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OPFIOppFi Inc.Buy Wait6.0·$9.02+1.81%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

OppFi is a high-ROE, cheaply-valued lender with a perfect earnings beat streak, but declining revenue, overbought momentum, and a risk/reward ratio that falls just short of the engine's buy-now threshold temper the setup.

Thesis pillars

  • High Roe Quality BusinessStable
  • Cheap Forward ValuationStable
  • Weak Revenue GrowthStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

OppFi Inc. (OPFI) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Credit Services

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $9.55 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Weak growth; Negative momentum.

OppFi Inc., a tech-enabled digital finance platform, provides financial products and services for banks in the United States. The company offers installment loans through OppLoans platform. It serves consumers who are turned away by mainstream options. OppFi Inc. was founded in... Read more

$9.02+31.9% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#18 of 35 Credit Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
Entry $9.55(support + ATR (held))Stop $8.88Target $11.90(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 4.3:1
Analyst target$14.00+55.2%3 analysts
$11.90our TP
$9.02price
$14.00mean
$16

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $9.55 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Weak growth; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 2.1 < 4.5 minimum; 50MA < 200MA with weak momentum (2.1) - hard block. Wait for improvement. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear, sector concentration cap sector=financial services 7/10). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-25
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202610d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Weak growth
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)4.4
P/E (Fwd)4.1
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn19.4%
ROE62.1%
Rev Growth-2.2%
Beta1.77
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.75neutral
IV75%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.4
Obv
1.0
Macd
2.4
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Revenue shrinking — -2.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.0
Earnings Growth
3.2
Declining revenue: -2%
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 10d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 4.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Financial Services 7/10Suitability: Aggressive
RSI
32 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $8.80Resistance $10.17

Price Targets

$9
$10
$12
A.Upside+31.9%
A.R:R4.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %5%
Max %10%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum 2.1 < 4.5 minimum
! 50MA < 200MA with weak momentum (2.1) - hard block
! momentum at 2.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (10d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OPFI stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $9.55 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Weak growth; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. V9 Gate blocked: Momentum 2.1 < 4.5 minimum; 50MA < 200MA with weak momentum (2.1) - hard block. Wait for improvement. Target $11.90 (+31.9%), stop $8.88 (−1.6%), A.R:R 4.3:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OPFI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $11.90 (+31.9% upside). Target $11.90 (+31.9%), stop $8.88 (−1.6%), A.R:R 4.3:1. Stop-loss: $8.88.

What are the risks of investing in OPFI?

Weak growth; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.9%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is OPFI overvalued or undervalued?

OppFi Inc. trades at a P/E of 4.4 (forward 4.1). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about OPFI?

9 analysts cover OPFI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $14.

What does OppFi Inc. do?OppFi Inc., a tech-enabled digital finance platform, provides financial products and services for banks in the United...

OppFi Inc., a tech-enabled digital finance platform, provides financial products and services for banks in the United States. The company offers installment loans through OppLoans platform. It serves consumers who are turned away by mainstream options. OppFi Inc. was founded in 2012 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.

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