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PAMPampa Energia S.A.Hold6.8·$80.58+0.79%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Pampa Energia delivered 38% year-over-year revenue growth with a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, strong positive news sentiment, and a forward price-to-earnings of 6.4x, making it the highest-scoring stock in this batch at 7.1 out of 10, though negative free cash flow at 175% of net income and small-cap volatility remain material risks.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Piotroski Strong MarginsStable
  • Exceptional Overall Score And GrowthStable
  • Earnings Beat With Massive SurprisesStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Pampa Energia S.A. (PAM) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Conglomerates

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $80.58, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (8 sells, 0.56% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Pampa Energía S.A. operates as an integrated power company in Argentina. The company operates through Oil and Gas; Generation; Petrochemicals; and Holding, Transportation and Others segments. It generates electricity through thermal plants, hydroelectric plants, and wind farms... Read more

$80.58+25.5% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#1 of 19 Conglomerates
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield-17.75%
Stop $76.21Target $101.12(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.6:1
Analyst target$116.23+44.2%11 analysts
$101.12our TP
$80.58price
$116.23mean
$140

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $80.58, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (8 sells, 0.56% of cap), Negative free cash flow. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 31d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202631d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Negative momentum
Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (8 sells, 0.56% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.8
P/E (Fwd)5.7
Mkt Cap$4.3B
EV/EBITDA7.2
Profit Mgn20.3%
ROE12.1%
Rev Growth38.4%
Beta-0.22
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.43bullish
IV52%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
1.3
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Obv
10.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 25, below 200MA)Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.6%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5INSIDER 0.56%=HEAVYA.R:R 3.6 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 31d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
25 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $78.57Resistance $90.19

Price Targets

$76
$101
A.Upside+25.5%
A.R:R3.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Insider activity: 0.56%=heavy

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (31d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PAM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $80.58, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (8 sells, 0.56% of cap), Negative free cash flow. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $101.12 (+25.5%), stop $76.21 (−5.7%), A.R:R 3.6:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PAM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $101.12 (+25.5% upside). Target $101.12 (+25.5%), stop $76.21 (−5.7%), A.R:R 3.6:1. Stop-loss: $76.21.

What are the risks of investing in PAM?

Negative momentum; Value-trap signals (2/5): Material insider selling (8 sells, 0.56% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Is PAM overvalued or undervalued?

Pampa Energia S.A. trades at a P/E of 9.8 (forward 5.7). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about PAM?

11 analysts cover PAM with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $116.

What does Pampa Energia S.A. do?Pampa Energía S.A. operates as an integrated power company in Argentina. The company operates through Oil and Gas;...

Pampa Energía S.A. operates as an integrated power company in Argentina. The company operates through Oil and Gas; Generation; Petrochemicals; and Holding, Transportation and Others segments. It generates electricity through thermal plants, hydroelectric plants, and wind farms with a 5,472 megawatt (MW) installed capacity. The company also explores for and produces oil and gas in the provinces of Neuquén and Río Negro. In addition, it produces petrochemicals, such as styrene, synthetic rubber, and polystyrene. Further, the company operates and maintains a 22,445 km high-voltage electricity transmission network in Argentina. Additionally, it holds a concession for the transportation of natural gas with 9,248 km of gas pipelines in the center, west, and south of Argentina; and processes and sells natural gas liquids in Bahía Blanca in the Province of Buenos Aires, as well as offers related advisory services. Pampa Energía S.A. was formerly known as Pampa Holding S.A. and changed its name to Pampa Energía S.A. in September 2008. The company was incorporated in 1945 and is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

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