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DOCHealthpeak Properties, Inc.Sell5.4·$20.17
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Healthpeak Properties has exceeded its analyst consensus target, leaving no positive asymmetry at current levels; while the portfolio demonstrates strong cash conversion and a high financial health score, heavy geographic concentration in San Francisco laboratory space and a dividend whose safety is in question make this a name to reduce rather than add.

Thesis pillars

  • Sf Lab Portfolio Concentration↑Improving
  • Price Above Analyst Target↓Deteriorating
  • Dividend Safety Concern↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Healthpeak Properties, Inc. (DOC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellGrowthHigh Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $20.17 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: San Francisco lab portfolio (59.0%).

Healthpeak Properties is a healthcare REIT owning 689 properties across outpatient medical (507 buildings), lab (145 buildings), and senior housing (34 communities) segments in the U.S. Revenue comes from leases to healthcare providers, biotech tenants, and RIDEA-structured... Read more

$20.17-0.1% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#10 of 15 REIT - Healthcare Facilities
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield6.05%(5y avg 5.47%)Payout225.93%
Stop $19.11Analyst target $20.16(reached)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst consensus$22.39+11.0%19 analysts with price targets
$20.17price
$22.39mean
$17
$29

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $20.17 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: San Francisco lab portfolio (59.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 88d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 29, 2026

Recent Developments — Healthpeak Properties, Inc.

Latest item Oct 29, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:54:11Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Feb 1, 202788d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: San Francisco lab portfolio (59.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.4
P/E (Fwd)144.1
Mkt Cap$14.3B
EV/EBITDA16.7
Profit Mgn12.3%
ROE4.4%
Rev Growth16.3%
Beta0.98
Dividend6.05%
Analysts with ratings26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.49bullish
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$13-38.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWTenantHCA Healthcare7.0%
    10-K Item 1: 'most significant outpatient medical tenant concentration ... HCA Healthcare, Inc. (HCA)| | 15 | %| | 7 | %'
  • HIGHGeographicSan Francisco lab portfolio59%
    10-K Item 1: 'including San Francisco, California (59%), Boston, Massachusetts (22%), and San Diego, California (17%) (based on total square feet)'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.2
Gap
5.0
52w Position
7.8
GatesA.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 88d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $18.25Resistance $20.21

Price Targets

A.Upside-0.1%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.1% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-01 (88d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DOC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $20.17 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: San Francisco lab portfolio (59.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $19.11. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

What is the DOC stock price target?

Analyst target $20.16 reached (−0.1% from $20.17); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $19.11. Stop-loss: $19.11.

What are the risks of investing in DOC?

Concentration risk — Geographic: San Francisco lab portfolio (59.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.8).

Is DOC overvalued or undervalued?

Healthpeak Properties, Inc. trades at a P/E of 37.4 (forward 144.1). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DOC?

26 analysts rate DOC, with a consensus score of 3.5/5. 19 analysts publish price targets averaging $22.

What does Healthpeak Properties, Inc. do?Healthpeak Properties is a healthcare REIT owning 689 properties across outpatient medical (507 buildings), lab (145...

Healthpeak Properties is a healthcare REIT owning 689 properties across outpatient medical (507 buildings), lab (145 buildings), and senior housing (34 communities) segments in the U.S. Revenue comes from leases to healthcare providers, biotech tenants, and RIDEA-structured senior housing operators; 2025 Adjusted NOI: outpatient medical $796M, lab $567M, senior housing $177M.

Related stocks: LTC (LTC Properties, Inc.) · NHI (National Health Investors, Inc.) · OHI (Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc) · CTRE (CareTrust REIT, Inc.) · AHR (American Healthcare REIT, Inc.)
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