Pfizer has beaten earnings estimates in all 4 recent quarters with an average 23.4% upside surprise and converts income to free cash flow at 165%, but near-term growth is weak, the stock trades at analyst targets with only 1% upside, and the put/call ratio of 11.4 signals extreme hedging activity.
Thesis pillars
- Perfect Beat Streak High Surprise→Stable
- Fcf Conversion Quality→Stable
- Product Concentration Weak Growth→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pfizer, Inc. (PFE) Stock Analysis
Catalyst-Driven edge
Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General
Sell if holding. At $24.66, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.0%; Concentration risk — Product: top-12 products (65.0%).
Pfizer discovers, develops, manufactures, and sells biopharmaceutical products worldwide through a single Biopharma reportable segment, marketing medicines and vaccines to wholesalers, governments, hospitals, and retailers in approximately 200 countries. The company's 12 largest... Read more
Sell if holding. At $24.66, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.0%; Concentration risk — Product: top-12 products (65.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-27Recent Developments — Pfizer, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS How S&P Drug Titan Pfizer Plans To Outdo Its Own $6 Billion Franchise - Investor's Business Daily — Investor's Business Daily positive
- NEWS Pfizer Stock at $25: A $29 Wall Street Mean Target Backed by Two Legal Wins and 22% Portfolio Growth - TIKR.com — TIKR.com positive
- NEWS Pfizer Stock Is Declining Today: What's Happening? - Benzinga — Benzinga negative
- NEWS Should You Buy, Sell, or Hold Pfizer at $27? - The Motley Fool — The Motley Fool positive
- NEWS Are Wall Street Analysts Bullish on Pfizer Stock? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
Generated 2026-07-27T14:48:12Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHProducttop-12 products65%10-K Item 1A: 'revenues of more than $1 billion for each of 12 products that collectively accounted for 65% of Total revenues in 2025'
- LOWProductEliquis13%10-K Item 1A: 'Eliquis accounted for 13% of Total revenues in 2025'
- MEDIUMGeographicinternational operations41%10-K Item 1: 'Revenues from operations outside the U.S. of $25.5 billion, $24.9 billion and $31.4 billion accounted for 41%, 39% and 53% of Total revenues in 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $24.66, A.R:R 0.9:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 5.0%; Concentration risk — Product: top-12 products (65.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $23.82. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $25.87 (+5.0% upside). Prior stop was $23.82. Stop-loss: $23.82.
Concentration risk — Product: top-12 products (65.0%); Thin upside margin: 5.0%; Weak growth.
Pfizer, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.7 (forward 8.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
36 analysts cover PFE with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $29.
What does Pfizer, Inc. do?Pfizer discovers, develops, manufactures, and sells biopharmaceutical products worldwide through a single Biopharma...
Pfizer discovers, develops, manufactures, and sells biopharmaceutical products worldwide through a single Biopharma reportable segment, marketing medicines and vaccines to wholesalers, governments, hospitals, and retailers in approximately 200 countries. The company's 12 largest products each exceeded $1 billion in revenue and together accounted for 65% of total revenues in 2025; international operations contributed 41% of total revenues.