ADT Inc. (ADT) Stock Analysis
Industrials · Security & Protection Services
Sell if holding. At $6.87, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.3%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.
ADT is a US home security and automation company serving ~6.1 million residential and small business subscribers through professional monitoring, smart home solutions, and a growing DIY segment via its ADT+ app. Revenue is primarily recurring monthly fees from 2-5 year... Read more
Sell if holding. At $6.87, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.3%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — ADT Inc.
Material events (past 30 days)
- May 8, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Three Apollo-designee directors (Reed Rayman, Nicole Bonsignore, Benjamin Honig) resigned effective May 5, 2026 following Apollo's full exit from ADT shares. No disagreement with the Company on operations, policies, or practices cited.
Latest news
- ADT Prices 102M Common Stock Offering On Behalf Of Selling Stockholders — benzinga May 4, 2026 neutral
- ADT Announces Secondary Share Offering Of 102M Shares By Apollo Global Management, And The Company Intends to Buy ~29.1M — benzinga May 4, 2026 positive
- Full Transcript: ADT Q1 2026 Earnings Call — benzinga Apr 30, 2026 neutral
- ADT Sees FY 2026 revenue and Adjusted EPS approximately flat YoY — benzinga Apr 30, 2026 neutral
- Earnings Scheduled For April 30, 2026 — benzinga Apr 30, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-08Item 5.02MEDIUMThree Apollo-designee directors (Reed Rayman, Nicole Bonsignore, Benjamin Honig) resigned effective May 5, 2026 following Apollo's full exit from ADT shares. No disagreement with the Company on operations, policies, or practices cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $6.87, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 3.3%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $6.50. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $7.10 (+3.3% upside). Prior stop was $6.50. Stop-loss: $6.50.
Thin upside margin: 3.3%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.5.
ADT Inc. trades at a P/E of 9.2 (forward 7.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
10 analysts cover ADT with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $8.
What does ADT Inc. do?ADT is a US home security and automation company serving ~6.1 million residential and small business subscribers...
ADT is a US home security and automation company serving ~6.1 million residential and small business subscribers through professional monitoring, smart home solutions, and a growing DIY segment via its ADT+ app. Revenue is primarily recurring monthly fees from 2-5 year monitoring contracts, with >80% of residential customers on automated payment methods; all revenue is US-based.