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RBARB Global, Inc.Sell6.1·$82.87-0.04%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

RB Global is an industrial auction and asset management services company with a perfect 4-for-4 earnings beat streak averaging 11.3% positive surprise and the strongest momentum score of 8.0 out of 10, but the stock has already reached its analyst price target with only 0.6% upside and a reward-to-risk ratio of 0.12 that makes new entry unattractive.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Strongest Momentum ScoreDeteriorating
  • Stock At Analyst TargetImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

RB Global, Inc. (RBA) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Business Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $82.87 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

RB Global operates omnichannel auction marketplaces for commercial assets and vehicles via Ritchie Bros. (construction/transportation) and IAA (automotive salvage) brands, serving customers in approximately 170 countries with about 8,000 full-time employees. Revenue comes from... Read more

$82.87+34.7% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#4 of 31 Specialty Business Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.91%
IncomeYield1.59%(5y avg 1.44%)Payout53.45%sustainable
Stop $79.05Target $112.15(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.9:1
Analyst target$128.91+55.6%11 analysts
$112.15our TP
$82.87price
$128.91mean
$152

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $82.87 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202662d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 35%
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Negative momentum
Below 200-day MA

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.7
P/E (Fwd)17.1
Mkt Cap$15.4B
EV/EBITDA15.2
Profit Mgn10.0%
ROE8.1%
Rev Growth11.1%
Beta0.55
Dividend1.59%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C5.18bearish
IV42%normal

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    Director Sarah Raiss notified RB Global of decision to retire; will not stand for re-election at 2026 AGM (anticipated April 30, 2026). No disagreement with company operations, policies, or practices cited. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Volume
1.5
Rsi
4.5
Macd
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 5.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $81.50Resistance $95.68

Price Targets

$79
$112
A.Upside+34.7%
A.R:R5.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RBA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $82.87 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Prior stop was $79.05. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RBA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $112.15 (+34.7% upside). Prior stop was $79.05. Stop-loss: $79.05.

What are the risks of investing in RBA?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum; Below 200-day MA.

Is RBA overvalued or undervalued?

RB Global, Inc. trades at a P/E of 35.7 (forward 17.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about RBA?

11 analysts cover RBA with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $129.

What does RB Global, Inc. do?RB Global operates omnichannel auction marketplaces for commercial assets and vehicles via Ritchie Bros....

RB Global operates omnichannel auction marketplaces for commercial assets and vehicles via Ritchie Bros. (construction/transportation) and IAA (automotive salvage) brands, serving customers in approximately 170 countries with about 8,000 full-time employees. Revenue comes from service commissions, buyer fees, and value-added services (inspection, logistics, data) with primary sellers being insurance companies, fleet owners, and dealers.

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