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OMDAOmada Health, Inc.Hold5.9·$22.39-1.02%
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Omada Health, Inc. (OMDA) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Healthcare · Health Information Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.39, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Elevated risk factors.

Omada Health, Inc., together with its subsidiary, Physera, Inc., provides a range of virtual care programs in the United States. The company offers cardiometabolic programs for prediabetes, diabetes, and hypertension; a physical therapy program to address musculoskeletal... Read more

$22.39+1.2% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#4 of 24 Health Information Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.26%
Stop $20.82Target $22.65(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$22.92+2.4%12 analysts
$22.65our TP
$22.39price
$22.92mean
$15
$30

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.39, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 85. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 33d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202633d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Elevated risk factors
Overbought (RSI 85)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)47.0
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA-415.9
Profit Mgn-2.2%
ROE-4.3%
Rev Growth42.0%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV77%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.3
Support Resistance
1.1
52w Position
5.8
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 33d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
85 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $16.71Resistance $23.11

Price Targets

$21
$23
A.Upside+1.2%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (33d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OMDA stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $22.39, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 85. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $22.65 (+1.2%), stop $20.82 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OMDA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.65 (+1.2% upside). Target $22.65 (+1.2%), stop $20.82 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $20.82.

What are the risks of investing in OMDA?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Elevated risk factors; Overbought (RSI 85).

Is OMDA overvalued or undervalued?

Omada Health, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 47.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about OMDA?

18 analysts cover OMDA with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Omada Health, Inc. do?Omada Health, Inc., together with its subsidiary, Physera, Inc., provides a range of virtual care programs in the...

Omada Health, Inc., together with its subsidiary, Physera, Inc., provides a range of virtual care programs in the United States. The company offers cardiometabolic programs for prediabetes, diabetes, and hypertension; a physical therapy program to address musculoskeletal conditions; other support programs for members taking glucagon-like peptide-1 agonists in its cardiometabolic program; and weight management programs, as well as various behavioral health support programs. It also delivers virtual care. The company offers its programs for employers, health plans and systems, and pharmacy benefits managers through its direct sales force and channel partners. The company was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in South San Francisco, California.

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