Ventas, Inc. (VTR) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $87.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: California, Texas, New York, Quebec, Canada and Illinois.
Ventas is a healthcare REIT with 1,409 properties—senior housing communities, outpatient medical buildings, research centers, and hospitals—in North America and the UK, operated through SHOP, OM&R, and triple-net segments. NOI splits across SHOP (49.4%), outpatient... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $87.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: California, Texas, New York, Quebec, Canada and Illinois. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 90d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMTenantArdent and Kindred10-K Item 1A: 'The portfolios leased by us to Ardent and Kindred represent a substantial portion of our NNN portfolio and account for a significant portion of our NNN revenues and NOI'
- MEDIUMTenantAtria, Sunrise and Le Groupe Maurice10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on Atria, Sunrise and Le Groupe Maurice to manage a significant portion of the properties in our SHOP segment'
- HIGHGeographicCalifornia, Texas, New York, Quebec, Canada and Illinois10-K Item 1A: 'A substantial portion of our revenues are derived from properties in California, Texas, New York, Quebec, Canada and Illinois'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-20Item 5.02MEDIUMGregory R. Liebbe, SVP/Chief Accounting Officer/Controller of Ventas, resigned effective Feb 27, 2026 to pursue other opportunities. CFO Robert F. Probst will serve as interim CAO while a permanent successor is searched. No disagreement cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $87.60 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: California, Texas, New York, Quebec, Canada and Illinois. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 58, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $83.40. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $86.64 (-1.1% upside). Prior stop was $83.40. Stop-loss: $83.40.
Concentration risk — Geographic: California, Texas, New York, Quebec, Canada and Illinois; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.9% away).
Ventas, Inc. trades at a P/E of 158.9 (forward 91.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
25 analysts cover VTR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $93.
What does Ventas, Inc. do?Ventas is a healthcare REIT with 1,409 properties—senior housing communities, outpatient medical buildings, research...
Ventas is a healthcare REIT with 1,409 properties—senior housing communities, outpatient medical buildings, research centers, and hospitals—in North America and the UK, operated through SHOP, OM&R, and triple-net segments. NOI splits across SHOP (49.4%), outpatient medical/research (24.7%), and triple-net (24.6%). A substantial portion of revenues derive from properties in California, Texas, New York, Quebec, Canada, and Illinois.