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Rockwell Automation, Inc. (ROK) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $425.45, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Rockwell Automation is dedicated to industrial automation and digital transformation, operating through Intelligent Devices, Software & Control, and Lifecycle Services segments in 100+ countries. Revenue comes from hardware, software, and service solutions sold to manufacturers... Read more

$425.45+6.4% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#23 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.07%
IncomeYield1.31%(5y avg 1.64%)Payout55.87%sustainable
Stop $395.62Target $452.82(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$459.69+8.0%25 analysts
$452.82our TP
$425.45price
$459.69mean
$282
$525

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $425.45, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Val3.7Qual6.8Grw7.7Mom2.5Sent6.9Ins3.9Peer3.8Tech6.4Risk5.85.3OVERALL

Recent Developments — Rockwell Automation, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)43.9
P/E (Fwd)29.2
Mkt Cap$47.0B
EV/EBITDA25.7
Profit Mgn12.4%
ROE27.2%
Rev Growth11.9%
Beta1.56
Dividend1.31%
Rating analysts34

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.55bullish
IV38%normal
Max Pain$270-36.5% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-17Item 5.02LOW
    David A. Zapico elected to Rockwell Automation Board effective April 16, 2026, as a Class III director. Board expanded from 10 to 11 members. No arrangement or transaction requiring disclosure cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-17Item 5.02LOW
    Shareholders approved Rockwell Automation 2026 Long-Term Incentives Plan at annual meeting on February 10, 2026, authorizing 10.6 million shares. Routine compensatory arrangement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.8
Analyst Target
4.0
Peg Ratio
4.1
Forward Pe
4.2
Ps
6.7
Forward P/E: 29.2xPEG: 2.38

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.5
Growth Rank
6.4
Quality Rank
7.2
Superior ROE vs peers
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $395.08Resistance $462.06

Price Targets

$396
$453
A.Upside+6.4%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.7% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ROK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $425.45, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $452.82 (+6.4%), stop $395.62 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ROK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $452.82 (+6.4% upside). Target $452.82 (+6.4%), stop $395.62 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Stop-loss: $395.62.

What are the risks of investing in ROK?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

Is ROK overvalued or undervalued?

Rockwell Automation, Inc. trades at a P/E of 43.9 (forward 29.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ROK?

34 analysts cover ROK with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $460.

What does Rockwell Automation, Inc. do?Rockwell Automation is dedicated to industrial automation and digital transformation, operating through Intelligent...

Rockwell Automation is dedicated to industrial automation and digital transformation, operating through Intelligent Devices, Software & Control, and Lifecycle Services segments in 100+ countries. Revenue comes from hardware, software, and service solutions sold to manufacturers in automotive, food & beverage, life sciences, and other markets globally.

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