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ODDODDITY Tech Ltd.Sell4.4·$13.11-1.65%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ODDITY Tech is in a confirmed technical downtrend with declining revenue and deteriorating quality metrics, though a high short interest squeeze setup and an ongoing earnings beat pattern offer a countervailing narrative.

Thesis pillars

  • Confirmed Downtrend Bear RallyDeteriorating
  • Declining Revenue Quality FlagsStable
  • Analyst Target Deeply Negative AsymmetryStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ODDITY Tech Ltd. (ODD) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellGrowthQualityShortModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.11: Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 29%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.95; Below-average business quality.

Oddity Tech Ltd. operates as a consumer tech company that builds digital-first brands for the beauty and wellness industries in the United States, Israel, and internationally. It serves consumers through its platform, which uses data science, machine learning, and computer... Read more

$13.11-26.5% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#17 of 18 Household & Personal Products
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-9.83%
Stop $12.19Target $16.99(resistance)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst target$11.07-15.5%7 analysts
$16.99our TP
$13.11price
$11.07mean
$8
$17

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.11: Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 29%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.95; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 23d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Sep 9, 202623d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-26.5% upside)
Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)16.6
P/E (Fwd)13.1
Mkt Cap$605M
EV/EBITDA16.7
Profit Mgn7.0%
ROE16.4%
Rev Growth-26.2%
Beta2.38
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C4.95bearish
IV105%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
1.5
Rsi
3.5
Obv
5.2
Below 200-MA, MA slope -20.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Volatile — 7.4% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Beta
2.1
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Debt Equity
3.0
Days To Cover
3.5
Short Interest
10.0
Short squeeze setup: 29% short, quality 7.5Elevated put/call: 4.95High IV: 105%Above max pain $5

Revenue shrinking — -26.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
7.3
Declining revenue: -26%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
5.4
Value Rank
7.5
Attractive P/E vs peers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
4.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings History
6.7
Strong earnings: 3B/1M
GatesMomentum 2.2<4.5A.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.32%=HEAVYDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 23d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $12.13Resistance $17.34

Price Targets

$12
$17
A.Upside-26.5%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-26.5% upside)
! Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0)
! momentum at 2.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-09 (23d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ODD stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $13.11: Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10. Specifically: High short interest: 29%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.95; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $12.19. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ODD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $16.99 (-26.5% upside). Prior stop was $12.19. Stop-loss: $12.19.

What are the risks of investing in ODD?

Target reached (-26.5% upside); Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0).

Is ODD overvalued or undervalued?

ODDITY Tech Ltd. trades at a P/E of 16.6 (forward 13.1). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ODD?

17 analysts cover ODD with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $11.

What does ODDITY Tech Ltd. do?Oddity Tech Ltd. operates as a consumer tech company that builds digital-first brands for the beauty and wellness...

Oddity Tech Ltd. operates as a consumer tech company that builds digital-first brands for the beauty and wellness industries in the United States, Israel, and internationally. It serves consumers through its platform, which uses data science, machine learning, and computer vision capabilities to identify consumer needs, and develop solutions in the form of beauty, wellness, and technology products. The company provides a portfolio of products, including face and complexion, eye, brow and lip products, makeup tools, bodycare, medical grade prescription and OTC products, skincare, color cosmetics, haircare, and supplements under the IL MAKIAGE and SpoiledChild brands. In addition, it operates ODDITY LABS, a biotechnology center, which deploys AI-based molecule discovery technology to identify and launch novel ingredients that delivers performance and outcomes for consumers in beauty and wellness. Oddity Tech Ltd. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Jaffa, Israel.

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