Ventas, Inc. (VTR) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities
Sell if holding. At $83.89, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.9%.
Ventas is an S&P 500 healthcare REIT with 1,409 properties across the U.S., Canada, and U.K., operating through three segments: Seniors Housing Operating (SHOP, 49.4% of NOI), Outpatient Medical & Research (24.7%), and Triple-net (24.6%). Revenue flows from RIDEA management... Read more
Sell if holding. At $83.89, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.9%. Chart setup: RSI 40 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
About Ventas, Inc.
About Ventas, Inc.
Ventas's 1,409-property portfolio generated $2.4 billion in total NOI for 2025, concentrated in three healthcare-aligned property types: 752 senior housing communities in the SHOP segment (49.4% of NOI), 409 outpatient medical and research buildings in the OM&R segment (24.7%), and 213 triple-net leased healthcare facilities in the NNN segment (24.6%). California was the only state accounting for more than 10% of total revenues; Canada contributed 9.5% and the United Kingdom 1.2%.
Ventas earns revenue through three distinct structures. In the SHOP segment, the company participates directly in the financial performance of senior housing communities managed by 39 third-party operators; Atria Senior Living managed properties representing 17.7% of total 2025 NOI, Sunrise Senior Living 6.8%, and Le Groupe Maurice 5.6%. Managers receive annual fees calculated on revenue and NOI metrics with incentive provisions for performance targets. The OM&R segment leases outpatient medical buildings and research centers to health systems, universities, and biotechnology companies under fixed-term gross or modified leases; these properties generate stable NOI but expose the company to tenant credit risk without direct operational participation. The NNN segment deploys absolute-net leases to hospital operators including Ardent Health Partners (6.4% of total NOI) and Kindred Healthcare (5.8%), with rent escalators tied to the CPI or facility revenue metrics. The capital structure includes both secured and unsecured debt, and the 10-K identifies rising interest rates as a potential headwind to refinancing economics and acquisition capacity.
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The company's exposure to government funding represents a distinct risk not present in other REIT property types. University and academic medical center tenants in the OM&R segment may depend on NIH grants to partially fund rent payments; the 10-K notes that in 2025 the U.S. administration adopted substantial policy changes affecting research funding, which could impair these tenants' ability to meet lease obligations. Meanwhile, the Brookdale Senior Living lease portfolio — which accounted for 6.2% of total NOI in 2025 largely due to transitional properties — is expected to shrink materially from 2026 forward, as 42 properties converted to SHOP during 2025 and 3 more converted on January 1, 2026.
See also: Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities
From Ventas, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-17Recent Developments — Ventas, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Ventas (VTR) Stock: Downside Risk Review (-2.14%) 2026-04-22 - Elite Trading Signals - Cổng thông tin điện tử Tỉnh Sơn L — Cổng thông tin điện tử Tỉnh Sơn La neutral
- NEWS Ventas (VTR) Stock: Downside Risk Review (-2.14%) 2026-04-22 - Bollinger Bands - Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh Lào Cai — Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh Lào Cai negative
- NEWS Ventas Inc Stock (US9227931050): Analyst Targets And Valuation Back In Focus After Recent Rally - AD HOC NEWS — AD HOC NEWS neutral
- NEWS Is Ventas Inc (VTR) Overvalued After 3.6% Rally? GF Value Says O - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
- NEWS Ventas Inc (VTR) Stock Down 3.0% but Still Overvalued -- GF Score: 81/100 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus negative
Generated 2026-06-17T08:36:51Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMPropertySeniors Housing Operating (SHOP)49%10-K Item 1: 'Senior housing operating portfolio (SHOP)| | $| 1,184,064 | | | 49.4 | %'
- LOWTenantAtria Senior Living18%10-K Item 1: 'Atria Senior Living, Inc.| 17.7 | %| | 194 | | | 14.1 | %'
- LOWGeographicCalifornia10-K Item 1: 'with properties in only one state (California) accounting for more than 10% of our total revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-02-20Item 5.02MEDIUMSVP/Chief Accounting Officer Gregory Liebbe resigned effective Feb 27, 2026 to pursue other opportunities. CFO Robert Probst assumes CAO responsibilities on interim basis during search for permanent successor. No disagreement cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
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Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $83.89, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.9%. Chart setup: RSI 40 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $78.93. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $87.12 (+3.9% upside). Prior stop was $78.93. Stop-loss: $78.93.
Thin upside margin: 3.9%.
Ventas, Inc. trades at a P/E of 151.7 (forward 98.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
25 analysts cover VTR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $97.
What does Ventas, Inc. do?Ventas is an S&P 500 healthcare REIT with 1,409 properties across the U.S., Canada, and U.K., operating through three...
Ventas is an S&P 500 healthcare REIT with 1,409 properties across the U.S., Canada, and U.K., operating through three segments: Seniors Housing Operating (SHOP, 49.4% of NOI), Outpatient Medical & Research (24.7%), and Triple-net (24.6%). Revenue flows from RIDEA management agreements with 62 senior housing operators and triple-net leases on post-acute and medical facilities.