PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tb (TLK) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the TLK stock price target?

Take-profit $20.48 (+22.7% upside). Prior stop was $15.94.

Q: What are the risks of investing in TLK?

Weak growth; Negative momentum; Momentum score 3.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum.

Q: Is TLK overvalued or undervalued?

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tb trades at a P/E of 13.1 (forward 10.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about TLK?

23 analysts cover TLK with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $24.

Falling Knife setup

SellModerate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Communication Services · Telecom Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $16.70 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth.

$16.70+22.7% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#17 of 40 Telecom Services

Stop $15.94Target $20.48(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 4.4:1

Analyst target$24.10+44.3%1 analysts

Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $16.70 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 17, MACD bearish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

Attractive valuation

Analyst upside: 23%

Risks

Weak growth

Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.1

P/E (Fwd)10.9

Mkt Cap$16.5B

EV/EBITDA—

Profit Mgn14.8%

ROE18.3%

Rev Growth-0.9%

Beta0.15

Dividend7.71%

Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value8.915%1.33

Quality5.015%0.75

Growth1.115%0.17

Momentum3.410%0.34

Sentiment6.410%0.64

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank3.610%0.36

Technical Setup7.35%0.36

Risk Profile8.15%0.41

Catalyst7.55%0.38

Overall (Σ contributions)5.24

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Revenue shrinking — -0.9% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth

0.0

Revenue Growth

2.3

Declining revenue: -1%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume

0.3

Macd

1.5

Ma Position

2.2

Rsi

3.0

Obv

10.0

Capitulation risk (RSI 17, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+1.3%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank

1.8

Value Rank

5.4

Quality Rank

7.1

GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R 4.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate

RSI

17 · Oversold

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $16.43Resistance $19.23

Price Targets

$16

$20

A.Upside+22.6%

A.R:R4.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for TLK.

The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is TLK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $16.70 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 17, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $15.94. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TLK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.48 (+22.7% upside). Prior stop was $15.94. Stop-loss: $15.94.

What are the risks of investing in TLK?

Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is TLK overvalued or undervalued?

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tb trades at a P/E of 13.1 (forward 10.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TLK?

23 analysts cover TLK with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $24.

What does PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia, Tb do?Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk provides information and communications technology, and...

Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk provides information and communications technology, and telecommunications network services worldwide. The company operates through Mobile, Consumer, Enterprise, Wholesale and International Business, and Other segments. The Mobile segment offers mobile voice, SMS, mobile broadband, and value added services. The Consumer segment provides fixed wireline, pay TV, and internet services; and other telecommunication services to home customers. The Enterprise segment offers end-to-end solution to corporate and institutions. The Wholesale and International Business segment provides interconnection services, broadband access, information technology services, data, and internet services to other licensed operator and institutions. The Other segment offers digital content products, big data, business-to-business commerce, and financial services to individual and corporate customers. The company also engages in leasing of towers, and provision of digital support and other telecommunication services; provision of consultation service of hardware, software, data center, and internet exchange, as well as multimedia portal services; business management consulting; property development and management; trading service related to telecommunication, information, multimedia technology, entertainment, and investment services; and digital content exchange hub services. The company was founded in 1884 and is headquartered in Bandung, Indonesia. Perusahaan Perseroan (Persero) PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk operates as a subsidiary of PT Danantara Asset Management (Persero).