NAPCO Security Technologies has achieved a perfect earnings beat streak of 4 consecutive quarters with an average surprise of 22%, a wide economic moat, and free cash flow at 131% of net income, establishing it as a high-quality compounder in the security technology space with meaningful analyst upside remaining.
Thesis pillars
- Wide Moat High Quality Compounder→Stable
- Analyst Upside 34pct→Stable
- Perfect Earnings Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
NAPCO Security Technologies, In (NSSC) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Temporary headwind edge
Industrials · Security & Protection Services
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $37.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.
Napco Security Technologies, Inc. engages in the development, manufacturing, and sale of electronic security systems for commercial, residential, institutional, industrial, and governmental applications in the United States and internationally. Its access control systems include... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $37.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, news events none recent, earnings proximity 59d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-09-04Recent Developments — NAPCO Security Technologies, In
Latest news
- NEWS Did NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc. Insiders Breach their Fiduciary Duties to Shareholders? - Morningstar — Morningstar negative
- NEWS Did NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc. Insiders Breach their Fiduciary Duties to Shareholders? - TradingView — TradingView negative
- NEWS Did NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc. Insiders Breach their Fiduciary Duties to Shareholders? - tradingview.com — tradingview.com negative
- NEWS Earnings Preview: NSSC to Report Financial Results Pre-market on May 04 - 富途牛牛 — 富途牛牛 positive
- NEWS NAPCO Security Technologies to Announce Fiscal Third Quarter 2026 Results Monday, May 4, 2026 - Weekly Voice — Weekly Voice neutral
Generated 2026-09-04T11:12:11Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-07-08Item 5.02MEDIUM. Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers** On July 8, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of NAPCO Security Technologies, Inc.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $37.05, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $44.08 (+19.0%), stop $34.46 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.6:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $44.08 (+19.0% upside). Target $44.08 (+19.0%), stop $34.46 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.6:1. Stop-loss: $34.46.
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors.
NAPCO Security Technologies, In trades at a P/E of 29.2 (forward 19.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Hold.
12 analysts cover NSSC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $51.
What does NAPCO Security Technologies, In do?Napco Security Technologies, Inc. engages in the development, manufacturing, and sale of electronic security systems...
Napco Security Technologies, Inc. engages in the development, manufacturing, and sale of electronic security systems for commercial, residential, institutional, industrial, and governmental applications in the United States and internationally. Its access control systems include various types of identification readers, control panels, PC-based computers, and electronically activated door-locking devices; intrusion and fire alarm systems, consists of various detectors, a control panel, a digital keypad and signaling equipment; and door locking devices comprise microprocessor-based electronic door locks with push button, card readers and bio-metric operation, door alarms, mechanical door locks, and simple dead bolt locks. The company's alarm systems include automatic communicators, cellular communication devices, control panels, combination control panels/digital communicators and digital keypad systems, fire alarm control panels, and area detectors; and video surveillance systems comprise video cameras, control panels, video monitors, or PCs. It also buys and resells various identification readers, video cameras, PC-based computers, and various peripheral equipment for access control and video surveillance systems; offers school security products; and markets peripheral and related equipment manufactured by other companies. The company markets and sells its products to independent distributors, dealers, and installers of security equipment. Napco Security Technologies, Inc. was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Amityville, New York.