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RJFRaymond James Financial, Inc.Hold6.8·$169.30+1.90%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Raymond James Financial is a high-quality wealth management franchise with a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, a confirmed wide economic moat, and consistent earnings beats, but the stock has already exceeded analyst consensus targets and sits in a confirmed short-term downtrend that limits near-term entry attractiveness.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Economic Moat QualityImproving
  • Attractive Valuation MetricsStable
  • Earnings Beat ConsistencyImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Raymond James Financial, Inc. (RJF) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temporary headwind edge

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $169.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away).

Raymond James Financial delivers wealth management, capital markets, asset management, and banking across five segments, predominantly in the U.S. with operations in Canada and the UK. The PCG segment generated $10.18 billion in net revenues in fiscal 2025 on $1.67 trillion in... Read more

$169.30-5.0% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#10 of 239 Asset Management
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.30%(5y avg 1.32%)Payout18.48%sustainable
Entry $156.94(200-day MA)Stop $148.92Target $168.98(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$184.92+9.2%12 analysts
$168.98our TP
$169.30price
$184.92mean
$161
$205

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $169.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away). Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $169.30 has reached target $168.98. No upside to wait for. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, news boost analyst cluster(3), earnings proximity 95d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Raymond James Financial, Inc.

About Raymond James Financial, Inc.

Raymond James Financial generated $10.18 billion in Private Client Group net revenues and $1.77 billion in Capital Markets net revenues for the fiscal year ended September 30, 2025, serving 8,943 affiliated financial advisors. The company operates five segments — PCG, Capital Markets, Asset Management, Bank, and Other — primarily in the U.S. with smaller presences in Canada, the UK, and Europe. The Federal Reserve serves as primary regulator given Raymond James' status as a bank holding company.

The PCG segment earns asset management fees on $1.01 trillion in fee-based accounts within a total $1.67 trillion in client AUA, plus brokerage commissions and RJBDP servicing fees from third-party banks on client cash swept into the multi-bank deposit program. The Bank segment funds itself primarily through RJBDP sweep deposits from PCG clients — a funding source the 10-K identifies as one the company "relies heavily" upon for Bank segment asset growth. As of September 30, 2025, securities-based loans and residential mortgage loans represented 46% of Bank segment assets, while corporate and tax-exempt loans represented 33%, with 66% of that corporate portfolio in U.S. or Canadian syndicated facilities. The Capital Markets segment provides M&A advisory, equity and debt underwriting, and fixed-income and equity brokerage to institutional clients across the U.S., Canada, and Europe, while the Asset Management segment collects management fees as a percentage of fee-billable AUM through its AMS and Raymond James Investment Management divisions.

Show full overview

Interest rate levels materially influence the RJBDP fee income Raymond James collects from third-party banks, which is variable and fluctuates with short-term rates and the spread between those rates and what participating banks pay depositors. Elevated interest rates incentivize PCG clients to reallocate cash into money market funds and fixed-income securities, reducing RJBDP balances and the attached fee income. The 10-K notes that RJBDP cash balance declines could impair the Bank segment's ability to grow interest-earning assets or force substitution with higher-cost funding sources, exposing the company to simultaneous NII compression and deposit-flow pressure.

See also: Financial Services · Asset Management

From Raymond James Financial, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 28, 202695d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.7% away)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.5
P/E (Fwd)12.0
Mkt Cap$32.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn15.1%
ROE
Rev Growth15.2%
Beta0.94
Dividend1.30%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.42bearish
IV32%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.2
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
8.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70NEWS BOOST ANALYST CLUSTER(3)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 95d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $146.12Resistance $172.43

Price Targets

$149
$157
$169
A.Upside-5.0%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.1%
Max %2.1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.0% upside)
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-28 (95d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RJF stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $169.30, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away). Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $169.30 has reached target $168.98. No upside to wait for. Target $168.98 (-0.2%), stop $148.92 (−13.7%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RJF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $168.98 (-5.0% upside). Target $168.98 (-0.2%), stop $148.92 (−13.7%), A.R:R -0.4:1. Stop-loss: $148.92.

What are the risks of investing in RJF?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.7% away); Negative momentum.

Is RJF overvalued or undervalued?

Raymond James Financial, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.5 (forward 12.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about RJF?

18 analysts cover RJF with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $185.

What does Raymond James Financial, Inc. do?Raymond James Financial delivers wealth management, capital markets, asset management, and banking across five...

Raymond James Financial delivers wealth management, capital markets, asset management, and banking across five segments, predominantly in the U.S. with operations in Canada and the UK. The PCG segment generated $10.18 billion in net revenues in fiscal 2025 on $1.67 trillion in client assets under administration, while the Bank segment held $65.26 billion in total assets as of September 30, 2025, primarily funded by client deposits swept from PCG.

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