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POWIPower Integrations, Inc.Sell4.3·$71.26-2.37%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Power Integrations boasts exceptional free cash flow conversion at 476% of net income and a perfect 9/9 Piotroski F-Score, but the stock has already exceeded its analyst price target with negative implied upside, and heavy customer concentration with 81% of revenue from the top ten customers adds meaningful fragility to the earnings outlook.

Thesis pillars

  • Customer Geographic Double ConcentrationStable
  • Analyst Target Exceeded Negative UpsideStable
  • Exceptional Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Power Integrations, Inc. (POWI) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. At $71.26, A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (outside U.S.) (98.0%).

Power Integrations designs and markets analog and mixed-signal ICs for high-voltage power conversion, selling to industrial, consumer, computer, and communications end markets globally. Revenue comes from IC and gate-driver product sales to OEMs and distributors, with... Read more

$71.26+22.3% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#49 of 54 Semiconductors
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.94%
IncomeYield1.18%(5y avg 1.13%)Payout281.67%at-risk
Stop $67.95Target $89.36(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$76.20+6.9%5 analysts
$89.36our TP
$71.26price
$76.20mean
$46
$95

Sell if holding. At $71.26, A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (outside U.S.) (98.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (news events none recent, earnings proximity 32d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202632d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (81.0%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (outside U.S.) (98.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)243.3
P/E (Fwd)39.3
Mkt Cap$4.1B
EV/EBITDA76.3
Profit Mgn3.7%
ROE2.4%
Rev Growth2.6%
Beta1.56
Dividend1.18%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV105%elevated
Max Pain$20-71.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop ten customers81%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our top ten customers, including distributors that resell to OEMs and merchant power supply manufacturers, accounted for approximately 81%, 79% and 80% of net revenue in 2025'
  • HIGHGeographicinternational sales (outside U.S.)98%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 98% of our net revenue for each of the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023 was generated by sales to customers outside of the U.S.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierEpson, Lapis, X-FAB wafer foundries
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our primary supply arrangements for the production of wafers are with Epson, Lapis and X-FAB.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-07Item 5.02LOW
    Mike Balow appointed as SVP, Worldwide Sales, effective May 4, 2026. Previously served as EVP of sales at onsemi (2021-2025) and Infineon Technologies. No predecessor departure cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.4
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.1
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.1
Quality Rank
3.7
Value Rank
3.7
GatesMomentum 2.2<4.5A.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.67%=HEAVYExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 32d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $69.37Resistance $91.18

Price Targets

$68
$89
A.Upside+25.4%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.3% upside)
! momentum at 2.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (32d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is POWI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $71.26, A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (outside U.S.) (98.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $67.95. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the POWI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $89.36 (+22.3% upside). Prior stop was $67.95. Stop-loss: $67.95.

What are the risks of investing in POWI?

Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (outside U.S.) (98.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is POWI overvalued or undervalued?

Power Integrations, Inc. trades at a P/E of 243.3 (forward 39.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about POWI?

11 analysts cover POWI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $76.

What does Power Integrations, Inc. do?Power Integrations designs and markets analog and mixed-signal ICs for high-voltage power conversion, selling to...

Power Integrations designs and markets analog and mixed-signal ICs for high-voltage power conversion, selling to industrial, consumer, computer, and communications end markets globally. Revenue comes from IC and gate-driver product sales to OEMs and distributors, with approximately 98% from international customers in 2025 and top-10 customers representing ~81% of net revenue.

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