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OCTVOctave Intelligence plcSell5.6·$19.65+3.42%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Octave Intelligence is a high-quality, attractively valued business with conservative leverage, but a 42% drawdown from its 52-week high keeps the engine's classification speculative despite range-bound momentum just below its preferred threshold.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Attractive ValuationStable
  • Conservative Balance SheetStable
  • Range Bound Soft Momentum WarningStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Octave Intelligence plc (OCTV) Stock Analysis

SellValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $19.65 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Octave Intelligence plc provides various software solutions. Its solutions helps organizations to better understand and manage the environments in which they design, build, operate, and protect their assets, people, and critical infrastructure. Its platform connects data,... Read more

$19.65-0.5% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#72 of 122 Software - Application
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield
Stop $18.29Target $20.17(resistance)A.R:R -0.0:1
Analyst target$22.50+14.5%7 analysts
$20.17our TP
$19.65price
$22.50mean
$17
$30

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $19.65 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 69d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-03
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 12, 202669d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.0
P/E (Fwd)12.7
Mkt Cap$5.1B
EV/EBITDA11.5
Profit Mgn-111.3%
ROE
Rev Growth-3.6%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV64%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
2.3
Support Resistance
2.3
52w Position
3.1
Gap
4.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.2
Value Rank
6.9
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5A.R:R -0.0=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 69d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $16.66Resistance $20.58

Price Targets

$18
$20
A.Upside-0.5%
A.R:R-0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.5% upside)
! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-12 (69d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OCTV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $19.65 — A.R:R is negative (-0.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $18.29. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OCTV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.17 (-0.5% upside). Prior stop was $18.29. Stop-loss: $18.29.

What are the risks of investing in OCTV?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is OCTV overvalued or undervalued?

Octave Intelligence plc trades at a P/E of 17.0 (forward 12.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OCTV?

13 analysts cover OCTV with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Octave Intelligence plc do?Octave Intelligence plc provides various software solutions. Its solutions helps organizations to better understand and...

Octave Intelligence plc provides various software solutions. Its solutions helps organizations to better understand and manage the environments in which they design, build, operate, and protect their assets, people, and critical infrastructure. Its platform connects data, events, and workflows across various environments and applies context-aware intelligence to help customers understand what is happening, what may happen next, and how actions in one area affect conditions in another. The company serves power generation and utilities, data centers and IT infrastructure operators, heavy construction and public works, industrial process industries, public safety and emergency response agencies, transportation networks and logistics operations, light process industries, and discrete manufacturing industries. It operates in the United States, Canada, and Latin America; Europe, the Middle East, India, and Africa; and the Asia Pacific region. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Madison, Alabama.

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