Pfizer has beaten earnings estimates in all 4 recent quarters with an average 23.4% upside surprise and converts income to free cash flow at 165%, but near-term growth is weak, the stock trades at analyst targets with only 1% upside, and the put/call ratio of 11.4 signals extreme hedging activity.
Thesis pillars
- Perfect Beat Streak High Surprise→Stable
- Fcf Conversion Quality→Stable
- Product Concentration Weak Growth→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pfizer, Inc. (PFE) Stock Analysis
Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $24.41 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 7.7%; Concentration risk — Product: top-12 products (65.0%).
Pfizer discovers, develops, manufactures, and sells biopharmaceutical products worldwide through a single Biopharma reportable segment, marketing medicines and vaccines to wholesalers, governments, hospitals, and retailers in approximately 200 countries. The company's 12 largest... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $24.41 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 7.7%; Concentration risk — Product: top-12 products (65.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-30Recent Developments — Pfizer, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS How S&P Drug Titan Pfizer Plans To Outdo Its Own $6 Billion Franchise - Investor's Business Daily — Investor's Business Daily positive
- NEWS Pfizer Stock at $25: A $29 Wall Street Mean Target Backed by Two Legal Wins and 22% Portfolio Growth - TIKR.com — TIKR.com positive
- NEWS Pfizer Stock Is Declining Today: What's Happening? - Benzinga — Benzinga negative
- NEWS Should You Buy, Sell, or Hold Pfizer at $27? - The Motley Fool — The Motley Fool positive
- NEWS Are Wall Street Analysts Bullish on Pfizer Stock? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
Generated 2026-06-30T02:18:55Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHProducttop-12 products65%10-K Item 1A: 'revenues of more than $1 billion for each of 12 products that collectively accounted for 65% of Total revenues in 2025'
- LOWProductEliquis13%10-K Item 1A: 'Eliquis accounted for 13% of Total revenues in 2025'
- MEDIUMGeographicinternational operations41%10-K Item 1: 'Revenues from operations outside the U.S. of $25.5 billion, $24.9 billion and $31.4 billion accounted for 41%, 39% and 53% of Total revenues in 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $24.41 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Thin upside margin: 7.7%; Concentration risk — Product: top-12 products (65.0%). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $23.21. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $26.24 (+7.7% upside). Prior stop was $23.21. Stop-loss: $23.21.
Concentration risk — Product: top-12 products (65.0%); Thin upside margin: 7.7%; Weak growth.
Pfizer, Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.5 (forward 8.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
36 analysts cover PFE with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $29.
What does Pfizer, Inc. do?Pfizer discovers, develops, manufactures, and sells biopharmaceutical products worldwide through a single Biopharma...
Pfizer discovers, develops, manufactures, and sells biopharmaceutical products worldwide through a single Biopharma reportable segment, marketing medicines and vaccines to wholesalers, governments, hospitals, and retailers in approximately 200 countries. The company's 12 largest products each exceeded $1 billion in revenue and together accounted for 65% of total revenues in 2025; international operations contributed 41% of total revenues.