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RCIRogers Communication, Inc.Sell5.9·$36.44+0.11%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Rogers Communications trades at a forward price-to-earnings of 10.7x with an excellent return on equity of 41% and strong operating margins of 32%, but earnings are expected to decline approximately 61% as the current period likely represents a cyclical peak — making valuation misleading and the near-term downside risk more significant than the headline multiples suggest.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Quality Metrics TelecomStable
  • Cyclical Earnings Peak RiskStable
  • Negative Price AsymmetryStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Rogers Communication, Inc. (RCI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $36.44 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.3x (earnings normalizing).

Rogers Communications Inc. operates as a communications, sports, and entertainment company in Canada. It operates through Wireless, Cable, and Media segments. The company offers mobile internet access, wireless voice and enhanced voice, device financing, device protection,... Read more

$36.44-0.6% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#5 of 44 Telecom Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield38.55%
IncomeYield3.90%(5y avg 3.76%)Payout17.54%sustainable
Stop $34.90Target $41.91(default +15%)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$42.62+17.0%3 analysts
$41.91our TP
$36.44price
$42.62mean
$52

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $36.44 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.3x (earnings normalizing). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 80. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 67d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Oct 22, 202667d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Margin of safety: 70%
Risks
Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.3x (earnings normalizing)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)4.5
P/E (Fwd)10.4
Mkt Cap$19.7B
EV/EBITDA7.3
Profit Mgn27.3%
ROE30.9%
Rev Growth7.7%
Beta0.79
Dividend3.90%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.30bullish
IV72%elevated
Max Pain$25-31.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.3
Support Resistance
0.5
52w Position
8.0
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 67d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
80 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $32.26Resistance $36.68

Price Targets

$35
$42
A.Upside-0.6%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-22 (67d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RCI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $36.44 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.3x (earnings normalizing). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 80. Prior stop was $34.90. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RCI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $41.91 (-0.6% upside). Prior stop was $34.90. Stop-loss: $34.90.

What are the risks of investing in RCI?

Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.3x (earnings normalizing); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0.

Is RCI overvalued or undervalued?

Rogers Communication, Inc. trades at a P/E of 4.5 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RCI?

26 analysts cover RCI with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $43.

What does Rogers Communication, Inc. do?Rogers Communications Inc. operates as a communications, sports, and entertainment company in Canada. It operates...

Rogers Communications Inc. operates as a communications, sports, and entertainment company in Canada. It operates through Wireless, Cable, and Media segments. The company offers mobile internet access, wireless voice and enhanced voice, device financing, device protection, global voice and data roaming, wireless home phone, bridging landline, machine-to-machine and Internet of Things solutions, and advanced wireless solutions for businesses, as well as device shipping and pickup services; satellite-to-mobile service; and wireless solutions under the Rogers, Fido, and chatr brands. It also provides Internet access, Internet protocol-based (IP) television, applications, online viewing, phone, home monitoring, and advanced home WiFi services to consumer and businesses. In addition, the company offers local and network TV; on-demand television; cloud-based digital video recorders; voice-activated remote controls, restart, and integrated apps; linear and time-shifted programming; digital specialty channels; and 4K television programming. Further, it provides residential and small business local telephony services; voicemail, call waiting, and long distance; video and audio programming; voice, data networking, IP, and Ethernet services; private networking, Internet, IP voice, and cloud solutions; optical wave and multi-protocol label switching services; information technology and network technologies; cable access network services; telecommunications technical consulting services; and season games through television, smartphones, tablets, personal computers, and other streaming devices. Additionally, the company owns Toronto Blue Jays and the Rogers Centre event venue; and operates Sportsnet ONE, Sportsnet 360, Sportsnet World, Citytv, OMNI, FX (Canada), FXX (Canada), and HGTV television networks, as well as AM and FM radio stations. It also offers Rogers and the Rogers Red World Elite Mastercard. The company was founded in 1960 and is headquartered in Toronto, Canada.

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