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REGRegency Centers CorporationHold5.5·$78.74-0.66%
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Regency Centers Corporation (REG) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $78.74, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.4% away).

Regency Centers owns or holds interests in 481 grocery-anchored neighborhood and community shopping centers totaling 58.4 million square feet of GLA across the US, with S&P 500 membership since 2017. Revenue comes from long-term leases with grocery stores, restaurants, and... Read more

$78.74+0.7% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#13 of 23 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.88%
IncomeYield3.81%(5y avg 3.89%)Payout100.34%
Stop $76.32Target $79.42(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$84.63+7.5%19 analysts
$79.42our TP
$78.74price
$84.63mean
$90

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $78.74, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 54, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Regency Centers Corporation

About Regency Centers Corporation

Regency Centers' 481 grocery-anchored neighborhood and community shopping centers totaled approximately 58.4 million square feet of gross leasable area at December 31, 2025, with a pro-rata GLA share of 50.5 million square feet inclusive of unconsolidated partnership properties. California properties contributed 24.8% of annualized base rent, Florida properties 19.7%, and the New York-Newark-Jersey City metropolitan area 12.6%, reflecting the portfolio's concentration in high-income suburban trade areas. The company employed 507 people from 27 market offices nationwide and has been an S&P 500 Index member since 2017.

Regency Centers earns rental income principally through long-term leases with necessity-oriented retailers, restaurants, service providers, and grocery store operators. Local tenants — those with fewer than three locations — represented approximately 21% of annualized base rent at December 31, 2025, creating some exposure to smaller operators that may be less able to weather economic downturns. Anchor tenants occupying large stores pay a significant portion of total rent at each property and attract foot traffic that supports smaller shop lease rates; the 10-K notes that certain anchor leases include co-tenancy clauses allowing adjacent tenants to pay reduced rent if anchor space goes dark. The company finances development and redevelopment through retained cash flow and access to public and private debt markets; consolidated fixed-rate debt maturing in 2026 totaled $348.3 million and in 2027 totaled $752.1 million. Non-GAAP metrics used by management include Nareit FFO, Core Operating Earnings, and Net Operating Income.

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Regency Centers faces a near-term debt maturity cycle: $348.3 million of consolidated fixed-rate debt matures in 2026 and an additional $752.1 million matures in 2027, requiring access to debt markets at prevailing rates. Less than 2% of outstanding debt was unhedged variable-rate at December 31, 2025, limiting floating-rate exposure in the near term. If interest rates remain elevated when these obligations are refinanced, the cost of new debt could exceed the coupon on maturing debt, which could weigh on the company's liquidity and overall cost of capital. Property concentrations in California and Florida additionally expose the portfolio to state-specific regulatory, environmental, and climate-related risks that could affect occupancy and rental rates in those markets.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Retail

From Regency Centers Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (3.4% away)
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.2
P/E (Fwd)31.3
Mkt Cap$14.8B
EV/EBITDA19.1
Profit Mgn33.1%
ROE8.0%
Rev Growth10.0%
Beta0.83
Dividend3.81%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.93neutral
IV40%normal
Max Pain$80+1.6% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicCalifornia25%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our real estate properties located in California...accounted for 24.8%...of our annualized base rent'
  • LOWGeographicFlorida20%
    10-K Item 1A: 'real estate properties located in...Florida...accounted for...19.7%...of our annualized base rent'
  • LOWGeographicNew York-Newark-Jersey City13%
    10-K Item 1A: 'New York-Newark-Jersey City core-based statistical area accounted for...12.6% of our annualized base rent'
  • LOWTenantLocal Tenants21%
    10-K Item 1A: 'tenants with fewer than three locations ("Local Tenants") represent approximately 21% of annualized base rent'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.5
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
4.2
P Ocf
6.1
P/OCF: 18.1x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $74.92Resistance $81.04

Price Targets

$76
$79
A.Upside+0.9%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is REG stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $78.74, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 54, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $79.42 (+0.9%), stop $76.32 (−3.2%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the REG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $79.42 (+0.7% upside). Target $79.42 (+0.9%), stop $76.32 (−3.2%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $76.32.

What are the risks of investing in REG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.4% away); Expensive valuation.

Is REG overvalued or undervalued?

Regency Centers Corporation trades at a P/E of 27.2 (forward 31.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about REG?

25 analysts cover REG with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $85.

What does Regency Centers Corporation do?Regency Centers owns or holds interests in 481 grocery-anchored neighborhood and community shopping centers totaling...

Regency Centers owns or holds interests in 481 grocery-anchored neighborhood and community shopping centers totaling 58.4 million square feet of GLA across the US, with S&P 500 membership since 2017. Revenue comes from long-term leases with grocery stores, restaurants, and service providers; California, Florida, and the NY-Newark metro generate 24.8%, 19.7%, and 12.6% of annualized base rent.

Related stocks: FRT (Federal Realty Investment Trust) · NTST (NetSTREIT Corp.) · GTY (Getty Realty Corporation) · UE (Urban Edge Properties) · SKT (Tanger Inc.)
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