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Healthpeak Properties, Inc. (DOC) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilities

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $16.14 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Property Type: healthcare property sector; Concentration risk — Geographic: San Francisco lab properties (59.0%).

Healthpeak Properties is an S&P 500 REIT owning and developing healthcare real estate across outpatient medical, lab, and senior housing segments in the U.S. It holds 689 properties generating ~$1.54B Adjusted NOI annually, led by 507 outpatient medical and 145 lab buildings.... Read more

$16.14+8.5% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#10 of 13 REIT - Healthcare Facilities
Stop $15.30Target $17.52(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$19.47+20.6%18 analysts
$17.52our TP
$16.14price
$19.47mean
$29

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $16.14 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Property Type: healthcare property sector; Concentration risk — Geographic: San Francisco lab properties (59.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Property Type: healthcare property sector
Concentration risk — Geographic: San Francisco lab properties (59.0%)
Thin upside margin: 8.5%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)159.9
P/E (Fwd)118.4
Mkt Cap$11.1B
EV/EBITDA13.9
Profit Mgn2.5%
ROE1.2%
Rev Growth3.1%
Beta1.08
Dividend7.63%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.39bullish
IV53%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHPropertyhealthcare property sector
    10-K Item 1A: 'our concentration of real estate investments in the healthcare property sector, which makes us more vulnerable to a downturn in that specific sector'
  • HIGHGeographicSan Francisco lab properties59%
    10-K Item 1A: 'San Francisco, California (59%), Boston, Massachusetts (22%), and San Diego, California (17%) (based on total square feet)'
  • LOWTenantHCA Healthcare, Inc.7.0%
    10-K Item 1A: 'HCA Healthcare, Inc. (HCA)| | 15 | %| | 7 | %'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.1
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Macd
2.6
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.3
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.3
Growth Rank
2.5
Value Rank
3.8
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dA.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $15.70Resistance $17.43

Price Targets

$15
$18
A.Upside+8.6%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DOC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.1/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $16.14 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Property Type: healthcare property sector; Concentration risk — Geographic: San Francisco lab properties (59.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $15.30. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DOC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.52 (+8.5% upside). Prior stop was $15.30. Stop-loss: $15.30.

What are the risks of investing in DOC?

Concentration risk — Property Type: healthcare property sector; Concentration risk — Geographic: San Francisco lab properties (59.0%); Thin upside margin: 8.5%.

Is DOC overvalued or undervalued?

Healthpeak Properties, Inc. trades at a P/E of 159.9 (forward 118.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DOC?

23 analysts cover DOC with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $19.

What does Healthpeak Properties, Inc. do?Healthpeak Properties is an S&P 500 REIT owning and developing healthcare real estate across outpatient medical, lab,...

Healthpeak Properties is an S&P 500 REIT owning and developing healthcare real estate across outpatient medical, lab, and senior housing segments in the U.S. It holds 689 properties generating ~$1.54B Adjusted NOI annually, led by 507 outpatient medical and 145 lab buildings. Its lab portfolio is concentrated in San Francisco (59%), Boston (22%), and San Diego (17%) by sq ft.

Related stocks: OHI (Omega Healthcare Investors, Inc) · SBRA (Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc.) · MPT (Medical Properties Trust, Inc.) · AHR (American Healthcare REIT, Inc.) · VTR (Ventas, Inc.)