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ATLCAtlanticus Holdings CorporationBuy Wait6.8·$96.40-7.08%
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Atlanticus Holdings Corporation (ATLC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Credit Services

Wait for pullback to $91.58. At $96.40 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $91.58 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 7.2%; Leverage penalty (D/E 9.3): -1.5.

Atlanticus Holdings Corporation, a financial technology company, provides products and services to lenders in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Credit as a Service (CaaS) and Auto Finance. Its CaaS segment offers private label credit products associated... Read more

$96.40+12.9% A.UpsideScore 6.8/10#2 of 35 Credit Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
Entry $91.58(5% below current)Stop $85.17Target $103.36(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$118.80+23.2%5 analysts
$103.36our TP
$96.40price
$118.80mean
$179

Wait for pullback to $91.58. At $96.40 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $91.58 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 7.2%; Leverage penalty (D/E 9.3): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.14, quality 7.5/10, growth 10.0/10). Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
High-quality business
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.2%
Leverage penalty (D/E 9.3): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.5
P/E (Fwd)7.2
Mkt Cap$1.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn21.4%
ROE21.4%
Rev Growth60.8%
Beta2.12
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
3.8
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 0.15%=MODERATENo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $76.58Resistance $112.61

Price Targets

$85
$92
$103
A.Upside+7.2%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.6%
Max %1.1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! News modifier capped: WAIT cannot upgrade to NOW via sentiment alone
! momentum at 3.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.5 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATLC stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $91.58. At $96.40 the A.R:R is 0.5:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $91.58 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Thin upside margin: 7.2%; Leverage penalty (D/E 9.3): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Growth is cheap relative to earnings, but the technical setup has not yet produced a breakout above resistance (PEG 0.14, quality 7.5/10, growth 10.0/10). Target $103.36 (+7.2%), stop $85.17 (−13.2%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Score 6.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ATLC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $103.36 (+12.9% upside). Target $103.36 (+7.2%), stop $85.17 (−13.2%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Stop-loss: $85.17.

What are the risks of investing in ATLC?

Thin upside margin: 7.2%; Leverage penalty (D/E 9.3): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is ATLC overvalued or undervalued?

Atlanticus Holdings Corporation trades at a P/E of 11.5 (forward 7.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ATLC?

11 analysts cover ATLC with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $119.

What does Atlanticus Holdings Corporation do?Atlanticus Holdings Corporation, a financial technology company, provides products and services to lenders in the...

Atlanticus Holdings Corporation, a financial technology company, provides products and services to lenders in the United States. The company operates in two segments, Credit as a Service (CaaS) and Auto Finance. Its CaaS segment offers private label credit products associated with the healthcare space under the Curae brand, as well as consumer electronics, furniture, elective medical procedures, and home-improvement under the Fortiva brand and its retail partners' brands; and general-purpose credit cards under the Aspire, Imagine, Mercury, and Fortiva brand names. The company's private label and general-purpose credit cards originated from its bank partners through various channels, including retail and healthcare point-of-sale locations, direct mail solicitation, and digital marketing and partnerships with third parties. This segment also offers loan servicing, such as risk management and customer service outsourcing for third parties, as well as engages in other product testing and investments. The Auto Finance segment purchases and/or services loans secured by automobiles from or for a pre-qualified network of independent automotive dealers and automotive finance companies in the buy-here and pay-here used car business. This segment also provides floor plan financing and installment lending products. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

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