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PSIXPower Solutions International, Sell5.0·$37.08+0.98%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Power Solutions International offers large analyst-implied upside of 52% and trades at an attractive 11.9x forward earnings with a 76% return on equity, but a confirmed death cross pattern, declining revenue of -5%, and a market cap below the $1 billion investable minimum exclude it from the current actionable universe.

Thesis pillars

  • High Roe Attractive ValuationStable
  • Death Cross Hard Block DowntrendStable
  • Revenue Declining Negative FcfStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Power Solutions International, (PSIX) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.08: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 5.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.25; Below long-term trend.

Power Solutions International, Inc. designs, engineers, manufactures, markets, and sells engines and power systems in the United States, the rest of North America, the Pacific Rim, Europe, and internationally. The company offers basic engine blocks integrated with fuel system... Read more

$37.08+61.3% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#39 of 58 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield-0.02%
Stop $35.17Target $59.81(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 5.4:1
Analyst target$70.37+89.8%3 analysts
$59.81our TP
$37.08price
$70.37mean
$79

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.08: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 5.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.25; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.2%), Material insider selling (27 sells, 0.12% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.4
P/E (Fwd)11.2
Mkt Cap$855M
EV/EBITDA9.6
Profit Mgn14.3%
ROE75.7%
Rev Growth-5.1%
Beta2.00
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C4.25bearish
IV98%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -5.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
1.2
Declining revenue: -5%

Volatile — 5.7% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Short Interest
3.0
Beta
3.3
Debt Equity
5.5
Days To Cover
8.2
Elevated put/call: 4.25High IV: 98%
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5A.R:R 5.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
36 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $36.26Resistance $43.23

Price Targets

$35
$60
A.Upside+61.3%
A.R:R5.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.2%), Material insider selling (27 sells, 0.12% of cap)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PSIX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.08: Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 5.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.25; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $35.17. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PSIX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $59.81 (+61.3% upside). Prior stop was $35.17. Stop-loss: $35.17.

What are the risks of investing in PSIX?

Risk below floor (2.9 < 3.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.2%), Material insider selling (27 sells, 0.12% of cap).

Is PSIX overvalued or undervalued?

Power Solutions International, trades at a P/E of 8.4 (forward 11.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PSIX?

9 analysts cover PSIX with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $70.

What does Power Solutions International, do?Power Solutions International, Inc. designs, engineers, manufactures, markets, and sells engines and power systems in...

Power Solutions International, Inc. designs, engineers, manufactures, markets, and sells engines and power systems in the United States, the rest of North America, the Pacific Rim, Europe, and internationally. The company offers basic engine blocks integrated with fuel system parts, as well as completely packaged power systems, that include combinations of front accessory drives, cooling systems, electronic systems, air intake systems, fuel systems, housings, power takeoff systems, exhaust systems, hydraulic systems, enclosures, brackets, hoses, tubes, packaging, telematics, and other assembled componentry. It also designs and manufactures large, custom-engineered integrated electrical power generation systems for standby and prime power applications; sells emission-certified compression ignition and spark-ignition internal combustion engines; designs and fabricates power system enclosures; and sources electrification components. In addition, the company provides mobile and stationary gensets for emergency standby, rental, prime power, demand response, microgrid, oil and gas, data center, renewable energy resiliency, and combined heat and power; forklifts, wood chippers, stump grinders, sweepers/industrial scrubbers, aerial lift platforms/scissor lifts, irrigation pumps, oil and gas compression, oil lifts, off road utility vehicles, ground support equipment, ice resurfacing equipment, pump jacks, and battery packs; vocational trucks and vans, school buses, transit buses, and terminal and utility tractors; and internal aftermarket and OEM-developed service parts programs. It serves original equipment manufacturers and end-user customers across the power systems, industrial, and transportation end-markets; and large and multinational organizations. The company was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Wood Dale, Illinois.

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