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OneMain Holdings, Inc. (OMF) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Credit Services

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $52.68 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.6): -1.5; Negative momentum.

OneMain Holdings is a leading nonprime consumer lender operating through more than 1,300 branch locations in 48 states plus digital channels, offering personal loans, auto finance, and credit cards. As of December 31, 2025, it had $24.8 billion in finance receivables from... Read more

$52.19+12.7% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#13 of 28 Credit Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield7.94%(5y avg 8.84%)Payout62.30%
Entry $52.68(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $49.82Target $58.97(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$67.79+29.9%14 analysts
$58.97our TP
$52.19price
$67.79mean
$85

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $52.68 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.6): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 26, MACD bearish. Value play: 47% MoS with quality 8.0. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 63d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — OneMain Holdings, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=8.0 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 6.6): -1.5
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.9
P/E (Fwd)6.1
Mkt Cap$6.1B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn26.2%
ROE23.9%
Rev Growth9.1%
Beta1.25
Dividend7.94%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.34bullish
IV45%normal
Max Pain$38-28.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 26, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.5%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.2<4.5A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 63d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
26 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $51.62Resistance $59.17

Price Targets

$50
$53
$59
A.Upside+13.0%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.9%
Max %1.9%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! RISK-OFF: SMALL-cap BUY_NOW needs quality>=8.5 or MoS>=50%
! Momentum score 1.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (63d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OMF stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $52.68 but weak momentum still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Leverage penalty (D/E 6.6): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 26, MACD bearish. Value play: 47% MoS with quality 8.0. Target $58.97 (+13.0%), stop $49.82 (−4.8%), Setup A.R:R 3.0:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OMF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $58.97 (+12.7% upside). Target $58.97 (+13.0%), stop $49.82 (−4.8%), Setup A.R:R 3.0:1. Stop-loss: $49.82.

What are the risks of investing in OMF?

Leverage penalty (D/E 6.6): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is OMF overvalued or undervalued?

OneMain Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 7.9 (forward 6.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about OMF?

19 analysts cover OMF with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $68.

What does OneMain Holdings, Inc. do?OneMain Holdings is a leading nonprime consumer lender operating through more than 1,300 branch locations in 48 states...

OneMain Holdings is a leading nonprime consumer lender operating through more than 1,300 branch locations in 48 states plus digital channels, offering personal loans, auto finance, and credit cards. As of December 31, 2025, it had $24.8 billion in finance receivables from approximately 3.6 million customer accounts.

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