new entry at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Price At Analyst Target No UpsideStable
  • Strong Revenue And Earnings GrowthStable
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak AutomationStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Rockwell Automation, Inc. (ROK) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $471.70 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers.

Rockwell Automation designs and sells industrial automation hardware, software, and services through three segments: Intelligent Devices, Software & Control, and Lifecycle Services. The company serves customers in more than 100 countries across discrete markets including... Read more

$471.70+3.3% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#10 of 58 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.86%
IncomeYield1.17%(5y avg 1.63%)Payout55.87%sustainable
Stop $442.98Target $487.41(resistance)A.R:R -1.6:1
Analyst target$468.61-0.7%25 analysts
$487.41our TP
$471.70price
$468.61mean
$282
$527

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $471.70 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)49.0
P/E (Fwd)32.3
Mkt Cap$52.5B
EV/EBITDA28.5
Profit Mgn12.4%
ROE27.2%
Rev Growth11.9%
Beta1.54
Dividend1.17%
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.85neutral
IV49%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersingle-source suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We also maintain several single-source supplier relationships because either alternative sources are not available'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-17Item 5.02LOW
    David A. Zapico elected as director of Rockwell Automation effective April 16, 2026; board expanded from 10 to 11 directors. Appointed to Compensation and Talent Management Committee and Board Composition and Corporate Governance Committee. Routine non-executive board appointment; no successor named for any departing officer.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.5
Analyst Target
3.0
Forward Pe
3.5
Peg Ratio
4.4
Ps
6.2
Forward P/E: 32.3xPEG: 2.05

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.9
Growth Rank
6.1
Quality Rank
7.5
Superior ROE vs peers
GatesA.R:R -1.6=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $439.70Resistance $497.36

Price Targets

$443
$487
A.Upside+3.3%
A.R:R-1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ROK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $471.70 — A.R:R is negative (-1.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $442.98. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ROK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $487.41 (+3.3% upside). Prior stop was $442.98. Stop-loss: $442.98.

What are the risks of investing in ROK?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

Is ROK overvalued or undervalued?

Rockwell Automation, Inc. trades at a P/E of 49.0 (forward 32.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ROK?

33 analysts cover ROK with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $469.

What does Rockwell Automation, Inc. do?Rockwell Automation designs and sells industrial automation hardware, software, and services through three segments:...

Rockwell Automation designs and sells industrial automation hardware, software, and services through three segments: Intelligent Devices, Software & Control, and Lifecycle Services. The company serves customers in more than 100 countries across discrete markets including automotive and semiconductor, and process markets including energy, chemicals, and food and beverage. Major competitors named in the 10-K include Siemens AG, ABB Ltd, Schneider Electric SA, Emerson Electric Co., Mitsubishi Electric, Honeywell, and Dassault Systemes.

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