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ORICOric Pharmaceuticals, Inc.Sell5.2·$11.66+7.11%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Oric Pharmaceuticals offers extraordinary asymmetry with analyst price targets implying 141% upside, but the company is pre-revenue, cash-burning, below the $1 billion market cap investability threshold, and carries 21% short interest, making it a high-risk speculative situation outside the normal investable universe.

Thesis pillars

  • Analyst Upside 141pctStable
  • High Short Interest 21pctStable
  • Cash Burn Quality Floor BreachStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Oric Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ORIC) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.66: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality.

ORIC Pharmaceuticals is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on overcoming resistance mechanisms in cancer, advancing two licensed product candidates: rinzimetostat (licensed from Mirati Therapeutics) for metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer, and... Read more

$11.66+51.6% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#99 of 258 Biotechnology
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield-5.64%
Stop $10.83Target $17.65(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$20.29+74.0%14 analysts
$17.65our TP
$11.66price
$20.29mean
$25

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.66: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 94. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 39d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Oric Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

About Oric Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

ORIC Pharmaceuticals has no approved products and no product revenue, funding a two-asset clinical pipeline with $392.3 million in cash, cash equivalents, and investments as of December 31, 2025 that management expects to last into the second half of 2028. The company's lead candidate, rinzimetostat, licensed from Mirati Therapeutics, is advancing toward a first global Phase 3 registrational trial in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer planned for the first half of 2026, alongside enozertinib, licensed from Voronoi Inc., in Phase 1b testing for EGFR exon 20-mutant non-small cell lung cancer.

Since ORIC has no marketed products, it generates no revenue and instead funds development through public and private securities offerings; both lead assets were in-licensed rather than internally discovered, with Johnson & Johnson and Bayer providing clinical trial collaboration and supply agreements to test rinzimetostat alongside their respective androgen-receptor inhibitors Erleada and Nubeqa, and Johnson & Johnson also collaborating on enozertinib combinations with amivantamab. In August 2025, the company narrowed its pipeline to focus exclusively on rinzimetostat and enozertinib, eliminating its discovery research group to preserve capital. ORIC reported a $129.5 million net loss for 2025 against an accumulated deficit of $692.2 million, reflecting the capital intensity typical of clinical-stage biopharmaceutical development with no offsetting product sales.

Show full overview

ORIC's business is substantially dependent on the success of rinzimetostat and enozertinib, according to its own risk factor disclosures, since it has no other late-stage assets to fall back on after its August 2025 decision to eliminate discovery-stage research. Both candidates also carry dependency risk beyond ORIC's control: rinzimetostat rights originate from a Mirati Therapeutics license and enozertinib from a Voronoi Inc. license, so any dispute over those license agreements could affect development or commercialization rights, particularly since ORIC's rights to enozertinib exclude Greater China.

See also: Healthcare · Biotechnology

From Oric Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 11, 202639d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Pipeline: rinzimetostat and enozertinib
Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 3.4), Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.20% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-7.3
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA-6.3
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-42.6%
Rev Growth
Beta1.01
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C0.15bullish
IV200%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHpipelinerinzimetostat and enozertinib
    10-K Item 1A: 'We are substantially dependent on the success of our product candidates, rinzimetostat and enozertinib.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-22Item 5.02LOW
    ORIC amended and restated its 2020 Equity Incentive Plan effective June 18, 2026 following stockholder approval at the Annual Meeting, removing the annual share cap on the evergreen provision (while lowering the annual increase from 5% to 4%) and eliminating repricing/award-exchange authority. No officer departure or appointment was involved.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
3.2
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.1
52w Position
5.6
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.2>=5.5A.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 39d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
94 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $7.36Resistance $11.67

Price Targets

$11
$18
A.Upside+51.4%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 3.4), Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.20% of cap)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-11 (39d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ORIC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.66: Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10 and A.R:R 3.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 21%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 94. Prior stop was $10.83. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ORIC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.65 (+51.6% upside). Prior stop was $10.83. Stop-loss: $10.83.

What are the risks of investing in ORIC?

Concentration risk — Pipeline: rinzimetostat and enozertinib; Quality below floor (1.2 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 3.4), Material insider selling (10 sells, 0.20% of cap).

Is ORIC overvalued or undervalued?

Oric Pharmaceuticals, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -7.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ORIC?

22 analysts cover ORIC with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $20.

What does Oric Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do?ORIC Pharmaceuticals is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on overcoming resistance mechanisms in...

ORIC Pharmaceuticals is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on overcoming resistance mechanisms in cancer, advancing two licensed product candidates: rinzimetostat (licensed from Mirati Therapeutics) for metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer, and enozertinib (licensed from Voronoi Inc.) for EGFR exon 20-mutant lung cancer. The company has no approved products or product revenue, reported a $129.5 million net loss for 2025, and held $392.3 million in cash as of December 31, 2025.

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