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Cardinal Infrastructure Group I (CDNL) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $49.52, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: North Carolina; Target reached (-29.7% upside).

Cardinal Infrastructure Group is a civil contracting company providing public infrastructure construction (roads, bridges, utilities) primarily in North Carolina and the Southeastern US, completing its IPO in December 2025 raising ~$277.7M gross proceeds. Revenue is generated... Read more

$49.52+7.8% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#13 of 30 Engineering & Construction
Stop $46.13Target $53.46(resistance)A.R:R -2.0:1
Analyst target$41.00-17.2%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $49.52, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: North Carolina; Target reached (-29.7% upside). Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Market cap $0.70B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: North Carolina
Target reached (-29.7% upside)
Market cap $0.70B below $1B minimum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.2
P/E (Fwd)24.9
Mkt Cap$701M
EV/EBITDA11.0
Profit Mgn5.0%
ROE38.2%
Rev Growth71.7%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicNorth Carolina
    10-K Item 1A: 'We currently conduct business primarily in the State of North Carolina and our business strategy is focused on the Southeastern United States'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-18Item 5.02LOW
    Anthony L. Wood (President of acquired ALGC) appointed to Board of Directors and Benjamin A. Wood (VP of ALGC) appointed as Chief Operating Officer, effective March 12, 2026. Appointments in connection with the Feb 18, 2026 ALGC acquisition.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-19Item 5.02LOW
    In connection with A.L. Grading Contractors (ALGC) acquisition completed Feb 18, 2026 ($245.5M total consideration), Anthony L. Wood and Benjamin A. Wood were designated for Board director and COO roles respectively.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Ma Position
7.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R -2.0=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $39.26Resistance $54.55

Price Targets

$46
$53
A.Upside+8.0%
A.R:R-2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-29.7% upside)
! Market cap $0.70B below $1B minimum
! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for CDNL.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CDNL stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $49.52, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Geographic: North Carolina; Target reached (-29.7% upside). Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Market cap $0.70B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $53.46 (+8.0%), stop $46.13 (−7.3%), A.R:R -2.0:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CDNL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $53.46 (+7.8% upside). Target $53.46 (+8.0%), stop $46.13 (−7.3%), A.R:R -2.0:1. Stop-loss: $46.13.

What are the risks of investing in CDNL?

Concentration risk — Geographic: North Carolina; Target reached (-29.7% upside); Market cap $0.70B below $1B minimum.

Is CDNL overvalued or undervalued?

Cardinal Infrastructure Group I trades at a P/E of 30.2 (forward 24.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CDNL?

9 analysts cover CDNL with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Cardinal Infrastructure Group I do?Cardinal Infrastructure Group is a civil contracting company providing public infrastructure construction (roads,...

Cardinal Infrastructure Group is a civil contracting company providing public infrastructure construction (roads, bridges, utilities) primarily in North Carolina and the Southeastern US, completing its IPO in December 2025 raising ~$277.7M gross proceeds. Revenue is generated primarily from fixed-unit price and lump sum public sector contracts.

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