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OPFIOppFi Inc.Buy Wait6.1·$5.62
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

OppFi is a high-ROE, cheaply-valued lender with a perfect earnings beat streak, but declining revenue, overbought momentum, and a risk/reward ratio that falls just short of the engine's buy-now threshold temper the setup.

Thesis pillars

  • High Roe Quality Business→Stable
  • Cheap Forward Valuation→Stable
  • Weak Revenue Growth→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 12, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

OppFi Inc. (OPFI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

Buy WaitDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)VALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityShortHigh Confidence

Financial Services · Credit Services

Wait for pullback to $5.40. BUY gates pass at $5.62, but weak growth and below 200-MA, MA slope -7.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $5.40 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

OppFi Inc., a tech-enabled digital finance platform, provides financial products and services for banks in the United States. The company offers installment loans through OppLoans platform. It serves consumers who are turned away by mainstream options. OppFi Inc. was founded in... Read more

$5.62+74.3% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#17 of 34 Credit Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
Entry $5.40(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $5.20Target $9.80(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 8.9:1
Analyst consensus$11.53+105.1%4 analysts
$9.80our TP
$5.62price
$11.53mean
$16

Wait for pullback to $5.40. BUY gates pass at $5.62, but weak growth and below 200-MA, MA slope -7.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $5.40 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 44. V9 Gate blocked: SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Financial Services:count=10:cap=10. Wait for improvement. Score 6.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 127d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on sector concentration cap sector=financial services count=10 cap=10. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-11-02
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Mar 10, 2027127d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.7 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Weak growth
Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)2.6
P/E (Fwd)2.9
Mkt Cap$479M
EV/EBITDA—
Profit Mgn29.8%
ROE39.6%
Rev Growth-11.0%
Beta1.80
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV109%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Revenue shrinking — -11.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -11%
GatesSECTOR CONCENTRATION CAP sector=Financial Services count=10 cap=10Death cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 5.6>=5.5A.R:R 8.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 127d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
44 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.36Resistance $6.19

Price Targets

$5
$5
$10
A.Upside+74.3%
A.R:R8.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %1.9%
Max %3.8%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Financial Services:count=10:cap=10
! SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Financial Services:count=10:cap=10

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-03-10 (127d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OPFI stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $5.40. BUY gates pass at $5.62, but weak growth and below 200-MA, MA slope -7.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend) argue for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $5.40 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 44. V9 Gate blocked: SECTOR_CONCENTRATION_CAP:sector=Financial Services:count=10:cap=10. Wait for improvement. Target $9.80 (+74.4%), stop $5.20 (−8.1%), A.R:R 8.9:1. Score 6.1/10, high confidence.

What is the OPFI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $9.80 (+74.3% upside). Target $9.80 (+74.4%), stop $5.20 (−8.1%), A.R:R 8.9:1. Stop-loss: $5.20.

What are the risks of investing in OPFI?

Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is OPFI overvalued or undervalued?

OppFi Inc. trades at a P/E of 2.6 (forward 2.9). TrendMatrix value score: 9.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about OPFI?

9 analysts cover OPFI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $12.

What does OppFi Inc. do?OppFi Inc., a tech-enabled digital finance platform, provides financial products and services for banks in the United...

OppFi Inc., a tech-enabled digital finance platform, provides financial products and services for banks in the United States. The company offers installment loans through OppLoans platform. It serves consumers who are turned away by mainstream options. OppFi Inc. was founded in 2012 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.

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