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POWIPower Integrations, Inc.Sell4.6·$62.35-1.74%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Power Integrations boasts exceptional free cash flow conversion at 476% of net income and a perfect 9/9 Piotroski F-Score, but the stock has already exceeded its analyst price target with negative implied upside, and heavy customer concentration with 81% of revenue from the top ten customers adds meaningful fragility to the earnings outlook.

Thesis pillars

  • Customer Geographic Double ConcentrationDeteriorating
  • Analyst Target Exceeded Negative UpsideDeteriorating
  • Exceptional Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Power Integrations, Inc. (POWI) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.35: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 7.44; Negative price momentum.

Power Integrations designs and markets analog and mixed-signal ICs for high-voltage power conversion, selling to industrial, consumer, computer, and communications end markets globally. Revenue comes from IC and gate-driver product sales to OEMs and distributors, with... Read more

$62.35+5.7% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#50 of 54 Semiconductors
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.24%
IncomeYield1.36%(5y avg 1.13%)Payout281.67%at-risk
Stop $58.31Target $66.29(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$76.20+22.2%5 analysts
$66.29our TP
$62.35price
$76.20mean
$46
$95

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.35: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 7.44; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 3/8 gates (news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 20269d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (81.0%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (outside U.S.) (98.0%)
Risk below floor (2.2 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)211.5
P/E (Fwd)34.2
Mkt Cap$3.5B
EV/EBITDA65.7
Profit Mgn3.7%
ROE2.4%
Rev Growth2.6%
Beta1.56
Dividend1.36%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C7.44bearish
IV103%elevated
Max Pain$35-43.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop ten customers81%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our top ten customers, including distributors that resell to OEMs and merchant power supply manufacturers, accounted for approximately 81%, 79% and 80% of net revenue in 2025'
  • HIGHGeographicinternational sales (outside U.S.)98%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 98% of our net revenue for each of the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023 was generated by sales to customers outside of the U.S.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierEpson, Lapis, X-FAB wafer foundries
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our primary supply arrangements for the production of wafers are with Epson, Lapis and X-FAB.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-07Item 5.02LOW
    Mike Balow appointed as SVP, Worldwide Sales, effective May 4, 2026. Previously served as EVP of sales at onsemi (2021-2025) and Infineon Technologies. No predecessor departure cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Volatile — 6.0% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Short Interest
3.0
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Beta
4.8
Days To Cover
4.9
Elevated put/call: 7.44High IV: 103%Above max pain $35Concentration risks: 2 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.1
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.1
Quality Rank
3.6
Value Rank
3.6
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 0.77%=HEAVYExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentEARNINGS PROXIMITY 9d<=14d (soft)NEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $62.70Resistance $84.01

Price Targets

$58
$66
A.Upside+5.7%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.2 < 3.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.6), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.03% of cap)
! momentum at 2.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (9d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is POWI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.35: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 7.44; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $58.31. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the POWI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $66.29 (+5.7% upside). Prior stop was $58.31. Stop-loss: $58.31.

What are the risks of investing in POWI?

Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (outside U.S.) (98.0%); Risk below floor (2.2 < 3.0).

Is POWI overvalued or undervalued?

Power Integrations, Inc. trades at a P/E of 211.5 (forward 34.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about POWI?

11 analysts cover POWI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $76.

What does Power Integrations, Inc. do?Power Integrations designs and markets analog and mixed-signal ICs for high-voltage power conversion, selling to...

Power Integrations designs and markets analog and mixed-signal ICs for high-voltage power conversion, selling to industrial, consumer, computer, and communications end markets globally. Revenue comes from IC and gate-driver product sales to OEMs and distributors, with approximately 98% from international customers in 2025 and top-10 customers representing ~81% of net revenue.

Related stocks: NVEC (NVE Corporation) · CRUS (Cirrus Logic, Inc.) · SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · DIOD (Diodes Incorporated) · LSCC (Lattice Semiconductor Corporati)
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