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ORNOrion Group Holdings, Inc.Sell4.9·$14.95-3.24%
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Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (ORN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.95: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Orion Group Holdings, Inc. operates as a specialty construction company for the infrastructure, industrial, and building sectors in the United States, Canada, and the Caribbean Basin. It operates through two segments, Marine and Concrete. The company engages in the building,... Read more

$14.95+1.5% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#28 of 32 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-0.79%
Stop $13.77Target $15.03(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$17.28+15.6%5 analysts
$15.03our TP
$14.95price
$17.28mean
$19

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.95: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 24d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 28, 202624d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (1.5% upside)
Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)67.3
P/E (Fwd)21.2
Mkt Cap$599M
EV/EBITDA20.3
Profit Mgn1.0%
ROE5.4%
Rev Growth14.7%
Beta1.34
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.14bullish
IV90%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Operating Margin
0.1
Net Margin
0.5
Roa
1.2
Roe
1.8
Current Ratio
5.2
Moat
5.6
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -55% FCF/NIStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9Quality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.8
Value Rank
4.4
Growth Rank
4.7
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 24d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $13.27Resistance $17.40

Price Targets

$14
$15
A.Upside+0.5%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.5% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-28 (24d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ORN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $14.95: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $13.77. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ORN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.03 (+1.5% upside). Prior stop was $13.77. Stop-loss: $13.77.

What are the risks of investing in ORN?

Target reached (1.5% upside); Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).

Is ORN overvalued or undervalued?

Orion Group Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 67.3 (forward 21.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ORN?

9 analysts cover ORN with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $17.

What does Orion Group Holdings, Inc. do?Orion Group Holdings, Inc. operates as a specialty construction company for the infrastructure, industrial, and...

Orion Group Holdings, Inc. operates as a specialty construction company for the infrastructure, industrial, and building sectors in the United States, Canada, and the Caribbean Basin. It operates through two segments, Marine and Concrete. The company engages in the building, rehabilitation, and maintenance of a range of marine transportation facilities, including terminals, cruise ship berths, private terminals, U.S. Navy facilities, marinas, and other port facilities; installation of foundations, mooring structures, and related components; provision of ongoing inspection, maintenance, and emergency repair services, as well as logistics services for directional drilling; installation and removal of underwater pipelines and transmission infrastructure, such as industrial intakes and outfalls, river crossing, and tie-ins; construction, repair, and maintenance of overwater bridges, causeways, and fendering systems; and construction of various environmental protection structures, including levees, erosion control systems, concrete mats, wetlands restoration features, and geotube installations for island and shoreline creation. It also provides maintenance and capital dredging services for ports, waterways, and channels. In addition, the company offers specialty services, such as design, salvage, demolition, surveying, towing, commercial diving, underwater inspection, excavation, and repair services. Further, it provides concrete construction services, including concrete placement and finishing, site preparation, layout, forming, and rebar placement services for data centers; industrial, warehouse, and distribution facilities; commercial, multi-family, institutional, and mixed-use structures; and retail, hospital, and recreational facilities. The company was formerly known as Orion Marine Group, Inc. and changed its name to Orion Group Holdings, Inc. in May 2016. Orion Group Holdings, Inc. was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

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