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ODDODDITY Tech Ltd.Buy Wait4.6·$13.75-2.69%
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

ODDITY Tech is in a confirmed technical downtrend with declining revenue and deteriorating quality metrics, though a high short interest squeeze setup and an ongoing earnings beat pattern offer a countervailing narrative.

Thesis pillars

  • Confirmed Downtrend Bear RallyDeteriorating
  • Declining Revenue Quality FlagsStable
  • Analyst Target Deeply Negative AsymmetryStable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ODDITY Tech Ltd. (ODD) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

Buy WaitGrowthQualityShortHigh Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Household & Personal Products

Earnings in 3 days (2026-09-09). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $13.06. Weak momentum; also insider activity concern, below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $13.75. Engine's entry $13.06 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3).

Oddity Tech Ltd. operates as a consumer tech company that builds digital-first brands for the beauty and wellness industries in the United States, Israel, and internationally. It serves consumers through its platform, which uses data science, machine learning, and computer... Read more

$13.75-26.3% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#17 of 18 Household & Personal Products
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-9.37%
Entry $13.06(5% below current)Stop $12.15Target $15.06(resistance)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst target$11.64-15.3%7 analysts
$15.06our TP
$13.75price
$11.64mean
$8
$16

Wait for pullback to $13.06. Weak momentum; also insider activity concern, below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $13.75. Engine's entry $13.06 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/9 gates (no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Sep 9, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3)
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.4
P/E (Fwd)13.9
Mkt Cap$634M
EV/EBITDA17.3
Profit Mgn7.0%
ROE16.4%
Rev Growth-26.2%
Beta2.38
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.21bullish
IV169%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -26.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
7.1
Declining revenue: -26%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
5.4
Value Rank
7.6
Attractive P/E vs peers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
4.3
Support Resistance
4.5
Gap
6.0
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.39%=HEAVYDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $11.78Resistance $15.37

Price Targets

$12
$13
$15
A.Upside-26.3%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-26.3% upside)
! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! momentum at 4.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-09 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ODD stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $13.06. Weak momentum; also insider activity concern, below 200-day MA (death cross) — blocks BUY_NOW at $13.75. Engine's entry $13.06 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $15.06 (+9.5%), stop $12.15 (−13.2%), A.R:R -1.8:1. Score 4.6/10, high confidence.

What is the ODD stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.06 (-26.3% upside). Target $15.06 (+9.5%), stop $12.15 (−13.2%), A.R:R -1.8:1. Stop-loss: $12.15.

What are the risks of investing in ODD?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.3); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5.

Is ODD overvalued or undervalued?

ODDITY Tech Ltd. trades at a P/E of 17.4 (forward 13.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ODD?

17 analysts cover ODD with a consensus score of 2.5/5. Average price target: $12.

What does ODDITY Tech Ltd. do?Oddity Tech Ltd. operates as a consumer tech company that builds digital-first brands for the beauty and wellness...

Oddity Tech Ltd. operates as a consumer tech company that builds digital-first brands for the beauty and wellness industries in the United States, Israel, and internationally. It serves consumers through its platform, which uses data science, machine learning, and computer vision capabilities to identify consumer needs, and develop solutions in the form of beauty, wellness, and technology products. The company provides a portfolio of products, including face and complexion, eye, brow and lip products, makeup tools, bodycare, medical grade prescription and OTC products, skincare, color cosmetics, haircare, and supplements under the IL MAKIAGE and SpoiledChild brands. In addition, it operates ODDITY LABS, a biotechnology center, which deploys AI-based molecule discovery technology to identify and launch novel ingredients that delivers performance and outcomes for consumers in beauty and wellness. Oddity Tech Ltd. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Jaffa, Israel.

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