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RFRegions Financial CorporationHold5.8·$29.00+1.40%
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Regions Financial Corporation (RF) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $29.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: South, Midwest and Texas; Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve and Alabama State Banking Department.

Regions Financial Corporation is a bank holding company with $158.8 billion in total assets at December 31, 2025, operating 1,247 branches primarily across the South, Midwest, and Texas through three segments: Corporate Bank, Consumer Bank, and Wealth Management. Revenue comes... Read more

$29.000.0% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#88 of 142 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield3.71%(5y avg 3.87%)Payout43.36%sustainable
Stop $27.62Target $29.00(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$30.73+6.0%19 analysts
$29.00our TP
$29.00price
$30.73mean
$28
$34

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $29.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: South, Midwest and Texas; Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve and Alabama State Banking Department. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Regions Financial Corporation

About Regions Financial Corporation

Regions Financial Corporation held $158.8 billion in total consolidated assets and $131.1 billion in deposits at December 31, 2025, with $19.0 billion in shareholders' equity. The company operates 1,247 branches primarily across the South, Midwest, and Texas as a Financial Holding Company subject to Federal Reserve oversight and Alabama State Banking Department examination, with three operating segments — Corporate Bank, Consumer Bank, and Wealth Management.

Regions earns revenue predominantly through net interest income on its loan and investment portfolio, supplemented by fee income from wealth management, securities brokerage, merger-and-acquisition advisory services, and home improvement lending. The Federal Open Market Committee reduced the federal funds rate from a peak range of 5.25-5.50% in 2023-2024 to 3.50-3.75% by end of 2025, compressing spreads on earning assets; elevated rates also increase debt-service burden for certain borrowers, depending on credit quality. In 2025, Regions sold 50% of originated mortgage loans to the Agencies, relying on the secondary market to manage credit risk and fund additional originations; if the Agencies restrict conforming loan purchases, mortgage origination capacity could be adversely affected. Deposit stability is a key funding variable: competition across the 1,247-branch network exposes the company to mix-shift into higher-cost products that may compress net interest margin.

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Regions' Stress Capital Buffer was floored at 2.5% through the third quarter of 2027 following the Federal Reserve's February 2026 decision to maintain SCB requirements at current levels while soliciting public comment on proposed changes to its supervisory stress-testing models. As a Category IV banking organization, Regions undergoes supervisory stress tests biennially rather than annually; the SCB is calculated in even-numbered years using the Federal Reserve's severely adverse scenario. If the re-proposed Basel III capital rules are adopted in their originally proposed form, removal of the AOCI opt-out for Category IV firms could affect regulatory capital levels.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From Regions Financial Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Fri, Jul 17, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive momentum
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: South, Midwest and Texas
Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve and Alabama State Banking Department
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.9
P/E (Fwd)10.0
Mkt Cap$24.4B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn31.0%
ROE11.9%
Rev Growth7.3%
Beta1.03
Dividend3.71%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.10bullish
IV42%normal
Max Pain$37+27.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicSouth, Midwest and Texas
    10-K Item 1A: 'in the South, Midwest and Texas, the principal markets in which we conduct business'
  • MEDIUMcounterpartyAgencies (mortgage secondary market)50%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, we sold 50.0 percent of the mortgage loans we originated to the Agencies.'
  • HIGHregulatoryFederal Reserve and Alabama State Banking Department
    10-K Item 1: 'subject to supervision and examination by both the Federal Reserve and the Alabama State Banking Department'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $26.44Resistance $29.59

Price Targets

$28
$29
A.Upside0.0%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-17 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RF stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $29.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: South, Midwest and Texas; Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve and Alabama State Banking Department. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $29.00 (0.0%), stop $27.62 (−5.0%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.00 (0.0% upside). Target $29.00 (0.0%), stop $27.62 (−5.0%), A.R:R -0.5:1. Stop-loss: $27.62.

What are the risks of investing in RF?

Concentration risk — Geographic: South, Midwest and Texas; Concentration risk — Regulatory: Federal Reserve and Alabama State Banking Department; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is RF overvalued or undervalued?

Regions Financial Corporation trades at a P/E of 11.9 (forward 10.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about RF?

29 analysts cover RF with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $31.

What does Regions Financial Corporation do?Regions Financial Corporation is a bank holding company with $158.8 billion in total assets at December 31, 2025,...

Regions Financial Corporation is a bank holding company with $158.8 billion in total assets at December 31, 2025, operating 1,247 branches primarily across the South, Midwest, and Texas through three segments: Corporate Bank, Consumer Bank, and Wealth Management. Revenue comes from net interest income and fee income from wealth management, mortgage banking, and capital markets services for retail and commercial clients.

Related stocks: CUBI (Customers Bancorp, Inc) · IFS (Intercorp Financial Services In) · SSB (SouthState Bank Corporation) · PNFP (Pinnacle Financial Partners, In) · INTR (Inter & Co. Inc.)
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