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ODDODDITY Tech Ltd.Sell4.2·$17.53-2.07%
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

ODDITY Tech is in a confirmed technical downtrend with declining revenue and deteriorating quality metrics, though a high short interest squeeze setup and an ongoing earnings beat pattern offer a countervailing narrative.

Thesis pillars

  • Confirmed Downtrend Bear RallyStable
  • Declining Revenue Quality FlagsStable
  • Analyst Target Deeply Negative AsymmetryStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ODDITY Tech Ltd. (ODD) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 4/5High Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $17.53 — A.R:R is negative (-3.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5.

Oddity Tech Ltd. operates as a consumer tech company that builds digital-first brands for the beauty and wellness industries in the United States, Israel, and internationally. It serves consumers through its platform, which uses data science, machine learning, and computer... Read more

$17.53+1.3% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#18 of 18 Household & Personal Products
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-7.20%
Stop $16.14Target $17.58(resistance)A.R:R -3.2:1
Analyst target$10.25-41.5%7 analysts
$17.58our TP
$17.53price
$10.25mean
$8

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $17.53 — A.R:R is negative (-3.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 76. Score 4.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 29d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 3, 202629d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5
Earnings estimates trending DOWN

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.7
P/E (Fwd)17.9
Mkt Cap$826M
EV/EBITDA21.0
Profit Mgn7.0%
ROE16.4%
Rev Growth-26.2%
Beta2.37
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV118%elevated
Max Pain$1-94.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
0.5
Support Resistance
0.7
Gap
6.0

Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static

Price Target
0.8
Erm Sentiment
2.8
Analyst Rating
5.0
Below analyst targetEstimates falling as sentiment proxy (-5.4%)

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
1.5
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings History
6.7
Estimates down -5.4% (30d)Strong earnings: 3B/1M

Revenue shrinking — -26.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
7.3
Declining revenue: -26%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
4.9
Quality Rank
5.6
GatesA.R:R -3.2=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 29d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
76 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.48Resistance $17.94

Price Targets

$16
$18
A.Upside+0.3%
A.R:R-3.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-48.6% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (29d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ODD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $17.53 — A.R:R is negative (-3.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 76. Prior stop was $16.14. Score 4.2/10, high confidence.

What is the ODD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.58 (+1.3% upside). Prior stop was $16.14. Stop-loss: $16.14.

What are the risks of investing in ODD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.

Is ODD overvalued or undervalued?

ODDITY Tech Ltd. trades at a P/E of 22.7 (forward 17.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ODD?

17 analysts cover ODD with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $10.

What does ODDITY Tech Ltd. do?Oddity Tech Ltd. operates as a consumer tech company that builds digital-first brands for the beauty and wellness...

Oddity Tech Ltd. operates as a consumer tech company that builds digital-first brands for the beauty and wellness industries in the United States, Israel, and internationally. It serves consumers through its platform, which uses data science, machine learning, and computer vision capabilities to identify consumer needs, and develop solutions in the form of beauty, wellness, and technology products. The company provides a portfolio of products, including face and complexion, eye, brow and lip products, makeup tools, bodycare, medical grade prescription and OTC products, skincare, color cosmetics, haircare, and supplements under the IL MAKIAGE and SpoiledChild brands. In addition, it operates ODDITY LABS, a biotechnology center, which deploys AI-based molecule discovery technology to identify and launch novel ingredients that delivers performance and outcomes for consumers in beauty and wellness. Oddity Tech Ltd. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Jaffa, Israel.

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