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OHIOmega Healthcare Investors, IncHold6.1·$49.40+2.55%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Omega Healthcare Investors is a healthcare REIT with best-in-class margins of 51%, a strong earnings beat streak of 3 of 4 quarters, and a Rule of 40 score of 56, but the stock is priced near its analyst target with only 1.3% remaining upside and momentum has weakened below the minimum threshold.

Thesis pillars

  • Snf Concentration RiskStable
  • Best In Class Margins QualityStable
  • Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc (OHI) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $49.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Property Type: SNFs (54.6%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Omega Healthcare Investors is a healthcare REIT owning 1,027 operating SNFs, assisted living facilities, and other long-term care properties in 42 states and the U.K., leased under triple-net agreements to 89 operators. SNFs drive 54.6% of revenues; average annualized lease... Read more

$49.40-2.0% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#1 of 16 REIT - Healthcare Facilities
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.30%
IncomeYield5.43%(5y avg 7.94%)Payout129.47%
Stop $47.46Target $48.42(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$50.65+2.5%17 analysts
$48.42our TP
$49.40price
$50.65mean
$45
$63

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $49.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Property Type: SNFs (54.6%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 25d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc

About Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc

Omega Healthcare Investors held 1,027 operating healthcare facilities across 42 states, the United Kingdom, and Bailiwick of Jersey at year-end 2025, with gross real estate investments totaling $11.9 billion. Skilled nursing facilities and transitional care properties generated 54.6% of annual revenues from 577 facilities; senior housing (ALFs, ILFs, and CCRCs) contributed 30.4% from 359 facilities. Triple-net operating leases — 86% of which have terms extending beyond 2030 — carried an average annualized yield of 10.4%, with 89 third-party operators responsible for all facility operations.

Omega earns revenue primarily through triple-net leases in which operators pay one monthly rent covering all properties under a master lease agreement, bearing facility-level operating costs, capital maintenance, and insurance. Lease terms run 5 to 15 years with annual escalators; real estate assets and mortgage loans on 1,027 facilities generated 93.5% of 2025 revenues, with the balance from other real estate loans, unconsolidated entities, and non-real estate loans. Mortgage loans on 91 SNF and senior housing facilities provide supplemental income at an average 10.2% annualized yield. During the fourth quarter of 2025, Omega adopted RIDEA structures for four newly acquired senior housing facilities managed by two third-party managers, providing direct exposure to operating cash flows. Operators are subject to Medicare and Medicaid reimbursement as the primary revenue source for SNF operators, and regulatory changes to these programs — including the OBBBA's estimated $920 billion in Medicaid cuts over the next decade enacted in July 2025 — may adversely impact operators' ability to service lease obligations to Omega.

Show full overview

The concentrated SNF-tenant exposure means Omega's cash flow is directly linked to Medicare and Medicaid reimbursement policy and operator financial health. The OBBBA froze nursing home provider taxes and introduced reductions to Medicaid that could reduce reimbursement levels states pass through to SNF operators, exposing the company to potential rent coverage deterioration from its largest tenant segment. In May 2026, the company disclosed planned CEO and CFO retirements via Form 8-K: C. Taylor Pickett will step down October 1, 2026, succeeded by President Matthew P. Gourmand; CFO Robert O. Stephenson departs August 1, 2026, with SVP Neal A. Ballew succeeding him. Both transitions follow long-term succession planning with named successors.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities

From Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-06
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202625d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: SNFs (54.6%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.0% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.9
P/E (Fwd)24.3
Mkt Cap$15.4B
EV/EBITDA17.3
Profit Mgn51.4%
ROE12.6%
Rev Growth14.3%
Beta0.57
Dividend5.43%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.83neutral
IV38%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertySNFs55%
    10-K Item 1: 'SNFs/Transitional care (3)| 577| ​| $| 5,732,460| 48.0| %| $| 170,985| ​| 54.6| %'
  • MEDIUMPropertySenior housing30%
    10-K Item 1: 'Senior housing (4)| 359| ​| ​| 3,900,922| 32.7| %| ​| 95,060| ​| 30.4| %'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-21Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CEO C. Taylor Pickett to retire October 1, 2026; succeeded by President Matthew P. Gourmand. CFO Robert O. Stephenson to retire August 1, 2026; succeeded by SVP/Chief Accounting Officer Neal A. Ballew. Both planned retirements with named successors.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.0
52w Position
10.0

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
1.6
Ps
1.7
Analyst Target
4.0
P Ocf
6.5
P/OCF: 16.9x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 25d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
76 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $43.15Resistance $49.41

Price Targets

$47
$48
A.Upside-2.0%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (25d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OHI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $49.40, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Property Type: SNFs (54.6%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $48.42 (-2.0%), stop $47.46 (−4.1%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OHI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $48.42 (-2.0% upside). Target $48.42 (-2.0%), stop $47.46 (−4.1%), A.R:R -0.6:1. Stop-loss: $47.46.

What are the risks of investing in OHI?

Concentration risk — Property Type: SNFs (54.6%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.0% away).

Is OHI overvalued or undervalued?

Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc trades at a P/E of 23.9 (forward 24.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about OHI?

22 analysts cover OHI with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $51.

What does Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc do?Omega Healthcare Investors is a healthcare REIT owning 1,027 operating SNFs, assisted living facilities, and other...

Omega Healthcare Investors is a healthcare REIT owning 1,027 operating SNFs, assisted living facilities, and other long-term care properties in 42 states and the U.K., leased under triple-net agreements to 89 operators. SNFs drive 54.6% of revenues; average annualized lease yield is 10.4%; approximately 86% of leases extend beyond 2030.

Related stocks: SBRA (Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc.) · MPT (Medical Properties Trust, Inc.) · AHR (American Healthcare REIT, Inc.) · VTR (Ventas, Inc.) · DOC (Healthpeak Properties, Inc.)
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