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American Healthcare REIT, Inc. (AHR) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $51.44: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

American Healthcare REIT is a Maryland-based self-managed healthcare REIT focused on senior housing (ISHC, SHOP), skilled nursing facilities, outpatient medical buildings, and other healthcare-related facilities in the U.S. and U.K. Revenue is primarily rental income from ~228... Read more

$51.44-0.3% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#4 of 13 REIT - Healthcare Facilities
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.66%
IncomeYield1.97%Payout169.49%
Stop $48.68Target $51.40(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$58.08+12.9%13 analysts
$51.40our TP
$51.44price
$58.08mean
$63

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $51.44: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — American Healthcare REIT, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-2.0% upside)
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)86.1
P/E (Fwd)61.0
Mkt Cap$9.8B
EV/EBITDA27.4
Profit Mgn4.2%
ROE3.5%
Rev Growth20.9%
Beta0.94
Dividend1.97%
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV42%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
P Ocf
3.6
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
7.5
P/OCF: 31.1x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Roe
1.2
Roa
1.4
Net Margin
2.1
Operating Margin
2.6
Current Ratio
4.0
Moat
5.6
Piotroski F
7.8
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 357% FCF/NIStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.4>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
53 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $47.88Resistance $52.45

Price Targets

$49
$51
A.Upside-0.1%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.0% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AHR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $51.44: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 53, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $48.68. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AHR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $51.40 (-0.3% upside). Prior stop was $48.68. Stop-loss: $48.68.

What are the risks of investing in AHR?

Target reached (-2.0% upside); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is AHR overvalued or undervalued?

American Healthcare REIT, Inc. trades at a P/E of 86.1 (forward 61.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AHR?

10 analysts cover AHR with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $58.

What does American Healthcare REIT, Inc. do?American Healthcare REIT is a Maryland-based self-managed healthcare REIT focused on senior housing (ISHC, SHOP),...

American Healthcare REIT is a Maryland-based self-managed healthcare REIT focused on senior housing (ISHC, SHOP), skilled nursing facilities, outpatient medical buildings, and other healthcare-related facilities in the U.S. and U.K. Revenue is primarily rental income from ~228 properties; ISHC properties managed by Trilogy Management Services contribute ~55.5% of NOI.

Related stocks: OHI (Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc) · SBRA (Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc.) · MPT (Medical Properties Trust, Inc.) · VTR (Ventas, Inc.) · SILA (Sila Realty Trust, Inc.)