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Valmont Industries, Inc. (VMI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Conglomerates

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $495.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Valmont Industries manufactures infrastructure products (utility structures, lighting/transportation, solar trackers, telecom towers, coatings) and Valley-brand center pivot irrigation equipment across 80+ facilities on six continents. 28% of fiscal 2025 net sales were... Read more

$495.80+4.6% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#4 of 9 Conglomerates
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.93%
IncomeYield0.58%(5y avg 0.81%)Payout15.63%sustainable
Stop $465.32Target $517.92(resistance)A.R:R -1.4:1
Analyst target$527.00+6.3%3 analysts
$517.92our TP
$495.80price
$527.00mean
$541

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $495.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Valmont Industries, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.9
P/E (Fwd)19.7
Mkt Cap$9.7B
EV/EBITDA16.4
Profit Mgn8.9%
ROE22.2%
Rev Growth6.2%
Beta1.36
Dividend0.58%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.78neutral
IV38%normal
Max Pain$230-53.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerU.S. electric utility industry
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of our sales of support structures is to the electric utility industry. In fiscal 2025, our sales to the U.S. electric utility industry were approximately $1.5 billion'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-06Item 4.01HIGH
    Valmont's Audit Committee approved appointment of KPMG LLP as new independent auditor effective FY ending December 26, 2026. Previous auditor dismissed effective same date. No disagreement or reportable event with KPMG during prior fiscal years through March 3, 2026.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-09Item 5.02MEDIUM
    John Schwietz appointed as EVP, CFO and Corporate Secretary effective April 8, 2026, succeeding Thomas Liguori. Schwietz joined Valmont in 2009 and most recently served as President–International Agriculture. Clean handoff with named successor.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-15Item 5.02LOW
    Valmont filed compensation details for new CFO John Schwietz as approved by the Human Resources Committee. Routine compensatory arrangement disclosure; no officer departure.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-25Item 5.02LOW
    Board appointed Paul T. Maass as new director on February 22, 2026, expanding the board to eleven members. Routine board addition; no departure cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $462.62Resistance $528.49

Price Targets

$465
$518
A.Upside+4.5%
A.R:R-1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.5% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VMI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $495.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $517.92 (+4.5%), stop $465.32 (−6.6%), A.R:R -1.4:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VMI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $517.92 (+4.6% upside). Target $517.92 (+4.5%), stop $465.32 (−6.6%), A.R:R -1.4:1. Stop-loss: $465.32.

What are the risks of investing in VMI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Is VMI overvalued or undervalued?

Valmont Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.9 (forward 19.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about VMI?

10 analysts cover VMI with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $527.

What does Valmont Industries, Inc. do?Valmont Industries manufactures infrastructure products (utility structures, lighting/transportation, solar trackers,...

Valmont Industries manufactures infrastructure products (utility structures, lighting/transportation, solar trackers, telecom towers, coatings) and Valley-brand center pivot irrigation equipment across 80+ facilities on six continents. 28% of fiscal 2025 net sales were international; U.S. electric utility industry sales were approximately $1.5B in fiscal 2025. Business does not depend on any single customer.

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