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OPLNOPENLANE, Inc.Sell6.1·$35.50+0.57%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

OPENLANE has delivered strong earnings beats and solid growth, but the stock has run past its analyst price target near a 52-week high with negative implied upside, making the risk-reward unfavorable at current entry points.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Growth ComboDeteriorating
  • Valuation At Peak RiskDeteriorating
  • Low Peg Growth QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

OPENLANE, Inc. (OPLN) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

Sell if holding. Engine flags exit at $35.50. Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

OPENLANE operates digital wholesale used vehicle marketplaces in the United States, Canada, and Europe, facilitating approximately 1.5 million transactions with $28.8 billion in gross merchandise value in 2025. Revenue comes from buyer/seller transaction fees (78% Marketplace... Read more

$35.50+13.3% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#2 of 17 Auto & Truck Dealerships
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.61%
Stop $33.32Target $40.21(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$46.22+30.2%9 analysts
$40.21our TP
$35.50price
$46.22mean
$52

Sell if holding. Engine flags exit at $35.50. Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 25, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 80d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202680d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)20.6
Mkt Cap$4.4B
EV/EBITDA14.9
Profit Mgn9.7%
ROE11.1%
Rev Growth15.1%
Beta1.28
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C667.00bearish
IV62%elevated
Max Pain$35-1.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 80d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
25 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $34.35Resistance $42.69

Price Targets

$33
$40
A.Upside+13.3%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts15
Consensus4.2/5
Avg Target$46

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (80d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OPLN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine flags exit at $35.50. Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0. Chart setup: Oversold RSI 25, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Prior stop was $33.32. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OPLN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $40.21 (+13.3% upside). Prior stop was $33.32. Stop-loss: $33.32.

What are the risks of investing in OPLN?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

Is OPLN overvalued or undervalued?

OPENLANE, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 20.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OPLN?

15 analysts cover OPLN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $46.

What does OPENLANE, Inc. do?OPENLANE operates digital wholesale used vehicle marketplaces in the United States, Canada, and Europe, facilitating...

OPENLANE operates digital wholesale used vehicle marketplaces in the United States, Canada, and Europe, facilitating approximately 1.5 million transactions with $28.8 billion in gross merchandise value in 2025. Revenue comes from buyer/seller transaction fees (78% Marketplace segment) and floorplan financing to independent dealers through AFC subsidiary (22% Finance segment), with roughly 90 AFC locations across North America.

Related stocks: CARG (CarGurus, Inc.) · VVV (Valvoline Inc.) · BGSI (Boyd Group Services Inc.) · AN (AutoNation, Inc.) · ACVA (ACV Auctions Inc.)
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