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POWIPower Integrations, Inc.Sell4.8·$62.75+0.71%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Power Integrations boasts exceptional free cash flow conversion at 476% of net income and a perfect 9/9 Piotroski F-Score, but the stock has already exceeded its analyst price target with negative implied upside, and heavy customer concentration with 81% of revenue from the top ten customers adds meaningful fragility to the earnings outlook.

Thesis pillars

  • Customer Geographic Double ConcentrationImproving
  • Analyst Target Exceeded Negative UpsideImproving
  • Exceptional Cash Conversion QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Power Integrations, Inc. (POWI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.75: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.69.

Power Integrations designs and markets analog and mixed-signal ICs for high-voltage power conversion, selling to industrial, consumer, computer, and communications end markets globally. Revenue comes from IC and gate-driver product sales to OEMs and distributors, with... Read more

$62.75+5.0% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#51 of 54 Semiconductors
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.10%
IncomeYield1.38%(5y avg 1.13%)Payout193.18%at-risk
Stop $58.36Target $65.88(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$77.50+23.5%4 analysts
$65.88our TP
$62.75price
$77.50mean
$85

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.75: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.69. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-16
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202681d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (81.0%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (outside U.S.) (98.0%)
Risk below floor (2.5 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)142.6
P/E (Fwd)33.5
Mkt Cap$3.5B
EV/EBITDA54.6
Profit Mgn5.6%
ROE3.6%
Rev Growth2.7%
Beta1.56
Dividend1.38%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.69bearish
IV91%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomertop ten customers81%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our top ten customers, including distributors that resell to OEMs and merchant power supply manufacturers, accounted for approximately 81%, 79% and 80% of net revenue in 2025'
  • HIGHGeographicinternational sales (outside U.S.)98%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 98% of our net revenue for each of the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024 and 2023 was generated by sales to customers outside of the U.S.'
  • MEDIUMSupplierEpson, Lapis, X-FAB wafer foundries
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our primary supply arrangements for the production of wafers are with Epson, Lapis and X-FAB.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-07Item 5.02LOW
    Mike Balow appointed as SVP, Worldwide Sales, effective May 4, 2026. Previously served as EVP of sales at onsemi (2021-2025) and Infineon Technologies. No predecessor departure cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Volatile — 6.2% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Days To Cover
2.8
Short Interest
2.9
Beta
4.8
Max Pain Risk
7.0
Elevated put/call: 3.69High IV: 91%Concentration risks: 2 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.2
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.9
Value Rank
3.2
Quality Rank
3.6
GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 0.77%=HEAVYExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.0>=5.5NEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $56.03Resistance $74.92

Price Targets

$58
$66
A.Upside+5.0%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.5 < 3.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.6), Material insider selling (5 sells, 0.06% of cap)
! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is POWI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $62.75: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10. Specifically: High short interest: 14%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.69. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $58.36. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the POWI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $65.88 (+5.0% upside). Prior stop was $58.36. Stop-loss: $58.36.

What are the risks of investing in POWI?

Concentration risk — Customer: top ten customers (81.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: international sales (outside U.S.) (98.0%); Risk below floor (2.5 < 3.0).

Is POWI overvalued or undervalued?

Power Integrations, Inc. trades at a P/E of 142.6 (forward 33.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about POWI?

10 analysts cover POWI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $78.

What does Power Integrations, Inc. do?Power Integrations designs and markets analog and mixed-signal ICs for high-voltage power conversion, selling to...

Power Integrations designs and markets analog and mixed-signal ICs for high-voltage power conversion, selling to industrial, consumer, computer, and communications end markets globally. Revenue comes from IC and gate-driver product sales to OEMs and distributors, with approximately 98% from international customers in 2025 and top-10 customers representing ~81% of net revenue.

Related stocks: SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · DIOD (Diodes Incorporated) · NVEC (NVE Corporation) · CRUS (Cirrus Logic, Inc.) · SKYT (SkyWater Technology, Inc.)
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