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PAMPampa Energia S.A.Buy Wait7.2·$87.03-1.64%
PAM · Why this verdict

Why Pampa Energia (PAM) is rated BUY WAIT

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictBUY WAIT
Overall score7.2/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

8.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E8.9
P/S8.8
EV/EBITDA7.2
Fwd P/E9.8
PEG10.0
Analyst target7.5
  • Forward P/E: 6.5x
  • PEG: 0.16
  • Attractively valued

Quality

5.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE4.0
ROA2.2
Gross margin2.4
Op margin7.7
Net margin10.0
Current ratio7.1
FCF quality0.0
Moat6.1
Piotroski F10.0
  • Strong margins: 20%
  • Earnings quality RED FLAG: -175% FCF/NI
  • Strong Piotroski F-Score: 9/9

Growth

10.0/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth10.0
EPS growth10.0
  • Strong growth: 38% YoY

Momentum

6.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI5.0
MACD10.0
OBV10.0
MA position9.0
Volume0.0
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Above 200-day MA

Sentiment

8.4/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
news sentiment10.0
Analyst rating7.0
Price target8.8
  • Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
  • Analyst upside: 34%

Insider

5.1/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.2
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

6.3/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank5.9
quality rank5.6
growth rank8.9
  • Industry growth leader

Technical

4.3/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger1.9
support resistance2.6
52w position8.4

Risk (lower is worse)

6.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest9.3
days to cover9.5
volatility2.7
put call5.4
implied vol1.0
max pain risk7.0
debt equity8.0
  • High IV: 74%

Catalyst

6.9/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history6.7
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg10.0
news activity8.0
  • Strong earnings: 3B/1M

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT).

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_HOLD|L3:NEWS_MOD=+2|ENTRY_STICKY:PRIOR_STILL_VIABLE
Passed (8)
  • MOMENTUM:6.8>=5.5
  • ASYMMETRY:1.6>=1.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:51d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (0)

none

Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
1.56
Upside
+16.2%
Downside
10.4%
Sizing output
STARTER

SetupBREAKOUT Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE MCap $4.8B<$5B

Investment implication

None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: MOMENTUM:6.8>=5.5. Top dim: Growth at 10.0; weakest: Technical at 4.3. No conviction either direction.

The strongest dimensions are Growth at 10.0, Value at 8.8, and Sentiment at 8.4; the weakest are Technical at 4.3, Insider at 5.1, and Quality at 5.5. The V9 engine cleared all gates, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 1.56 and an engine sizing output of STARTER.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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