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OCTVOctave Intelligence plcHold6.6·$16.32+5.29%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Octave Intelligence is a high-quality, attractively valued business with conservative leverage, but a 42% drawdown from its 52-week high keeps the engine's classification speculative despite range-bound momentum just below its preferred threshold.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Attractive ValuationStable
  • Conservative Balance SheetStable
  • Range Bound Soft Momentum WarningStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Octave Intelligence plc (OCTV) Stock Analysis

HoldValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.32, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: mixed signals — some dimensions strong, others weak.

Octave Intelligence plc provides various software solutions. Its solutions helps organizations to better understand and manage the environments in which they design, build, operate, and protect their assets, people, and critical infrastructure. Its platform connects data,... Read more

$16.32+22.6% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#6 of 125 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
Stop $15.18Target $20.01(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.1:1
Analyst target$23.00+40.9%7 analysts
$20.01our TP
$16.32price
$23.00mean
$30

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.32, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: mixed signals — some dimensions strong, others weak. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-25

Recent Developments — Octave Intelligence plc

Generated 2026-07-25T12:47:03Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202619d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Earnings estimates trending UP
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)13.6
P/E (Fwd)10.7
Mkt Cap$4.2B
EV/EBITDA8.2
Profit Mgn14.4%
ROE
Rev Growth1.0%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 5.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.5>=4.5A.R:R 3.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 19d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
31 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $15.41Resistance $18.38

Price Targets

$15
$20
A.Upside+22.6%
A.R:R3.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts11
Consensus3.8/5
Avg Target$23

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (19d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OCTV stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $16.32, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: mixed signals — some dimensions strong, others weak. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $20.01 (+22.6%), stop $15.18 (−7.5%), A.R:R 3.1:1. Score 6.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OCTV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.01 (+22.6% upside). Target $20.01 (+22.6%), stop $15.18 (−7.5%), A.R:R 3.1:1. Stop-loss: $15.18.

Is OCTV overvalued or undervalued?

Octave Intelligence plc trades at a P/E of 13.6 (forward 10.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about OCTV?

11 analysts cover OCTV with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $23.

What does Octave Intelligence plc do?Octave Intelligence plc provides various software solutions. Its solutions helps organizations to better understand and...

Octave Intelligence plc provides various software solutions. Its solutions helps organizations to better understand and manage the environments in which they design, build, operate, and protect their assets, people, and critical infrastructure. Its platform connects data, events, and workflows across various environments and applies context-aware intelligence to help customers understand what is happening, what may happen next, and how actions in one area affect conditions in another. The company serves power generation and utilities, data centers and IT infrastructure operators, heavy construction and public works, industrial process industries, public safety and emergency response agencies, transportation networks and logistics operations, light process industries, and discrete manufacturing industries. It operates in the United States, Canada, and Latin America; Europe, the Middle East, India, and Africa; and the Asia Pacific region. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is based in Madison, Alabama.

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