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Regency Centers Corporation (REG) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $76.06, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Regency Centers Corporation is a self-administered grocery-anchored neighborhood and community shopping center REIT, with full or partial interests in 481 properties (~58.4M SF GLA) as of December 31, 2025, primarily in suburban U.S. markets. It generates revenue by leasing... Read more

$76.06+5.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#15 of 23 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.04%
IncomeYield3.97%(5y avg 3.89%)Payout100.34%
Stop $73.74Target $80.03(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$83.74+10.1%19 analysts
$80.03our TP
$76.06price
$83.74mean
$90

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $76.06, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 73d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Regency Centers Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.1
P/E (Fwd)30.0
Mkt Cap$14.2B
EV/EBITDA18.5
Profit Mgn33.1%
ROE8.0%
Rev Growth10.0%
Beta0.84
Dividend3.97%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.3
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 25)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.9
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
4.4
P Ocf
6.3
P/OCF: 17.4x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5A.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 73d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
25 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $75.87Resistance $81.66

Price Targets

$74
$80
A.Upside+5.2%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.9% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (73d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is REG stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $76.06, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $80.03 (+5.2%), stop $73.74 (−3.1%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the REG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $80.03 (+5.2% upside). Target $80.03 (+5.2%), stop $73.74 (−3.1%), A.R:R -0.2:1. Stop-loss: $73.74.

What are the risks of investing in REG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Expensive valuation.

Is REG overvalued or undervalued?

Regency Centers Corporation trades at a P/E of 26.1 (forward 30.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about REG?

25 analysts cover REG with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $84.

What does Regency Centers Corporation do?Regency Centers Corporation is a self-administered grocery-anchored neighborhood and community shopping center REIT,...

Regency Centers Corporation is a self-administered grocery-anchored neighborhood and community shopping center REIT, with full or partial interests in 481 properties (~58.4M SF GLA) as of December 31, 2025, primarily in suburban U.S. markets. It generates revenue by leasing space to necessity, service, and value-based retailers; properties are primarily anchored by market-leading grocery chains. Regency has been an S&P 500 member since 2017.

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