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OPLNOPENLANE, Inc.Sell5.8·$40.60+1.00%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

OPENLANE has delivered strong earnings beats and solid growth, but the stock has run past its analyst price target near a 52-week high with negative implied upside, making the risk-reward unfavorable at current entry points.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Growth ComboStable
  • Valuation At Peak RiskStable
  • Low Peg Growth QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

OPENLANE, Inc. (OPLN) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $40.60 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5.

OPENLANE operates digital wholesale used vehicle marketplaces in the United States, Canada, and Europe, facilitating approximately 1.5 million transactions with $28.8 billion in gross merchandise value in 2025. Revenue comes from buyer/seller transaction fees (78% Marketplace... Read more

$40.60+3.5% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#2 of 18 Auto & Truck Dealerships
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield4.92%
Stop $37.86Target $42.04(resistance)A.R:R -1.4:1
Analyst target$39.56-2.6%9 analysts
$42.04our TP
$40.60price
$39.56mean
$37
$43

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $40.60 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)24.7
Mkt Cap$4.3B
EV/EBITDA15.5
Profit Mgn9.5%
ROE10.8%
Rev Growth14.7%
Beta1.26
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.75bearish
IV46%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $36.17Resistance $42.90

Price Targets

$38
$42
A.Upside+3.5%
A.R:R-1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-15.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OPLN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $40.60 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $37.86. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OPLN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $42.04 (+3.5% upside). Prior stop was $37.86. Stop-loss: $37.86.

What are the risks of investing in OPLN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5.

Is OPLN overvalued or undervalued?

OPENLANE, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 24.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OPLN?

15 analysts cover OPLN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $40.

What does OPENLANE, Inc. do?OPENLANE operates digital wholesale used vehicle marketplaces in the United States, Canada, and Europe, facilitating...

OPENLANE operates digital wholesale used vehicle marketplaces in the United States, Canada, and Europe, facilitating approximately 1.5 million transactions with $28.8 billion in gross merchandise value in 2025. Revenue comes from buyer/seller transaction fees (78% Marketplace segment) and floorplan financing to independent dealers through AFC subsidiary (22% Finance segment), with roughly 90 AFC locations across North America.

Related stocks: BGSI (Boyd Group Services Inc.) · CARG (CarGurus, Inc.) · DRVN (Driven Brands Holdings Inc.) · ACVA (ACV Auctions Inc.) · VVV (Valvoline Inc.)
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