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POWIPower Integrations, Inc.Sell4.5·$50.45-0.18%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Power Integrations boasts exceptional free cash flow conversion at 476% of net income and a perfect 9/9 Piotroski F-Score, but the stock has already exceeded its analyst price target with negative implied upside, and heavy customer concentration with 81% of revenue from the top ten customers adds meaningful fragility to the earnings outlook.

Thesis pillars

  • Customer Geographic Double ConcentrationStable
  • Analyst Target Exceeded Negative UpsideStable
  • Exceptional Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Power Integrations, Inc. (POWI) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthHigh Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $50.45 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (outside U.S.) (98.0%).

Power Integrations designs and markets analog and mixed-signal ICs for high-voltage power conversion, selling to industrial, consumer, computer, and communications end markets globally. Revenue comes from IC and gate-driver product sales to OEMs and distributors, with... Read more

$50.45+30.6% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#51 of 54 Semiconductors
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.61%
IncomeYield1.70%(5y avg 1.13%)Payout193.18%at-risk
Stop $46.96Target $65.88(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 3.0:1
Analyst target$77.50+53.6%4 analysts
$65.88our TP
$50.45price
$77.50mean
$85

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $50.45 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (outside U.S.) (98.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.5/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Analyst upside: 31%
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (81.0%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (outside U.S.) (98.0%)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)114.7
P/E (Fwd)26.9
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA43.0
Profit Mgn5.6%
ROE3.6%
Rev Growth2.7%
Beta1.53
Dividend1.70%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.26bullish
IV69%elevated
Max Pain$30-40.5% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop ten customers81%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our top ten customers, including distributors that resell to OEMs and merchant power supply manufacturers, accounted for approximately 81%, 79% and 80% of net revenue in 2025'
  • HIGHGeographicinternational sales (outside U.S.)98%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 98% of our net revenue for each of the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023 was generated by sales to customers outside of the U.S.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierEpson, Lapis, X-FAB wafer foundries
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our primary supply arrangements for the production of wafers are with Epson, Lapis and X-FAB.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-07Item 5.02LOW
    Mike Balow appointed as SVP, Worldwide Sales, effective May 4, 2026. Previously served as EVP of sales at onsemi (2021-2025) and Infineon Technologies. No predecessor departure cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.8
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.1
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 18, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+5.1%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.2
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.9
Quality Rank
3.6
Value Rank
3.8
GatesMomentum 1.6<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 3.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
18 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $48.41Resistance $65.90

Price Targets

$47
$66
A.Upside+30.6%
A.R:R3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is POWI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $50.45 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (outside U.S.) (98.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $46.96. Score 4.5/10, high confidence.

What is the POWI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $65.88 (+30.6% upside). Prior stop was $46.96. Stop-loss: $46.96.

What are the risks of investing in POWI?

Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (outside U.S.) (98.0%); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Is POWI overvalued or undervalued?

Power Integrations, Inc. trades at a P/E of 114.7 (forward 26.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about POWI?

10 analysts cover POWI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $78.

What does Power Integrations, Inc. do?Power Integrations designs and markets analog and mixed-signal ICs for high-voltage power conversion, selling to...

Power Integrations designs and markets analog and mixed-signal ICs for high-voltage power conversion, selling to industrial, consumer, computer, and communications end markets globally. Revenue comes from IC and gate-driver product sales to OEMs and distributors, with approximately 98% from international customers in 2025 and top-10 customers representing ~81% of net revenue.

Related stocks: SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · CRUS (Cirrus Logic, Inc.) · ALGM (Allegro MicroSystems, Inc.) · NVEC (NVE Corporation) · RMBS (Rambus, Inc.)
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