Ventas, Inc. (VTR) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $87.75 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: California, Texas, New York, Quebec, Canada and Illinois.
Ventas is a healthcare REIT with 1,409 properties—senior housing communities, outpatient medical buildings, research centers, and hospitals—in North America and the UK, operated through SHOP, OM&R, and triple-net segments. NOI splits across SHOP (49.4%), outpatient... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $87.75 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: California, Texas, New York, Quebec, Canada and Illinois. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 90d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMTenantArdent and Kindred10-K Item 1A: 'The portfolios leased by us to Ardent and Kindred represent a substantial portion of our NNN portfolio and account for a significant portion of our NNN revenues and NOI'
- MEDIUMTenantAtria, Sunrise and Le Groupe Maurice10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on Atria, Sunrise and Le Groupe Maurice to manage a significant portion of the properties in our SHOP segment'
- HIGHGeographicCalifornia, Texas, New York, Quebec, Canada and Illinois10-K Item 1A: 'A substantial portion of our revenues are derived from properties in California, Texas, New York, Quebec, Canada and Illinois'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-20Item 5.02MEDIUMGregory R. Liebbe, SVP/Chief Accounting Officer/Controller of Ventas, resigned effective Feb 27, 2026 to pursue other opportunities. CFO Robert F. Probst will serve as interim CAO while a permanent successor is searched. No disagreement cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $87.75 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: California, Texas, New York, Quebec, Canada and Illinois. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $83.61. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $86.64 (-1.3% upside). Prior stop was $83.61. Stop-loss: $83.61.
Concentration risk — Geographic: California, Texas, New York, Quebec, Canada and Illinois; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.7% away).
Ventas, Inc. trades at a P/E of 158.9 (forward 91.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
25 analysts cover VTR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $93.
What does Ventas, Inc. do?Ventas is a healthcare REIT with 1,409 properties—senior housing communities, outpatient medical buildings, research...
Ventas is a healthcare REIT with 1,409 properties—senior housing communities, outpatient medical buildings, research centers, and hospitals—in North America and the UK, operated through SHOP, OM&R, and triple-net segments. NOI splits across SHOP (49.4%), outpatient medical/research (24.7%), and triple-net (24.6%). A substantial portion of revenues derive from properties in California, Texas, New York, Quebec, Canada, and Illinois.