ADT Inc. (ADT) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Industrials · Security & Protection Services
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $7.49 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5.
ADT provides residential and small business security monitoring, smart home, and automation services to ~6.1 million subscribers across the U.S. via nationwide sales offices and monitoring centers. Revenue comes from recurring monthly monitoring fees and equipment installation;... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $7.49 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 81. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $7.49 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 81. Prior stop was $7.13. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $7.59 (+1.3% upside). Prior stop was $7.13. Stop-loss: $7.13.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.1): -1.5; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.
ADT Inc. trades at a P/E of 10.5 (forward 7.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
10 analysts cover ADT with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $8.
What does ADT Inc. do?ADT provides residential and small business security monitoring, smart home, and automation services to ~6.1 million...
ADT provides residential and small business security monitoring, smart home, and automation services to ~6.1 million subscribers across the U.S. via nationwide sales offices and monitoring centers. Revenue comes from recurring monthly monitoring fees and equipment installation; >80% of residential customers pay via automated methods. ADT has strategic partnerships with Google and State Farm, and acquired Origin AI (ambient sensing) in February 2026.