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Regency Centers Corporation (REG) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $78.03 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.4% away).

Regency Centers is a self-administered REIT owning 481 grocery-anchored neighborhood and community shopping centers (~58.4M sq ft GLA) across the United States, an S&P 500 member since 2017. Revenue comes from leasing retail space to necessity, service, and value-based tenants;... Read more

$78.03+2.5% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#10 of 23 REIT - Retail
Stop $75.62Target $80.03(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$82.84+6.2%19 analysts
$80.03our TP
$78.03price
$82.84mean
$75
$90

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $78.03 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.4% away). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.4% away)
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.3
P/E (Fwd)31.3
Mkt Cap$14.8B
EV/EBITDA19.4
Profit Mgn32.7%
ROE7.7%
Rev Growth8.9%
Beta0.92
Dividend3.80%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

IV51%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicCalifornia25%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our real estate properties located in California, Florida and the New York-Newark-Jersey City core-based statistical area accounted for 24.8% 19.7%, and 12.6% of our annualized base rent ("ABR"), respectively.'
  • LOWGeographicFlorida20%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our real estate properties located in California, Florida and the New York-Newark-Jersey City core-based statistical area accounted for 24.8% 19.7%, and 12.6% of our annualized base rent ("ABR"), respectively.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-06Item 5.02LOW
    C. Ronald Blankenship notified Company on February 4, 2026 that he will not stand for re-election and will retire from the Board at the 2026 Annual Meeting. 25 years of service. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
0.2
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.4
Ps
4.0
Analyst Target
4.0
P Ocf
6.2
P/OCF: 17.9x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $75.69Resistance $81.66

Price Targets

$76
$80
A.Upside+2.6%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.5% upside)
! Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is REG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $78.03 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.4% away). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $75.62. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the REG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $80.03 (+2.5% upside). Prior stop was $75.62. Stop-loss: $75.62.

What are the risks of investing in REG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.4% away); Expensive valuation.

Is REG overvalued or undervalued?

Regency Centers Corporation trades at a P/E of 27.3 (forward 31.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about REG?

25 analysts cover REG with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $83.

What does Regency Centers Corporation do?Regency Centers is a self-administered REIT owning 481 grocery-anchored neighborhood and community shopping centers...

Regency Centers is a self-administered REIT owning 481 grocery-anchored neighborhood and community shopping centers (~58.4M sq ft GLA) across the United States, an S&P 500 member since 2017. Revenue comes from leasing retail space to necessity, service, and value-based tenants; California (24.8% ABR), Florida (19.7% ABR), and New York-Newark-Jersey City (12.6% ABR) are the top geographic concentrations.

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