NAPCO Security Technologies has achieved a perfect earnings beat streak of 4 consecutive quarters with an average surprise of 22%, a wide economic moat, and free cash flow at 131% of net income, establishing it as a high-quality compounder in the security technology space with meaningful analyst upside remaining.
Thesis pillars
- Wide Moat High Quality Compounder→Stable
- Analyst Upside 34pct↑Improving
- Perfect Earnings Beat Streak→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
NAPCO Security Technologies, In (NSSC) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup · Temporary headwind edge
Industrials · Security & Protection Services
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $35.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Napco Security Technologies, Inc. engages in the development, manufacturing, and sale of electronic security systems for commercial, residential, institutional, industrial, and governmental applications in the United States and internationally. The company's access control... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $35.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 24, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 29d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-07-26Recent Developments — NAPCO Security Technologies, In
Material events (past 30 days)
- 8K Jul 8, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: . Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers** On July 8, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Earnings Preview: NSSC to Report Financial Results Pre-market on May 04 - 富途牛牛 — 富途牛牛 positive
- NEWS NAPCO Security Technologies to Announce Fiscal Third Quarter 2026 Results Monday, May 4, 2026 - Weekly Voice — Weekly Voice neutral
- NEWS Napco Security Technologies : Expands MVP Access Ecosystem with New BadgePass Integration - marketscreener.com — marketscreener.com positive
- NEWS NAPCO Security Technologies Inc - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS NAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NSSC) Earnings Forecast: Future EPS & Revenue Growth Estimates - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
Generated 2026-07-26T08:02:04Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-07-08Item 5.02MEDIUM. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers** On July 8, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $35.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 24, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $43.79 (+23.8%), stop $33.52 (−5.5%), A.R:R 3.6:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $43.79 (+22.5% upside). Target $43.79 (+23.8%), stop $33.52 (−5.5%), A.R:R 3.6:1. Stop-loss: $33.52.
Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
NAPCO Security Technologies, In trades at a P/E of 34.7 (forward 22.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Hold.
12 analysts cover NSSC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $50.
What does NAPCO Security Technologies, In do?Napco Security Technologies, Inc. engages in the development, manufacturing, and sale of electronic security systems...
Napco Security Technologies, Inc. engages in the development, manufacturing, and sale of electronic security systems for commercial, residential, institutional, industrial, and governmental applications in the United States and internationally. The company's access control systems include various types of identification readers, control panels, PC-based computers, and electronically activated door-locking devices; intrusion and fire alarm systems, consists of various detectors, a control panel, a digital keypad and signaling equipment; and door locking devices comprise microprocessor-based electronic door locks with push button, card readers and bio-metric operation, door alarms, mechanical door locks, and simple dead bolt locks. Its alarm systems include automatic communicators, cellular communication devices, control panels, combination control panels/digital communicators and digital keypad systems, fire alarm control panels, and area detectors; and video surveillance systems comprise video cameras, control panels, video monitors, or PCs. The company also buys and resells various identification readers, video cameras, PC-based computers, and various peripheral equipment for access control and video surveillance systems; offers school security products; and markets peripheral and related equipment manufactured by other companies. It markets and sells its products to independent distributors, dealers, and installers of security equipment. Napco Security Technologies, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Amityville, New York.