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NYAXNayax Ltd.Sell5.9·$52.68-1.99%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Nayax Ltd. is a high-growth software infrastructure company delivering 32% year-over-year revenue growth and rising analyst estimates, but consecutive earnings misses, negative free cash flow, and a stock price that has reached analyst targets limit the near-term risk/reward.

Thesis pillars

  • Industry Leading Revenue GrowthStable
  • Rising Estimate RevisionsDeteriorating
  • Negative Fcf Earnings QualityStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Nayax Ltd. (NYAX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $52.68: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 1.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Nayax Ltd., a fintech company, designs, develops, and sells integrated POS devices and software for automated self-service customers in-house in the United States, Europe, the United Kingdom, Australia, Israel, and the rest of the world. It offers POS, cashless payments, and... Read more

$52.68+22.6% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#41 of 104 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-1.88%
Stop $48.99Target $64.60(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$76.00+44.3%3 analysts
$64.60our TP
$52.68price
$76.00mean
$83

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $52.68: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 1.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-04

Recent Developments — Nayax Ltd.

Generated 2026-09-04T13:27:38Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 18, 202675d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)250.9
P/E (Fwd)33.7
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA59.8
Profit Mgn1.7%
ROE3.5%
Rev Growth28.2%
Beta-0.16
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.9
Net Margin
0.9
Roe
1.2
Gross Margin
5.6
Moat
5.6
Current Ratio
7.4
Piotroski F
8.9
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -470% FCF/NIStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.5
Quality Rank
2.8
Growth Rank
7.6
GatesMomentum 5.9>=5.5A.R:R 1.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $45.59Resistance $70.00

Price Targets

$49
$65
A.Upside+22.6%
A.R:R1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-18 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NYAX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $52.68: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 1.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 55 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $48.99. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NYAX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $64.60 (+22.6% upside). Prior stop was $48.99. Stop-loss: $48.99.

What are the risks of investing in NYAX?

Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is NYAX overvalued or undervalued?

Nayax Ltd. trades at a P/E of 250.9 (forward 33.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NYAX?

9 analysts cover NYAX with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $76.

What does Nayax Ltd. do?Nayax Ltd., a fintech company, designs, develops, and sells integrated POS devices and software for automated...

Nayax Ltd., a fintech company, designs, develops, and sells integrated POS devices and software for automated self-service customers in-house in the United States, Europe, the United Kingdom, Australia, Israel, and the rest of the world. It offers POS, cashless payments, and charging stations, such as VPOS Touch, Onyx, Nova Market, DOT, Nova C4, Nova C3, EV-Meter, EV Kiosk, Nova 55F, Nova 22", Nova 156, Nova Modu, and Nova Kiosk; management suite and telemetry solutions, Nayax Core Management Suite, MoMa, Vending Management System, Nayax Energy Core, and Retail Management Cloud; marketing, loyalty, and consumer engagement platforms, such as Monyx Wallet and Weezmo; payments and integrations solutions, including API Suite and Coinbridge. The company serves vending machines, kiosks, self-checkouts, ticketing machines, laundromats, gaming terminals, and EV charging stations. Nayax Ltd. was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Herzliya, Israel.

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