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Oric Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ORIC) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 3/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Biotechnology

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Market cap $0.82B below $1B minimum; Value-trap signals (3/5): High leverage (D/E 2.2), Material insider selling (55 sells, 0.73% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

ORIC Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery and development of therapies to counter the resistance mechanisms in cancers in the United States. Its clinical stage product candidates include enozertinib formerly known as... Read more

$8.00+122.2% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#117 of 157 Biotechnology
QualityF-score2 / 9FCF yield-8.28%
Stop $7.45Target $17.71(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 10.4:1
Analyst target$20.36+154.5%14 analysts
$17.71our TP
$8.00price
$20.36mean
$25

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Market cap $0.82B below $1B minimum; Value-trap signals (3/5): High leverage (D/E 2.2), Material insider selling (55 sells, 0.73% of cap), Negative free cash flow. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 24, MACD bearish. Market cap $0.82B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Oric Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Market cap $0.82B below $1B minimum
Value-trap signals (3/5): High leverage (D/E 2.2), Material insider selling (55 sells, 0.73% of cap), Negative free cash flow

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-5.1
Mkt Cap$821M
EV/EBITDA-3.7
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-42.6%
Rev Growth
Beta1.10
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F2/9

Options Flow

P/C2.50bearish
IV191%elevated
Max Pain$13+62.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
2.2
Moat
3.2
Current Ratio
5.0
Cash-burning (FCF negative)No competitive moatWeak Piotroski F-Score: 2/9Quality concerns

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.7
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
1.8
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 24, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Volatile — 5.9% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Days To Cover
0.9
Short Interest
1.4
Debt Equity
3.8
Beta
6.6
Max Pain Risk
7.0
High short interest justified: 21%Elevated put/call: 2.50High IV: 191%
GatesMomentum 1.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 10.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
24 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $7.68Resistance $11.03

Price Targets

$7
$18
A.Upside+121.4%
A.R:R10.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Market cap $0.82B below $1B minimum
! Value-trap signals (3/5): High leverage (D/E 2.2), Material insider selling (55 sells, 0.73% of cap), Negative free cash flow
! Momentum score 1.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-11 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ORIC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Market cap $0.82B below $1B minimum; Value-trap signals (3/5): High leverage (D/E 2.2), Material insider selling (55 sells, 0.73% of cap), Negative free cash flow. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 24, MACD bearish. Market cap $0.82B below $1B minimum. Not in investable universe. Target $17.71 (+121.4%), stop $7.45 (−7.4%), A.R:R 10.4:1. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ORIC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.71 (+122.2% upside). Target $17.71 (+121.4%), stop $7.45 (−7.4%), A.R:R 10.4:1. Stop-loss: $7.45.

What are the risks of investing in ORIC?

Market cap $0.82B below $1B minimum; Value-trap signals (3/5): High leverage (D/E 2.2), Material insider selling (55 sells, 0.73% of cap), Negative free cash flow.

Is ORIC overvalued or undervalued?

Oric Pharmaceuticals, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -5.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ORIC?

21 analysts cover ORIC with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $20.

What does Oric Pharmaceuticals, Inc. do?ORIC Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery and development of...

ORIC Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery and development of therapies to counter the resistance mechanisms in cancers in the United States. Its clinical stage product candidates include enozertinib formerly known as ORIC-114, a brain penetrant orally bioavailable irreversible inhibitor, currently under Phase 1b study, that selectively target epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) exon 20 and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 exon 20 with high potency towards exon 20 insertion mutations; and rinzimetostat formerly known as ORIC-944, an allosteric inhibitor of the polycomb repressive complex 2 for prostate cancer, currently under Phase 1b study. It has a clinical trial collaboration and supply agreement with Bayer to evaluate ORIC-944 in combination with Nubeqa AR inhibitor; and a clinical trial collaboration and supply agreement with Johnson & Johnson to evaluate ORIC 944 in combination with Erleada AR inhibitor. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.

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