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ORealty Income CorporationSell5.8·$62.76-0.30%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Realty Income Corporation carries an exceptional quality score anchored by a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, 160% free cash flow conversion, and strong momentum above its 200-day moving average, but four consecutive earnings misses averaging minus 23% and analyst targets already exceeded leave no near-term price upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Piotroski QualityDeteriorating
  • Consecutive Earnings MissesStable
  • Positive Momentum AccumulationImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

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Realty Income Corporation (O) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $62.76 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (4).

Realty Income is a net lease REIT with over 15,500 freestanding commercial properties across all 50 U.S. states, the UK, and eight European countries, leased to a diversified base of commercial operators under long-term net leases. Revenue comes from contractually defined rental... Read more

$62.76-2.1% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#3 of 23 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.67%
IncomeYield5.17%(5y avg 5.07%)Payout236.42%
Stop $60.40Target $64.96(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$68.21+8.7%20 analysts
$64.96our TP
$62.76price
$68.21mean
$62
$72

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $62.76 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Realty Income Corporation

About Realty Income Corporation

Realty Income held over 15,500 net-leased freestanding commercial properties in all 50 U.S. states, the United Kingdom, and eight other European countries at December 31, 2025, with top-20 clients representing 35.8% of annualized base rent. U.K. and European assets grew to approximately 19% of annualized base rent by year-end 2025, up from roughly 14% at year-end 2024, as international properties accounted for approximately 60% of total acquisition volume in 2025. The company also held loans and preferred equity interests totaling $3.1 billion at December 31, 2025, compared with $1.5 billion a year earlier.

Realty Income earns revenue through net lease contracts under which clients typically pay real estate taxes, insurance, and maintenance, leaving the company entitled to contractually defined base rent — many with embedded escalators tied to fixed amounts, inflation indices, or a percentage of clients' gross sales. Retail properties represent a significant portion of the portfolio, with a focus on service-oriented, non-discretionary, and/or low-price-point formats considered resilient to e-commerce. The top-20 client roster included 11 investment-grade-rated companies or their affiliates as of December 31, 2025, with 32.2% of total portfolio annualized base rent coming from investment-grade clients. In recent years the company has added property types beyond traditional freestanding retail — including data centers, gaming facilities, and industrial properties — and entered Poland and the Netherlands in 2025. In January 2026, Realty Income made initial investments in Mexico through a joint venture with institutional partners.

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Gaming properties expose Realty Income to a distinct regulatory layer: gaming authorities retain broad discretion over licensing, staffing, and operational requirements and could subject the company as landlord to compliance obligations or restrictions on its gaming clients. The 10-K also notes that international expansion introduces foreign currency risk, with local-currency indebtedness funding international investments and hedging instruments that may not fully offset exchange rate volatility. The company's private capital vehicle and joint ventures introduce additional risks including partner redemption rights, valuation disputes, and possible termination of management arrangements.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Retail

From Realty Income Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 2, 202679d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)45.8
P/E (Fwd)36.8
Mkt Cap$59.4B
EV/EBITDA17.3
Profit Mgn20.9%
ROE3.2%
Rev Growth9.6%
Beta0.72
Dividend5.17%
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.29bearish
IV42%normal
Max Pain$90+43.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
3.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesA.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.1<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.1>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
27 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $61.27Resistance $66.29

Price Targets

$60
$65
A.Upside-2.1%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.1% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-02 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is O stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $62.76 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $60.40. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the O stock price target?

Take-profit target: $64.96 (-2.1% upside). Prior stop was $60.40. Stop-loss: $60.40.

What are the risks of investing in O?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (4).

Is O overvalued or undervalued?

Realty Income Corporation trades at a P/E of 45.8 (forward 36.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about O?

32 analysts cover O with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $68.

What does Realty Income Corporation do?Realty Income is a net lease REIT with over 15,500 freestanding commercial properties across all 50 U.S. states, the...

Realty Income is a net lease REIT with over 15,500 freestanding commercial properties across all 50 U.S. states, the UK, and eight European countries, leased to a diversified base of commercial operators under long-term net leases. Revenue comes from contractually defined rental payments where clients bear most operating expenses; 32.2% of annualized base rent derives from investment-grade-rated clients or affiliates. The company has increased its dividend for over 31 consecutive years.

Related stocks: EPRT (Essential Properties Realty Tru) · ADC (Agree Realty Corporation) · REG (Regency Centers Corporation) · BRX (Brixmor Property Group Inc.) · KIM (Kimco Realty Corporation (HC))
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