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OPLNOPENLANE, Inc.Sell5.9·$35.44+1.55%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

OPENLANE has delivered strong earnings beats and solid growth, but the stock has run past its analyst price target near a 52-week high with negative implied upside, making the risk-reward unfavorable at current entry points.

Thesis pillars

  • Earnings Beat Growth ComboStable
  • Valuation At Peak RiskDeteriorating
  • Low Peg Growth QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

OPENLANE, Inc. (OPLN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $35.44: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

OPENLANE operates digital wholesale used vehicle marketplaces in the United States, Canada, and Europe, facilitating approximately 1.5 million transactions with $28.8 billion in gross merchandise value in 2025. Revenue comes from buyer/seller transaction fees (78% Marketplace... Read more

$35.44+13.4% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#2 of 17 Auto & Truck Dealerships
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield0.62%
Stop $33.52Target $40.21(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$46.22+30.4%9 analysts
$40.21our TP
$35.44price
$46.22mean
$52

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $35.44: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 60d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 4, 202660d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)20.2
Mkt Cap$4.3B
EV/EBITDA14.8
Profit Mgn9.7%
ROE11.1%
Rev Growth15.1%
Beta1.28
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.83neutral
IV66%elevated
Max Pain$45+27.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesINSIDER 6.44%=EXTREMEMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5A.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 60d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $33.11Resistance $37.91

Price Targets

$34
$40
A.Upside+13.4%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Insider activity: 6.44%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-04 (60d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OPLN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $35.44: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $33.52. Score 5.9/10, high confidence.

What is the OPLN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $40.21 (+13.4% upside). Prior stop was $33.52. Stop-loss: $33.52.

What are the risks of investing in OPLN?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

Is OPLN overvalued or undervalued?

OPENLANE, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 20.2). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OPLN?

15 analysts cover OPLN with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $46.

What does OPENLANE, Inc. do?OPENLANE operates digital wholesale used vehicle marketplaces in the United States, Canada, and Europe, facilitating...

OPENLANE operates digital wholesale used vehicle marketplaces in the United States, Canada, and Europe, facilitating approximately 1.5 million transactions with $28.8 billion in gross merchandise value in 2025. Revenue comes from buyer/seller transaction fees (78% Marketplace segment) and floorplan financing to independent dealers through AFC subsidiary (22% Finance segment), with roughly 90 AFC locations across North America.

Related stocks: BGSI (Boyd Group Services Inc.) · AN (AutoNation, Inc.) · ACVA (ACV Auctions Inc.) · VVV (Valvoline Inc.) · DRVN (Driven Brands Holdings Inc.)
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