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QNSTQuinStreet, Inc.Hold6.5·$15.15+1.13%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

QuinStreet combines a wide moat, strong cash conversion, and 28% revenue growth with an attractive valuation, but shares are deeply overbought with late-cycle distribution risk, and a thin 4.5% upside margin leaves the reward-to-risk ratio well short of the 1.5-to-1 bar.

Thesis pillars

  • Thin Upside Failed AsymmetryDeteriorating
  • Wide Moat Quality CharacteristicsStable
  • Strong Revenue GrowthStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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QuinStreet, Inc. (QNST) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Advertising Agencies

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $15.15, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 9.1%; Negative momentum.

QuinStreet operates performance-marketing marketplaces that connect financial services and home services clients with high-intent online traffic, generating revenue on a per-click, per-lead, or per-action basis largely in North America. The company's largest client accounted for... Read more

$15.15+9.1% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#3 of 16 Advertising Agencies
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield12.46%
Stop $14.09Target $16.53(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$19.00+25.4%5 analysts
$16.53our TP
$15.15price
$19.00mean
$24

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $15.15, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 9.1%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202612d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Outperforming peers
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.1%
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.4
P/E (Fwd)9.9
Mkt Cap$870M
EV/EBITDA19.4
Profit Mgn5.5%
ROE23.9%
Rev Growth28.3%
Beta0.66
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.80neutral
IV75%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.6
Ma Position
5.0
Rsi
7.7
Uptrend pullback (RSI 38) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 12d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.28Resistance $18.02

Price Targets

$14
$17
A.Upside+9.1%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (12d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is QNST stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $15.15, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 9.1%; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $16.53 (+9.1%), stop $14.09 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the QNST stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.53 (+9.1% upside). Target $16.53 (+9.1%), stop $14.09 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Stop-loss: $14.09.

What are the risks of investing in QNST?

Thin upside margin: 9.1%; Negative momentum.

Is QNST overvalued or undervalued?

QuinStreet, Inc. trades at a P/E of 13.4 (forward 9.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about QNST?

12 analysts cover QNST with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $19.

What does QuinStreet, Inc. do?QuinStreet operates performance-marketing marketplaces that connect financial services and home services clients with...

QuinStreet operates performance-marketing marketplaces that connect financial services and home services clients with high-intent online traffic, generating revenue on a per-click, per-lead, or per-action basis largely in North America. The company's largest client accounted for 23% of net revenue in fiscal 2025, and its top 20 clients together represented 62% of net revenue, up sharply from 46% in fiscal 2024.

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