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OMFOneMain Holdings, Inc.Buy Wait5.9·$59.74+1.63%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

OneMain Holdings has delivered a perfect 4-of-4 earnings beat streak with an average positive surprise of 11.2%, a quality score of 8.0 with strong margins of 26% and a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, but the stock has moved within 2.3% of its analyst price target and the high debt-to-equity ratio of 6.6 constrains financial flexibility in a consumer credit business.

Thesis pillars

  • High Leverage Consumer Credit RiskDeteriorating
  • Perfect Beat Streak High QualityStable
  • Attractive Valuation Forward PeStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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OneMain Holdings, Inc. (OMF) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temporary headwind edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Credit Services

Earnings in 3 days (2026-07-29). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $56.88. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $59.74. Engine's entry $56.88 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 6.6): -1.5.

OneMain Holdings provides personal loans, auto finance, and credit card products to primarily nonprime consumers through more than 1,300 branches in 48 states plus digital and phone channels. At December 31, 2025, the company held $24.8 billion of finance receivables from... Read more

$59.74-0.7% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#22 of 35 Credit Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield7.15%(5y avg 8.75%)Payout62.30%
Entry $56.88(support + ATR)Stop $54.44Target $61.30(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$68.21+14.2%14 analysts
$61.30our TP
$59.74price
$68.21mean
$55
$85

Wait for pullback to $56.88. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $59.74. Engine's entry $56.88 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 6.6): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About OneMain Holdings, Inc.

About OneMain Holdings, Inc.

OneMain Holdings' $24.8 billion in net finance receivables, due from approximately 3.6 million customer accounts across 48 states at December 31, 2025, positions the company as one of the nation's largest nonprime consumer lenders. More than 1,300 branch locations serve customers in person, complemented by digital and phone channels. The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) has exercised supervisory authority over the company's entire consumer finance operations since 2023, following its designation as a 'larger participant' in the auto financing market.

OneMain earns interest income on non-revolving personal loans with fixed rates and terms of three to six years, auto retail installment contracts originated through franchise and independent dealerships, and BrightWay credit card receivables purchased from a third-party bank partner. Optional credit insurance products — credit life, credit disability, and credit involuntary unemployment insurance — are underwritten through wholly-owned subsidiaries American Health and Life Insurance Company (AHL) and Triton Insurance Company. Securitization of loan pools is the primary funding mechanism; the Dodd-Frank Act requires the company to retain at least 5% of credit risk in each securitization, reducing net proceeds per transaction. The nonprime customer base carries higher delinquency and charge-off risk than prime lending portfolios, and the company relies on proprietary credit scoring models, income verification, and ability-to-pay assessments to manage that risk. Central servicing operations span facilities in Minnesota, Arizona, Kentucky, Indiana, South Carolina, Texas, and Utah.

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The CFPB's supervisory authority, applied to OneMain since 2023 as a 'larger participant' in auto financing, enables the bureau to conduct investigations, impose monetary penalties, require restitution, and initiate enforcement actions without direct state-law triggering. Additionally, state attorneys general may bring separate civil enforcement actions under Title X of the Dodd-Frank Act. The 10-K also notes a trend toward coordinated multi-state examinations where regulators pool resources for simultaneous reviews, which could expose the company to deeper, costlier scrutiny than sequential single-state exams.

See also: Financial Services · Credit Services

From OneMain Holdings, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 6.6): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.8
P/E (Fwd)7.0
Mkt Cap$6.9B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn26.2%
ROE23.9%
Rev Growth9.1%
Beta1.18
Dividend7.15%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.16bearish
IV52%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.4
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $56.12Resistance $62.55

Price Targets

$54
$57
$61
A.Upside-0.7%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.7% upside)
! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! momentum at 3.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OMF stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $56.88. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $59.74. Engine's entry $56.88 (support + ATR) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 6.6): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $61.30 (+2.6%), stop $54.44 (−9.7%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OMF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $61.30 (-0.7% upside). Target $61.30 (+2.6%), stop $54.44 (−9.7%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $54.44.

What are the risks of investing in OMF?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 6.6): -1.5.

Is OMF overvalued or undervalued?

OneMain Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 8.8 (forward 7.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about OMF?

20 analysts cover OMF with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $68.

What does OneMain Holdings, Inc. do?OneMain Holdings provides personal loans, auto finance, and credit card products to primarily nonprime consumers...

OneMain Holdings provides personal loans, auto finance, and credit card products to primarily nonprime consumers through more than 1,300 branches in 48 states plus digital and phone channels. At December 31, 2025, the company held $24.8 billion of finance receivables from approximately 3.6 million customer accounts, with insurance products underwritten through subsidiaries AHL and Triton.

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