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SFBSServisFirst Bancshares, Inc.Hold6.2·$41.88
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ServisFirst Bancshares is a best-in-class regional bank with 54% net margins, a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, and strong earnings growth, but commercial real estate concentration at 65.8% of the loan book and a price already at analyst targets leave little margin of safety for new buyers.

Thesis pillars

  • Commercial Real Estate Loan Concentration↓Deteriorating
  • Best In Class Margins And Returns→Stable
  • Strong Revenue And Earnings Growth→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc. (SFBS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $41.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial and consumer real estate loans (65.8%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

ServisFirst Bancshares operates 33 banking offices across Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Virginia, offering commercial, consumer, and correspondent banking through a single reportable segment. With $17.73 billion in total assets and... Read more

$41.88-6.6% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#74 of 222 Banks - Regional
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield1.81%(5y avg 1.50%)Payout25.13%sustainable
Stop $39.46Analyst target $39.10(reached)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst consensus$46.00+9.8%3 analysts with price targets
$41.88price
$46.00mean
$47

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $41.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial and consumer real estate loans (65.8%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc.

About ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc.

ServisFirst Bancshares held $17.73 billion in total assets at December 31, 2025, funded primarily by $14.22 billion in deposits across 33 banking offices in Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North and South Carolina, Tennessee, and Virginia. The company operates as a single-segment commercial bank regulated by the Federal Reserve as primary holding company supervisor, with the FDIC and Alabama State Banking Department conducting periodic examinations. Total stockholders' equity stood at $1.85 billion at year-end.

ServisFirst earns income principally from interest and fees on loans, which at year-end 2025 were heavily weighted toward real estate: 65.8% of the loan portfolio consisted of commercial and consumer real estate loans, including $4.60 billion in non-owner-occupied CRE (33.6% of total loans) and $2.74 billion in owner-occupied CRE (20.0%), with 1-4 family mortgage loans adding another 12.2%. The company targets business borrowers with annual sales between $2 million and $250 million, using a decentralized model in which regional CEOs exercise direct lending authority within centralized credit administration guardrails. Named competitors include Regions Financial Corporation, Wells Fargo, PNC Financial Services Group, Truist Financial Corporation, and Pinnacle Financial Partners.

Show full overview

Commercial real estate has attracted increased regulatory scrutiny due to valuation concerns tied to interest rates, and the filing notes that the company's interest sensitivity profile was somewhat liability sensitive at December 31, 2025—meaning net interest income would decrease more from rising rates than from falling rates. Substandard loans in non-owner-occupied CRE totaled $88.7 million at year-end 2025, while net charge-offs in that segment were $1.2 million. ServisFirst holds three independent third-party loan reviews annually covering 35–40% of the commercial portfolio, with results presented to the Board of Directors.

See also: Financial Services · Banks - Regional

From ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

No fresh coverage since Oct 20, 2026

Recent Developments — ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc.

Latest item Oct 20, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:34:08Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jan 19, 202775d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial and consumer real estate loans (65.8%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.4
P/E (Fwd)12.0
Mkt Cap$4.6B
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn55.6%
ROE17.9%
Rev Growth24.3%
Beta0.92
Dividend1.81%
Analysts with ratings9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV69%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHloan_portfoliocommercial and consumer real estate loans66%
    10-K Item 1A: '65.8% of our loan portfolio was composed of commercial and consumer real estate loans'
  • MEDIUMloan_portfolionon-owner-occupied commercial real estate34%
    10-K Item 1: 'non-owner-occupied commercial real estate amounted to approximately $4.60 billion, representing 33.6% of our total loan portfolio'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.8
Support Resistance
2.0
Gap
4.0
52w Position
8.3
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $37.51Resistance $42.94

Price Targets

A.Upside-6.6%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-19 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SFBS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $41.88, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial and consumer real estate loans (65.8%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $39.10 reached (−6.6%), stop $39.46 (−6.1%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SFBS stock price target?

Analyst target $39.10 reached (−6.6% from $41.88); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $39.10 reached (−6.6%), stop $39.46 (−6.1%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $39.46.

What are the risks of investing in SFBS?

Concentration risk — Loan Portfolio: commercial and consumer real estate loans (65.8%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is SFBS overvalued or undervalued?

ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.4 (forward 12.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SFBS?

9 analysts rate SFBS, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 3 analysts publish price targets averaging $46.

What does ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc. do?ServisFirst Bancshares operates 33 banking offices across Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina,...

ServisFirst Bancshares operates 33 banking offices across Alabama, Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee, and Virginia, offering commercial, consumer, and correspondent banking through a single reportable segment. With $17.73 billion in total assets and $13.70 billion in total loans at December 31, 2025, it earns income primarily from interest and fees on loans funded by $14.22 billion in deposits.

Related stocks: MBIN (Merchants Bancorp) · BWFG (Bankwell Financial Group, Inc.) · GCBC (Greene County Bancorp, Inc.) · FMNB (Farmers National Banc Corp.) · MCBS (MetroCity Bankshares, Inc.)
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