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FIPFTAI Infrastructure Inc.Sell5.5·$4.44-1.55%
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FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (FIP) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Conglomerates

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.44: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 7.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Elevated put/call ratio: 8.00; Below-average business quality.

FTAI Infrastructure Inc. engages in acquiring, developing, and operating assets and businesses that represent infrastructure for customers in the transportation, energy, and industrial products industries in North America. It operates through four segments: Railroad, Ports and... Read more

$4.44+99.8% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#6 of 19 Conglomerates
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-40.61%
IncomeYield2.70%Payout0.00%sustainable
Stop $4.13Target $8.87(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 7.0:1
Analyst target$10.44+135.1%4 analysts
$8.87our TP
$4.44price
$10.44mean
$12

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.44: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 7.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Elevated put/call ratio: 8.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05

Recent Developments — FTAI Infrastructure Inc.

Generated 2026-07-05T07:10:31Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-3.4
Mkt Cap$525M
EV/EBITDA26.3
Profit Mgn-78.6%
ROE-61.1%
Rev Growth95.9%
Beta1.88
Dividend2.70%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C8.00bearish
IV136%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 7.2% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.2
Short Interest
1.0
Beta
3.8
High short interest justified: 25%Elevated put/call: 8.00High IV: 136%

Unprofitable operations — net margin -78.6%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.4
Operating Margin
2.0
Gross Margin
4.1
Current Ratio
4.3
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.0
Cash-burning: FCF -36% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Volume
2.1
Macd
3.7
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.0
News Activity
6.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MDividend: 270.0%
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 7.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $4.09Resistance $5.18

Price Targets

$4
$9
A.Upside+99.8%
A.R:R7.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FIP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $4.44: Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10 and A.R:R 7.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 25%; Elevated put/call ratio: 8.00; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $4.13. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FIP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.87 (+99.8% upside). Prior stop was $4.13. Stop-loss: $4.13.

What are the risks of investing in FIP?

Quality below floor (2.2 < 4.0).

Is FIP overvalued or undervalued?

FTAI Infrastructure Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -3.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FIP?

7 analysts cover FIP with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $10.

What does FTAI Infrastructure Inc. do?FTAI Infrastructure Inc. engages in acquiring, developing, and operating assets and businesses that represent...

FTAI Infrastructure Inc. engages in acquiring, developing, and operating assets and businesses that represent infrastructure for customers in the transportation, energy, and industrial products industries in North America. It operates through four segments: Railroad, Ports and Terminals, Power and Gas, and Sustainability and Energy Transition. The company operates a multi-modal crude oil and refined products terminal, and other related assets; and Jefferson Terminal and Repauno that develops or acquires industrial properties in strategic locations that store and handle for third parties various energy products, including crude oil, refined products, and clean fuels. It also has a 1,630-acre deep-water port located along the Delaware River with an underground storage cavern, a multipurpose dock, a rail-to-ship transloading system, and multiple industrial development opportunities; and a 1,660-acre multi-modal port located along the Ohio River with rail, dock, and multiple industrial development opportunities, including a power plant. In addition, the company owns and operates eight freight railroads and one switching company that provides rail service to certain manufacturing and production facilities. Further, it focuses on waste plastic to renewable fuel, hydrogen-fueled power plant, and carbon capture businesses. FTAI Infrastructure Inc. was incorporated in 2021 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

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