Graham Holdings combines a strong earnings beat record averaging approximately 19 percentage points above consensus with powerful technical momentum in a breakout configuration, but the stock has substantially overrun analyst consensus estimates and the free cash flow conversion of 70% relative to net income warrants monitoring before adding to the position.
Thesis pillars
- Consistent Earnings Outperformance↓Deteriorating
- Technical Breakout With Strong Momentum↓Deteriorating
- Stock Substantially Above Analyst Consensus↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026· older than 90 days
Graham Holdings Company (GHC) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Industrials · Conglomerates
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $1196.94 — A.R:R is negative (-3.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5).
Certified Accountants), CIMA (Chartered Institute of Management Accountants), and ICAEW (Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales). In 2025, this unit provided courses to approximately 44,030 students in accountancy, tax and financial services. Kaplan Professional... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $1196.94 — A.R:R is negative (-3.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 111d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated Oct 25, 2026Recent Developments — Graham Holdings Company
Latest news
- NEWS Graham Holdings (GHC) Could Be 56% Below Fair Value On Its Recent Pullback - Simply Wall Street — Simply Wall Street Oct 25, 2026 neutral
- NEWS GHC Stock Technical Analysis - Pluang — Pluang Oct 22, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Graham Holdings sets November 4 results: Graham Holdings stock sits 2.59 percent below its high - ad-hoc-news.de — ad-hoc-news.de Oct 20, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Graham Holdings sets November 4 results: Graham Holdings stock sits 2.59 percent below its high - AD HOC NEWS — AD HOC NEWS Oct 20, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Graham Holdings (GHC) Could Be 60% Undervalued On Strong Q2 Earnings - simplywall.st — simplywall.st Aug 2, 2026 positive
Latest item Oct 25, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T12:04:35Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $1196.94 — A.R:R is negative (-3.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5). Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $1142.16. Score 5.0/10, high confidence.
Analyst target $935.00 reached (−21.9% from $1196.94); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $1142.16. Stop-loss: $1142.16.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
Graham Holdings Company trades at a P/E of 10.5 (forward 17.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
8 analysts rate GHC, with a consensus score of 2.1/5. 1 analysts publish price targets averaging $1100.
What does Graham Holdings Company do?Certified Accountants), CIMA (Chartered Institute of Management Accountants), and ICAEW (Institute of Chartered...
Certified Accountants), CIMA (Chartered Institute of Management Accountants), and ICAEW (Institute of Chartered Accountants in England and Wales). In 2025, this unit provided courses to approximately 44,030 students in accountancy, tax and financial services. Kaplan Professional Middle East and North Africa also delivers professional training programs across the entire region with a focus on the UAE and Saudi Arabia.