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PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tb (TLK) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellHigh Confidence

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $17.25 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8.

Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk provides information and communications technology, and telecommunications network services worldwide. The company operates through Mobile, Consumer, Enterprise, Wholesale and International Business, and Other... Read more

$17.25+18.8% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#29 of 40 Telecom Services
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield196906.42%
IncomeYield7.77%(5y avg 4.93%)Payout116.22%at-risk
Stop $16.54Target $20.48(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.8:1
Analyst target$24.10+39.7%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $17.25 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9)
Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8
Weak overall score: 4.8/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.1
P/E (Fwd)10.8
Mkt Cap$16.4B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn12.1%
ROE16.1%
Rev Growth-1.7%
Beta0.07
Dividend7.77%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Revenue shrinking — -1.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.1
Declining revenue: -2%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.4
Value Rank
3.6
Quality Rank
6.2

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
3.9
Ma Position
5.2
Macd
7.6
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.5
Support Resistance
3.9
Gap
4.0
52w Position
4.7
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R 3.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $16.43Resistance $17.75

Price Targets

$17
$20
A.Upside+18.7%
A.R:R3.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for TLK.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TLK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $17.25 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Prior stop was $16.54. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

What is the TLK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.48 (+18.8% upside). Prior stop was $16.54. Stop-loss: $16.54.

What are the risks of investing in TLK?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Sector modifier (Communication Services): -0.8; Weak overall score: 4.8/10.

Is TLK overvalued or undervalued?

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tb trades at a P/E of 16.1 (forward 10.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TLK?

23 analysts cover TLK with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $24.

What does PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tb do?Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk provides information and communications technology, and...

Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk provides information and communications technology, and telecommunications network services worldwide. The company operates through Mobile, Consumer, Enterprise, Wholesale and International Business, and Other segments. The Mobile segment offers mobile voice, SMS, mobile broadband, and value added services. The Consumer segment provides fixed wireline, pay TV, and internet services; and other telecommunication services to home customers. The Enterprise segment offers end-to-end solution to corporate and institutions. The Wholesale and International Business segment provides interconnection services, broadband access, information technology services, data, and internet services to other licensed operator and institutions. The Other segment offers digital content products, big data, business-to-business commerce, and financial services to individual and corporate customers. The company also engages in leasing of towers, and provision of digital support and other telecommunication services; provision of consultation service of hardware, software, data center, and internet exchange, as well as multimedia portal services; business management consulting; property development and management; trading service related to telecommunication, information, multimedia technology, entertainment, and investment services; and digital content exchange hub services. The company was founded in 1884 and is headquartered in Bandung, Indonesia. Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Danantara Asset Management (Persero).

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