Skip to main content
ROKRockwell Automation, Inc.Hold5.8·$449.37+0.87%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Rockwell Automation is a high-quality industrial automation company with a perfect four-quarter earnings beat streak, 27% return on equity, and meaningful earnings growth, but the stock trades above analyst price targets with nearly zero near-term upside, making it a hold rather than a compelling new entry at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Price At Analyst Target No UpsideDeteriorating
  • Strong Revenue And Earnings Growth
  • Perfect Earnings Beat Streak AutomationDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Rockwell Automation, Inc. (ROK) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $449.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Rockwell Automation designs and sells industrial automation hardware, software, and services through three segments: Intelligent Devices, Software & Control, and Lifecycle Services. The company serves customers in more than 100 countries across discrete markets including... Read more

$449.37-4.3% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#20 of 56 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.64%
IncomeYield1.22%(5y avg 1.63%)Payout51.03%sustainable
Stop $420.15Target $479.56(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$477.67+6.3%24 analysts
$479.56our TP
$449.37price
$477.67mean
$282
$550

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $449.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202682d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)42.2
P/E (Fwd)30.0
Mkt Cap$49.5B
EV/EBITDA25.5
Profit Mgn13.4%
ROE30.6%
Rev Growth7.9%
Beta1.53
Dividend1.22%
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.09bullish
IV53%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSuppliersingle-source suppliers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We also maintain several single-source supplier relationships because either alternative sources are not available'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-17Item 5.02LOW
    David A. Zapico elected as director of Rockwell Automation effective April 16, 2026; board expanded from 10 to 11 directors. Appointed to Compensation and Talent Management Committee and Board Composition and Corporate Governance Committee. Routine non-executive board appointment; no successor named for any departing officer.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.9
Forward Pe
4.0
Analyst Target
4.0
Peg Ratio
4.6
Ps
6.5
Forward P/E: 30.0xPEG: 1.90

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.1
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $433.14Resistance $489.35

Price Targets

$420
$480
A.Upside-4.3%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.3% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ROK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $449.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $479.56 (+6.7%), stop $420.15 (−7.0%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ROK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $479.56 (-4.3% upside). Target $479.56 (+6.7%), stop $420.15 (−7.0%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $420.15.

What are the risks of investing in ROK?

Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source suppliers; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.

Is ROK overvalued or undervalued?

Rockwell Automation, Inc. trades at a P/E of 42.2 (forward 30.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ROK?

33 analysts cover ROK with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $478.

What does Rockwell Automation, Inc. do?Rockwell Automation designs and sells industrial automation hardware, software, and services through three segments:...

Rockwell Automation designs and sells industrial automation hardware, software, and services through three segments: Intelligent Devices, Software & Control, and Lifecycle Services. The company serves customers in more than 100 countries across discrete markets including automotive and semiconductor, and process markets including energy, chemicals, and food and beverage. Major competitors named in the 10-K include Siemens AG, ABB Ltd, Schneider Electric SA, Emerson Electric Co., Mitsubishi Electric, Honeywell, and Dassault Systemes.

Related stocks: XE (X-Energy, Inc.) · GTES (Gates Industrial Corporation Lt) · GEV (GE Vernova Inc.) · CR (Crane Company) · WTS (Watts Water Technologies, Inc.)
Home Stocks ROK

Latest news

Latest News

Revelio Labs17d ago
GuruFocus17d ago
MarketBeat17d ago
Yahoo Finance108d ago
Zacks Investment Research108d agoEarnings
MSN108d ago
Insider Monkey108d agoLeadership Change
MarketBeat31d ago
MarketBeat31d ago
Yahoo Finance18d ago
Finance.yahoo.com18d agoEarnings
MarketBeat18d ago
MarketWatch32d ago
Yahoo Finance32d agoProduct
TradingKey102d ago
Investing.com102d ago
MSN102d ago
StockStory102d ago
Quiver Quantitative102d agoEarnings
Yahoo Finance11d agoEarnings
Loading more...