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OPLNOPENLANE, Inc.Buy Wait6.1·$39.32+0.82%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

OPENLANE has delivered strong earnings beats and solid growth, but the stock has run past its analyst price target near a 52-week high with negative implied upside, making the risk-reward unfavorable at current entry points.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Growth ComboDeteriorating
  • Valuation At Peak RiskStable
  • Low Peg Growth QualityImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

OPENLANE, Inc. (OPLN) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

Wait for pullback to $39.08. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $39.32. Engine's entry $39.08 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5.

OPENLANE operates digital wholesale used vehicle marketplaces in the United States, Canada, and Europe, facilitating approximately 1.5 million transactions with $28.8 billion in gross merchandise value in 2025. Revenue comes from buyer/seller transaction fees (78% Marketplace... Read more

$39.32-9.3% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#1 of 18 Auto & Truck Dealerships
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.08%
Entry $39.08(support + ATR)Stop $37.33Target $42.04(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$41.00+4.3%9 analysts
$42.04our TP
$39.32price
$41.00mean
$38
$46

Wait for pullback to $39.08. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $39.32. Engine's entry $39.08 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 20269d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)23.6
Mkt Cap$4.2B
EV/EBITDA15.2
Profit Mgn9.5%
ROE10.8%
Rev Growth14.7%
Beta1.26
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV49%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.7
Rsi
5.5
Obv
5.8
Ma Position
6.0
Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 9d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $38.48Resistance $42.90

Price Targets

$37
$39
$42
A.Upside-9.3%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.3% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (9d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OPLN stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $39.08. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $39.32. Engine's entry $39.08 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +2 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $42.04 (+6.9%), stop $37.33 (−5.3%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OPLN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $42.04 (-9.3% upside). Target $42.04 (+6.9%), stop $37.33 (−5.3%), A.R:R -1.5:1. Stop-loss: $37.33.

What are the risks of investing in OPLN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.5): -0.5; Negative momentum.

Is OPLN overvalued or undervalued?

OPENLANE, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 23.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about OPLN?

15 analysts cover OPLN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $41.

What does OPENLANE, Inc. do?OPENLANE operates digital wholesale used vehicle marketplaces in the United States, Canada, and Europe, facilitating...

OPENLANE operates digital wholesale used vehicle marketplaces in the United States, Canada, and Europe, facilitating approximately 1.5 million transactions with $28.8 billion in gross merchandise value in 2025. Revenue comes from buyer/seller transaction fees (78% Marketplace segment) and floorplan financing to independent dealers through AFC subsidiary (22% Finance segment), with roughly 90 AFC locations across North America.

Related stocks: BGSI (Boyd Group Services Inc.) · CARG (CarGurus, Inc.) · VVV (Valvoline Inc.) · ACVA (ACV Auctions Inc.) · ABG (Asbury Automotive Group Inc)
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