Attractive valuation multiples — including a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 9 times and a PEG ratio below 1 — and a strong three-quarter earnings beat streak sit alongside a confirmed technical downtrend and material leverage, leaving the stock in an unresolved tension between fundamental value and price momentum that a thin risk/reward ratio captures precisely.
Thesis pillars
- Strong Earnings Beat Pattern↑Improving
- Cheap Valuation Best In Class Margins→Stable
- Confirmed Downtrend Death Cross↑Improving
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed May 19, 2026· older than 90 days
Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (DRVN) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge
Consumer Cyclical · Auto & Truck Dealerships
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $11.29 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
Driven Brands, the largest automotive services company in North America by location count, operates 4,200+ locations in 49 U.S. states and Canada under brands including Take 5 Oil Change, Meineke, Maaco, CARSTAR, and AutoGlassNow. The company generated approximately $1.9 billion... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $11.29 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated Nov 3, 2026Recent Developments — Driven Brands Holdings Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Driven Brands Hldgs Lowers FY2026 Adj EPS Guidance from $1.15-$1.25 to $1.10-$1.20 vs $1.20 Est — benzinga Nov 3, 2026 negative
- NEWS Driven Brands Discloses Material Errors In Its FY25, FY24 And FY23 Consolidated Financial Statements, Along With Quarter — benzinga Nov 3, 2026 negative
- NEWS Wall Street Zen upgrades Driven Brands stock to Buy - ad-hoc-news.de — ad-hoc-news.de Oct 28, 2026 positive
- NEWS Driven Brands (DRVN) Projected to Announce Earnings on Tuesday - MarketBeat — MarketBeat Oct 27, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Driven Brands Holdings Inc. (DRVN) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Can the Stock Move Higher? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 27, 2026 positive
Latest item Nov 3, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:49:37Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-21Item 2.02LOWDriven Brands released a press release on April 21, 2026 disclosing expected performance for Q4 2025, FY2025, and Q1 2026, and provided an update on the filing status of the FY2025 Form 10-K and its anticipated impact on the Q1 2026 Form 10-Q.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-21Item 3.01MEDIUMDriven Brands received a Nasdaq non-compliance notice on April 15, 2026 for failing to timely file its FY2025 Form 10-K (12b-25 late notice filed Feb 26, 2026). Notice has no immediate effect on listing or trading. Company intends to regain compliance.SEC filing →
- 2026-06-05Item 3.01MEDIUMDriven Brands received a second Nasdaq non-compliance notice on June 1, 2026 for failing to timely file its Q1 2026 Form 10-Q. Company has until July 31, 2026 to submit a compliance plan; Nasdaq may grant until November 25, 2026. No immediate effect on listing.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $11.29 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Prior stop was $10.50. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.
Analyst target: $14.00 (+24.1% upside). Prior stop was $10.50. Stop-loss: $10.50.
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.7): -1.5; Weak growth.
Driven Brands Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.4 (forward 7.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
19 analysts rate DRVN, with a consensus score of 3.7/5. 12 analysts publish price targets averaging $16.
What does Driven Brands Holdings Inc. do?Driven Brands, the largest automotive services company in North America by location count, operates 4,200+ locations in...
Driven Brands, the largest automotive services company in North America by location count, operates 4,200+ locations in 49 U.S. states and Canada under brands including Take 5 Oil Change, Meineke, Maaco, CARSTAR, and AutoGlassNow. The company generated approximately $1.9 billion in net revenue from $6.1 billion in system-wide sales in fiscal 2025, with a mix of company-operated and franchised locations across oil change, collision repair, paint, glass, and parts distribution.